4种典型滨海植物的耐盐能力

滨海植物是海岸生态系统的重要组成部分,而绝大部分滨海植物的耐盐能力与生态适应机制尚不清楚,本研究选择马鞍藤(Ipomoea pescaprae)、小刀豆(Canavalia cathartica)、全缘冬青(Ilex in?tegra)、大叶银边海桐(Pittosporum pentandrum)4种滨海典型植物,通过...     

Investigation of Uncertainties of Establishment Schemes in Dynamic Global Vegetation Models简

In Dynamic Global Vegetation Models （DGVMs）, the establishment of woody vegetation refers to flowering, fertiliza- tion, seed production, germination, and the growth of tree seedlings. It determines not only the population densities but also other important ecosystem structural variables. In current DGVMs, establishments of woody plant functional types （PFTs） are assumed to be either the same in the same grid cell, or largely stochastic. We investigated the uncertainties in the competition of establishment among coexisting woody PFTs from three aspects： the dependence of PFT establishments on vegetation states; background establishment; and relative establishment potentials of different PFTs. Sensitivity experi- ments showed that the dependence of establishment rate on the fractional coverage of a PFT favored the dominant PFT by increasing its share in establishment. While a small background establishment rate had little impact on equilibrium states of the ecosystem, it did change the timescale required for the establishment of alien species in pre-existing forest due to their disadvantage in seed competition during the early stage of invasion. Meanwhile, establishment purely fiom background （the scheme commonly used in current DGVMs） led to inconsistent behavior in response to the change in PFT specification （e.g., number of PFTs and their specification）. Furthermore, the results also indicated that trade-off between irtdividual growth and reproduction/colonization has significant influences on the competition of establishment. Hence, further development of es- tablishment parameterization in DGVMs is essential in reducing the uncertainties in simulations of both ecosystem structures and successions.     

Chinese Contribution to CMIP5：An Overview of Five Chinese Models’Performances

An overview of Chinese contribution to Coupled Model Intercomparison Project-Phase 5 （CMIP5） is presented. The performances of five Chinese Climate/Earth System Models that participated in the CMIP5 pro ject are assessed in the context of climate mean states, seasonal cycle, intraseasonal oscillation, interan-nual variability, interdecadal variability, global monsoon, Asian-Australian monsoon, 20th-century historical climate simulation, climate change pro jection, and climate sensitivity. Both the strengths and weaknesses of the models are evaluated. The models generally show reasonable performances in simulating sea surface tem-perature （SST） mean state, seasonal cycle, spatial patterns of Madden-Julian oscillation （MJO） amplitude and tropical cyclone Genesis Potential Index （GPI）, global monsoon precipitation pattern, El Ni-no-Southern Oscillation （ENSO）, and Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO） related SST anomalies. However, the perfor-mances of the models in simulating the time periods, amplitude, and phase locking of ENSO, PDO time periods, GPI magnitude, MJO propagation, magnitude of SST seasonal cycle, northwestern Pacific mon-soon and North American monsoon domains, as well as the skill of large-scale Asian monsoon precipitation need to be improved. The model performances in simulating the time evolution and spatial pattern of the 20th-century global warming and the future change under representative concentration pathways pro jection are compared to the multimodel ensemble of CMIP5 models. The model discrepancies in terms of climate sensitivity are also discussed.     

北部湾经济区陆海统一似大地水准面精化关键技术研究北大核心CSCD

针对北部湾经济区生态文明建设、海洋资源利用和海洋应急救援事件处置等缺乏统一的陆海高程基准等难题,本文首先利用广西北部湾经济区2764项重力数据和8项GNSS水准数据,应用第二类Helmert凝聚法,反演得到广西北部湾海域及沿大陆海岸线向内陆延伸约15 000 km^(2)区域内置信度较高的重力似大地水准面;然后参考重力场选取EIGEN6C4模型,重力似大地水准面对比8项GNSS水准资料,其精度达2.2 cm;最后采用球冠调和分析方法,将2′×2′格网似大地水准面精度提高至1.6 cm,并将陆地高程基准传递到广西北部湾海域及其海岛上,实现该区域陆海高程基准的统一。     

地基SAR在滑坡形变监测中的应用

地基InSAR是近年发展起来的基于地基SAR (GB-SAR)获取地表形变的一种新的技术手段,分辨率高、可实时监测,实现毫米级形变监测精度,为近距离滑坡实时监测与预警提供了先进的技术手段。本文首先以澜沧江某滑坡体为研究对象,在滑坡体对岸设立固定站点,按固定频率进行GB-SAR数据采集;然后通过先后两景影像形成干涉对,利用相干阈值方法提取相干点目标;最后利用形变模型提取滑坡体形变结果。研究表明,地基SAR可获得整个滑体形变边界、形变大小空间分布及时间变化历程,对滑坡体灾害实时监测非常有效,可为滑坡灾害监测及预警提供参考。     

Exploring the dynamics of the disaggregated intercity corporate network in the Yangtze River Delta,China: a relational event approach

Journal of Geographical Systems - There has been a proliferation of studies trying to explain the driving forces behind the formation and evolution of intercity corporate networks. Previous...     

利用TSVD参数估值变化特性确定算法截断参数

TSVD是大地测量病态问题解算的常用有效方法。影响TSVD解算效果的关键因素是截断参数,现有截断参数确定方法可提供有效的截断参数,但仍难以给出最优截断参数。以均方误差最小为准则确定截断参数是一种理论依据较充分的截断参数确定方法,但均方误差计算所需的模型参数真值在实际应用中无法获得,导致该方法难以给出理论最优截断参数。鉴于此,本文研究了基于均方误差影响下(方差与偏差联合影响)参数估值变化特性的TSVD截断参数确定方法。通过TSVD依次截掉小奇异值,获得奇异值截掉前后的方差与参数估值变化,利用两者变化分析确定偏差影响,避免依赖参数真值计算偏差,从而确定出均方误差最小理论下的截断参数。数值与应用试验结果表明,本文方法确定的截断参数可有效改善TSVD解算效果,是一种行之有效的截断参数确定方法。     

滑坡灾害监测的圆弧合成孔径雷达大气相位校正方法

地基圆弧合成孔径雷达通过形变值测量实现滑坡预警,是一种重要的滑坡灾害监测遥感手段。大气相位校正影响形变值测量精度,是长时间稳定监测的关键技术。本文提出一种基于网格划分的两阶段大气相位校正方法。该方法通过特征提取及分类获得永久散射点,基于此实现监测点的自动筛选;利用网格估计大气相位,有效降低运算量,提高了计算效率;结合空间滤波和时间序列滤波,保证了大气相位估计的准确性。实测数据处理结果表明了该文所提方法在大气相位校正方面的有效性。     

典型矿区深层地下水重金属含量特征及健康风险评价——以皖北矿区为例

以皖北矿区为例,分析测试了不同含水层(松散、煤系、太灰、奥灰)中的6种重金属元素(Cd、Cr、Cu、Zn、Pb、Ni),对其含量特征及健康风险评价进行了研究。结果表明,6种重金属在不同含水层含量大小次序各不一样,从整体来看,研究区地下水中所测重金属含量依次为NiZnPbCuCdCr,与太灰水一致;整体地下水中Cr、Cu和Zn均未超过(GB/T14848—93)中Ⅲ类水质标准,Cd、Pb和Ni有部分水样超过标准限值。化学致癌物Cd和Cr在各含水层所致健康危害风险值数量级在10-6~10-4 a-1,Cr健康风险值在各含水层中均大于Cd,Cr在煤系含水层危害风险值(1.29×10-4 a-1)已超过美国环境保护局(USEPA)最大可接受风险(1×10-4 a-1),为研究区首要的环境健康风险管理控制指标。化学非致癌物Cu、Zn、Pb、Ni四种重金属健康危害风险值较小,数量级在10–11~10-8 a-1,Pb和Ni健康危害风险值相对较高,也应引起重视。各含水层总的健康风险值大小次序为:煤系太灰奥灰松散,前三者已超过国际辐射防护委员会(ICRP)推荐的(5×10-5 a-1)最大可接受风险,其中煤系含水层总的健康风险值为1.46×10-4 a-1,已超过USEPA(1×10-4 a-1)推荐的最大可接受风险。对矿区深层地下水开展重金属含量分析和健康风险评价,可为地下水水资源的开采利用和保护提供参考。