OBSERVATIONAL STUDY OF MESO-β WAVE IN LOW LATITUDES OF SOUTH CHINA SEA OVER THE SUMMER MONSOON

The intensive observation data of the Nansha Islands are used to study and discuss the meso-and fine-scale systems existing with large-scale monsoon circulation during the onset of the southwesterly monsoon in the low-latitude areas of the South China Sea. Effects of low-latitude tropical meso-scale gravity waves on weather have been disclosed. The generation and transportation of the local meso-scale gravity wave have been preliminarily studied from the viewpoint of dynamics.     

EFFECT OF THE THERMAL FORCING ON THE SECONDARY CIRCULATION OF TYPHOONS

A non-dimensional secondary circulation equation for typhoons has been derived and then 11-yr com-positing typhoon data were used to estimate the thermally forced secondary circulation.The main resultshave been obtained as follows:(1)The diabatic heating and Cu vertical heat mixing are major thermal forcing factors.They have thesame magnitude of order.(2)The effects of eddy flux and Cu horizontal mixing of heat are of minor im-portance.(3)Ekman pumping and Cu vertical heat mixing cooperatively work.This feedback process isfavorable for the enhancement of the secondary circulation of typhoons.     

THE LIGHT EQUIVALENT OF TOTAL SOLAR RADIATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE CALCULATION OF ILLUMINATION CLIMATOLOGY

From 1983 to 1984,14 solar radiation observation stations which are located in different climate zoneswere chosen for the simultaneous observation of natural illumination with the hourly observation of insola-tion every day.In this paper,according to the data the light equivalent of total solar radiation (LEOTSR)has been given.A multivariate regression equation is employed to calculate the annual and monthly meanvalues of the LEOTSR at 14 observation stations.The variables of the equation include latitude,elevation,surface mean absolute humidity and sunshine duration.The results show that the relative errors are lessthan 10%.The LEOTSR for 464 observation stations was calculated by means of the multivariate regression equationswhich were obtained by the data of 14 observation stations.The total illumination is given by the LEOTSRmultiplying the total radiation.The climatological values of total illumination for each station are alsocalculated according to its LEOTSR and solar radiation.Finally,the climatological charts of total illuminationin China have been drawn.     

RESEARCH ON THE PHOTO-TEMPERATURE MODEL FOR THE DEVELOPMENTAL RATE OF RICE

Rice is one kind of crops with short length of light, its developmental rate in the photophase depends on the light-length and temperature. Since uncultivated rice was discovered in China, about 40,000 species of rice, including photo-sensitive and temperature-sensitive types, have been growing. A number of researches have been carried out by agrometeorologists in this field. The purpose of this paper is to develop a photo-temperature model based on a considerable amount of experimental data.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF THE TEMPORAL-SPATIAL VARIATION IN ATMOSPHERIC OZONOSPHERE OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE DURING THE PERIOD OF 1963-1985

The total ozone data of 113 ozone observational stations in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) spanning a period of 1963-1985 have been analysed in this paper. Some interesting results have been obtained, such as the temporal and spatial distribution, long-term trends, the harmonic analysis results, the relationship between the total ozone and solar activity, etc. Furthermore, by using the defined index G, the long-term changes of ozone meridional distribution patterns for the region of Europe-Asia (EA) have been approached particularly.     

OBSERVATIONAL STUDY OF MICROPHYSICS IN THE STRATIFORM REGION AND TRANSITION REGION OF A MIDLATITUDE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX

Cloud microphysical data observed with PMS probes have been combined with radar and other in-situdata collected by a NOAA P-3 aircraft that flew through the stratiform and transition regions of a mesoscaleconvective complex(MCC).The combined data have been analyzed with respect to the mescscale structureof the storm systems.The characteristics of ice particles in the transition and stratiform regions were quitediffereat.The ice particle concentrations in the transition region were about 4 to 6 times that found in thestratiform region,and the size of ice particles in the stratiform region was about twice that in the transitionregion.The relatively lower radar reflectivity in the transition region is a result of smaller particle sizes.Themain precipitation particle growth mechanisms are riming and aggregation in the transition region ard theaggregation process predominates in the stratiform region referred from the microphysical structures.The ag-gregation starts in the upper,colder lev(?)ls but becomes more efficient as the particles approach the melting layer.     

A STUDY OF CIRCULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND INDEX OF SOUTH CHINA SEA SUMMER MONSOON

Based on height and wind data of NCEP/NCAR and OLR data,patterns of upper aircirculation from April to October have been analyzed,and the South China Sea (SCS) SummerMonsoon Onset (SMO) and retreat have been defined.The empirical formula fitting to the onsetindex of the SCS SMO has been established,and the onset and ending time of monsoon,togetherwith the intensity index sequence during 1953—1999 are given by the analysis of characteristics ofthermodynamic and dynamic factors during the process of SMO.The emergence and developmentof symmetric vortex pair at both sides of the equator in tropical East Indian Ocean,which mayexcite the SCS SMO,can be taken as a short-term prediction indicator of SMO.     

PLANNING OF THE SECOND GROUP METEOROLOGICAL NETWORKS OVER JIANG-HUAI PLAIN

Based on the data of daily air temperature and relative humidity from 1961 to 1980 over the Jiang-Huai Plain,the structure functions of the two elements have been calculated,and thereby the relationshipsbetween error of linear interpolation and spacing of stations have been established.According to the principle that the standard error of interpolation should not exceed the standard errorof observation,the maximum admissible spacings between stations of the second group meteorological net-works have been estimated over this area.Finally,it has been found that replacing the interpolation along a segment by the interpolation in aplane will increase the accuracy of interpolation.     

A STUDY OF THE GLOBAL 200 HPA DIVERGENT CIRCULATIONS IN THE TROPICS AND SUBTROPICS IN SUMMER

Utilizing the wind data at 200 hPa in recent 13 years,the global tropical divergent wind fields fromMay through October have been calculated.It has been found that the center of the strongest divergentwind is located in the region from the South China Sca to the West-Pacific.The maximum monthly variation,however,of the divergent wind fields is found in India and the region of the Bay of Bengal.     

ISENTROPIC TRAJECTORY ANALYSES OF POLLUTANT TRANSPORT IN NORTHEAST ASIA-INFLUENCE ON CHINA FROM NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES

The transport of air pollutants from several big cities in the north of China and theneighboring countries is researched by using the isentropic trajectory model. The trajectories arecalculated twice daily for the cities in January, April. July and October for the period of 1992-1994. The statistical method has been used to deal with trajectory dots at intervals of 30 min forthe forward and backward trajectories during 0-24 h and 24-48 h. The probability distributiondiagrams of trajectory show clearly the ensemble properties of isentropic trajectories for each cityand the dominant transport directions of pollutants. They possess notable seasonal variations. Theforward trajectory areas of the Ulaan Baatar in Mongolia can spread over North China. and thoseof the Chita in Russia can influence Northeast China except in summer. In July the forwardtrajectory of Pyongyang and Seoul can extend northward to the boundaries of China.     

DIVISION AND EVOLUTION OF DROUGHT AND FLOOD PHASES DURING THE LATEST 200 YEARS IN EASTERN CHINA

Based on the past 200-year graded data of dryness/wetness in eastern China (24 stations), five phases to show the floods and droughts have been objectively divided by using the approach of cluster analysis of a sequential sample. The characteristics of flood/drought evolution have been described and explained. It is concluded that the floods or droughts occurred more often for the past two centuries, and the normal phase was seldom seen in eastern China. The transitions between floods and droughts are frequently of jumping feature. The extent and the frequency of serious drought or heavy flood in eastern China tended to expand and increase significantly in the last 50 years. Finally, by using the Walsh power spectrum, the periodicity of dryness/wetness graded series has been analysed. It is found that there exist the 2-9 year high-frequency fluctuations in eastern China.     

THE COMBINATORY METHOD FOR DETERMINATION OF THE TURBULENT FLUXES AND UNIVERSAL FUNCTIONS IN THE SURFACE LAYER

A combinatory method of determining the turbulent fluxes in the surface layer has been developed and their generalrepresentations have been thus obtained.The universal functions of the (M-O) similarity in the surface layer can be de-termined by the method.The results calculated by using the ITCE's data indicate that the method is feasible.     

DEVELOPMENT OF THE 2-D COUPLED STRATOSPHERIC-TROPOSPHERIC DYNAMICAL-RADIATIVE-CHEMICAL MODEL—PART Ⅰ:THE DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL AND ITS PRELIMINARY RESULTS

In this paper,a two-dimensional(2-D)coupled stratospheric-tropospheric dynamical-radiative-chemical model has been developed,and some preliminary results have been given.From theseresults we can see that the latitude-height distribution characteristics and the seasonal variation ofthe dynamical fields such as atmospheric temperature,wind field,etc.can be effectively simulatedby using this model;and the modelled latitude-height distribution of trace gases gives theirdistribution characteristics and seasonal variation rather well.All of these are testimony to thestrong ability of the model.     

THE MODELING STUDY OF DOWNBURST

Downburst is a very dangerous weather phenomenon for aeroplane taking off or landing. Inorder to understand the initial formation and evolution of downburst and to study the effects of at-mospheric environment condition and the microstructure of cloud-precipitation particles on thedownburst development processes, we have designed and carried out a modeling scheme by makinguse of our own non-hydrostatic compressible mesoscale-γ model including necessary cloud-precipi-tation processes. The initial conditions of temperature, humidity and wind are from an observationcase in which the downburst occurred. The results of computations demonstrate the evolution ofdownburst and show the variation of various environmental and microphysical parameters. Some ofthe mechanisms about the downburst occurrence have been obtained. Computation results mayhelp airport forecasters to determine the occurrence of downburst better.     

THE EFFECTS OF THE QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU ON THE MEAN SUMMER CIRCULATION OVER EAST ASIA

Four numerical experiments of simulation have been conducted in this paper by the use of a five-layer primitive equation numerical model with incorporated pressure-sigma vertical coordinate system. The initial fields are taken from the July zonal mean data of many years, while the heat sources and sinks are ideally specified according to the mean heating field over the East Asia calculated from the real data of July, 1979. On the basis of simulated results of temperature and geopctential height patterns we emphatically discuss the effects of the topography and the heating of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. From the analyses in this paper, it appears that the heating over the Bengal region makes a larger contribution to the middle and the south branches of the monsoon cell and is also the main cause for the existence of the southerly channel to the east of the Plateau, for the break of the subtropical anticyclcne belt below the 500 hPa level and for the formation of the summer Asian anticyclone at the 300 hP     

ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF URBAN GROWTH ON THE TEMPERATURE FIELD IN GUANGZHOU

Based on the 1973 – 2003 temperature data of Guangzhou meteorological station and 1980 – 2000 temperature data of Foshan airport, the variations of urbanization effect on temperature of Pearl River Delta (PRD) and Guangzhou city were analyzed. It was found that the temperature has increased significantly due to the PRD’s urbanization. During the last 20 years, Foshan airport’s temperature has increased by 0.7°C, and the Guangzhou city’s temperature increased by about 1.1°C during last 30 years. The heat island of Guangzhou city is obvious but has some differences from other big Chinese cities.     

SOME RESULTS OF APPLICATIONS OF STATISTICAL METHOD TO CLIMATE CHANGES AND SHORT-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTION IN CHINA

In recent years, much attention has been paid to climate changes and short-term climate prediction, because the large area climate anomaly has, constantly occurred in many areas of China and of other places in the world since the 1960's. From 1974 to 1981, ten national meetings on climatology in China were held. More than 100 papers were presented at each of these meetings. Two collections of papers presented at these meetings have been printed. At present, in addition to research at meteorological institutes and universities, the research of climate changes and short-term climate prediction is also being carried out in the weather bureaus of the 30 provinces and autonomous regions (including Taiwan). The gaps in the research in this field in China have been filled.     

THE JUMP OF CLIMATE CHANGE OF TYPHOON ACTIVITIES

Based on data of typhoon over the West Pacific and the South China Sea for the last 40 years, theshort-term climate oscillation of typhoon activities was revealed. The result indicated that the climaticvariation of typhoon activities has a tendency of climatic jump in changes in early 1970's. It showed thatbefore the jump of change the number of typhoon was increased and the intensity of typhoon was intensified after which the tendency of variation went contrary. In addition, the increase of typhoon numberduring recent years suggested again the jump of climatic change in the late 1980's, but the intensity oftyphoon did not have the same change. The analysis indicated that the short-term climatic oscillation andthe jump of climatic change have certain physical background. Such climate change tendency of typhoonwas shown to be related to the climatic oscillation of general circulation and SST, especially to the WestPacific subtropical high.     

PREDICTION AND VERIFICATION OF THE 1997—1999 EL NINOAND LA NINA BY USING AN INTERMEDIATE OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE COUPLED MODEL

The numerical simulations,hindcasts and verifications of the tropical Pacific sea surfacetemperature anomaly(SSTA)have been conducted by using a dynamical tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere coupled model named NCCo.The results showed that the model had performedreasonable simulations of the major El Nino episodes in the history,and the model forecast skill in1990s had been significantly improved.NCCo model has been used to predict the tropical PacificSSTA since January 1997.The comparisons between predictions and observations indicated thatthe occurrence,evolution and ending of the 1997/1998 El Nino episode have been predicted fairlywell by using this model.Also,the La Nina episode that began in the autumn of 1998 and thedeveloping tendency of the tropical Pacific SSTA during the year 1999 have been predictedsuccessfully.The forecast skills of NCCo model during the 1997-1999 El Nino and La Ninaevents are above 0.5 at 0—14 lead months.     

THE LOCAL SPLINE VERTICAL INTERPOLATION METHOD OF TEMPERATURE AND GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT FIELDS AND THE TIME-DEPENDENT DIFFERENCE FORM OF THE HYDROSTATIC EQUATION

In numerical weather prediction (NWP), the accuracy of vertical interpolation of the initial data is a problem which is greatly concerned by people. In this paper, we specify vertical distributions of the temperature and the geopotential height fields and examine three interpolation methods, i.e. the Lagrangian polynomial interpolation method (hereafter abbreviated to LP method), the linear interpolation method (LN method) and the local spline interpolation method (LS method) proposed by the author. The examination shows that when the vertical resolution of the initial data is high enough, for example, the number of the given data levels N is 10 or more, all the three methods get good accuracy of interpolation, especially, the LP and the LS methods have very little errors almost tending to zero, while the LN method has a little larger errors than the two formers and the errors at various levels have the same sign. When N is reduced to 5, the LP and the LS methods still have quite good accuracy and simil