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1.
Variations in the characteristics of ice regime of rivers in the Northern Dvina basin over the last 125 years are analyzed. For the Northern Dvina lower course, potential changes in the dates of the appearance of floating ice and the breakup due to expected changes in the air temperature and the rate of streamflow in rivers are assessed. Special attention is paid to the factors that affect the formation of ice jams and their spatial and temporal variability. The prognostic relationship for the maximum ice-jam stage in the Sukhona River near the town of Velikii Ustyug is presented as an example.  相似文献   
2.
The problem of the origin of the irregular satellites is solved readily in the context of a hypothesis involving explosion of the massive ice envelopes of the Galilean satellites saturated by electrolysis products. The thrown-off unexploded (primary) ice fragments of the outermost cold layers of the envelopes are also saturated by electrolysis products. In the course of explosive ejection their internal energy increases due to shock wave heating, as a result of which they will be able to detonate in subsequent sufficiently energetic collisions. The secondary fragments from new explosions may acquire additional velocity up to a few km s–1 without breakup into small pieces.Gravitational perturbations by the parent satellites can eject the primary fragments moving near their orbits into the periphery of or beyond Jupiter's sphere of action. If such a fragment explodes in the outer zone of the sphere, then secondary fragments may become irregular satellites resulting in the so-called internal capture (the possibilities of capture considered earlier involved only bodies entering the sphere of action from outside).The mass of the primary fragment responsible for the inner (direct) group of Jupiter's irregular satellites is estimated as 1019 kg, and the additional velocity acquired by secondary fragments as 1.3 km s–1; evaluation of the mass of the fragment responsible for the outer (retrograde) group yields 1018 kg, and that of the additional velocity of secondary fragments, 2 km s–1.The ice envelopes of the Galilean and similar moonlike satellites should contain impurities corresponding to the composition of type C1 carbonaceous chondrites; therefore after sublimation of water ice the irregular satellites (just as type C asteroids, the Trojans and comets) exhibit spectro-photometric properties similar to those of C-type objects.  相似文献   
3.
Terskii  P. N.  Panchenko  E. D.  Gorin  S. L.  Agafonova  S. A.  Vasilenko  A. N.  Kulikova  Z. M.  Popryadukhin  A. A.  Alabyan  A. M. 《Oceanology》2021,61(6):1076-1078
Oceanology - Winter field campaigns conducted by the Department of Hydrology of the Moscow State University Geographical Faculty undertaken during winter periods of 2017–2020 are introduced....  相似文献   
4.
In this paper we show the capabilities of the Large Volume Detector (INFN Gran Sasso National Laboratory) to identify a neutrino burst associated with a supernova explosion, in the absence of an “external trigger”, e.g., an optical observation. We describe how the detector trigger and event selection have been optimized for this purpose, and we detail the algorithm used for the on-line burst recognition. The on-line sensitivity of the detector is defined and discussed in terms of supernova distance and intensity at the source.  相似文献   
5.
Absorption‐line systems detected in high resolution quasar spectra can be used to compare the value of dimensionless fundamental constants such as the fine‐structure constant, α, and the proton‐to‐electron mass ratio, μ = mp/me, as measured in remote regions of the Universe to their value today on Earth. In recent years, some evidence has emerged of small temporal and also spatial variations in α on cosmological scales which may reach a fractional level of ≈ 10 ppm (parts per million). We are conducting a Large Programme of observations with the Very Large Telescope's Ultraviolet and Visual Echelle Spectrograph (UVES), and are obtaining high‐resolution (R ≈ 60000) and high signal‐to‐noise ratio (S/N ≈ 100) spectra calibrated specifically to study the variations of the fundamental constants. We here provide a general overview of the Large Programme and report on the first results for these two constants, discussed in detail in Molaro et al. (2013) and Rahmani et al. (2013). A stringent bound for Δα /α is obtained for the absorber at zabs = 1.6919 towards HE 2217‐2818. The absorption profile is complex with several very narrow features, and is modeled with 32 velocity components. The relative variation in α in this system is +1.3 ± 2.4stat ± 1.0sys ppm if Al II λ 1670 Å and three FeII transitions are used, and +1.1 ± 2.6stat ppm in a slightly different analysis with only FeII transitions used. This is one of the tightest bounds on α ‐variation from an individual absorber and reveals no evidence for variation in α at the 3‐ppm precision level (1σ confidence). The expectation at this sky position of the recently‐reported dipolar variation of α is (3.2–5.4) ± 1.7 ppm depending on dipole model used and this constraint of Δα /α at face value is not supporting this expectation but not inconsistent with it at the 3σ level. For the proton‐to‐electron mass ratio the analysis of the H2 absorption lines of the zabs ≈ 2.4018 damped Lyα system towards HE 0027–1836 provides Δμ /μ = (–7.6 ± 8.1stat ± 6.3sys) ppm which is also consistent with a null variation. The cross‐correlation analysis between individual exposures taken over three years and comparison with almost simultaneous asteroid observations revealed the presence of a possible wavelength dependent velocity drift as well as of inter‐order distortions which probably dominate the systematic error and are a significant obstacle to achieve more accurate measurements. (© 2014 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   
6.
Explosions of the electrolyzed ice envelopes of the Galilean satellites resulted in the appearance of a large number of ice fragments deep inside Jupiter's sphere of action. Gravitational perturbations by the Galilean satellites transferred these fragments from satellite orbits into the periphery of the sphere of action and beyond it. The fragments move initially in the direction of a satellite's motion tangentially to its orbit.The fragments have a small angular momentum since they come from deep inside Jupiter's sphere of action. On reaching the periphery of the sphere, the fragments can acquire retrograde motion (even in the sidereal frame) because of the Sun's action.If ejected from the zone of the Galilean satellites with a sufficient velocity, the fragments can leave Jupiter's sphere of action going both inside and outside its orbit, which leads to a substantial difference in the pattern of their subsequent motion in the vicinity of Jupiter's orbit.The results obtained may be used to shed light on the origin of the irregular satellites (Paper 1) and Trojans (Paper 2).  相似文献   
7.
8.
Secondary explosions of the primary ice fragments ejected in the explosion of the electrolyzed massive ice envelopes of the Galilean satellites are capable of imparting velocities of up to ~5km s–1 to the secondary fragments. As a result, the secondary fragments can enter the orbits of the irregular satellites (Agafonova and Drobyshevski, 1984b) and the Trojan libration orbits. In the latter case a perturbation velocity of V 0.3–2 km s–1 is sufficient.The primary fragments ejected by the gravitational perturbations due to the Galilean satellites sunward from Jupiter's sphere of action move faster relative to the Sun than Jupiter does and therefore reach their first aphelion ahead of Jupiter in the neighborhood of L 4. At the same time the fragments propelled from Jupiter's sphere of action beyond the planet's orbit approach it again in their perihelia behind Jupiter in the region of L 5. The concentration of the fragments and, hence, the frequency of their collisions and explosions at L 4 turn out to be much greater than those at L 5. As a result, the number of the secondary fragments of diameter 15 km captured into libration orbits ahead of Jupiter can be as high as many hundreds and should exceed by more than a factor 3.5 that captured behind Jupiter.Since the icy mix of the fragments contains hydrocarbons and particulate material (silicates and the like), after ice sublimation from the surface layers the Trojans should reveal type C and RD spectra typical for Jupiter's irregular satellites, comet nuclei and other distant ice bodies of similar origin. Among the Trojans there cannot be rocky or metallic objects which are known to exist in the main asteroid belt.It is shown that a velocity perturbation of 150–200 m s–1 resulting from a purely mechanical impact of two bodies may be sufficient to move collision fragments from the orbits of the Trojans to horseshoe-shaped trajectories with a subsequent transfer to the cometary orbits of Jupiter's family.  相似文献   
9.
The site amplification functions at 48 sites of NCR have been estimated in this study using the waveforms of locally recorded 23 earthquakes. Due to the absence of a suitable reference site in the region, the widely used horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) technique has been used for this purpose. The maps showing the spatial distribution of predominant frequencies and the site amplifications at different frequencies corresponding to the natural frequencies of the different-storey buildings have been presented. The predominant frequencies in general are found to be in the range 2.5–7.5 Hz with an average of 4.4 Hz for the region having older alluvium sediments and in the range 1.1–6.4 Hz with an average of 3.3 Hz for the region with the younger alluvium deposits. The average value of the site amplifications for the frequency band 3.0–10.0 Hz is in the range 2.0–5.3 for the sites with significant soil cover, while the spectral amplification corresponding to the predominant frequency varies from 2.5 to 7.5 at most of the sites. The spectral amplification level lies in the range 2.0–3.0 for the sites with less or no sediment cover. The spectral amplification levels presented for the different-storey buildings may be used for the mitigation of seismic hazard in the region. The estimated site amplification functions may be used in the simulation of the site-specific strong ground motions and therefore useful for the evaluation of seismic hazard of a region.  相似文献   
10.
Frolova  N. L.  Kireeva  M. B.  Magrickiy  D. V.  Bologov  M. B.  Kopylov  V. N.  Hall  J.  Semenov  V. A.  Kosolapov  A. E.  Dorozhkin  E. V.  Korobkina  E. A.  Rets  E. P.  Akutina  Y.  Djamalov  R. G.  Efremova  N. A.  Sazonov  A. A.  Agafonova  S. A.  Belyakova  P. A. 《Natural Hazards》2016,80(1):103-125

Hydrological extreme events pose an imminent risk to society and economics. In this paper, various aspects of hydrological hazards in Russia are analysed at different scales of risk assessment. It is shown that the number of hydrological and meteorological hazards in Russia has been growing every year. The frequency of economic losses associated with extreme low flow in this century has increased by factor five compared to the last decade of the previous century. With regard to floods, an interesting spatial patter can be observed. On the one hand, the number of floods in the Asian part of the country has increased, whereas on the other hand, the number and intensity of floods in estuarine areas in the European part of Russia have significantly reduced since the middle of the twentieth century, especially in the 2000s. This decrease can be attributed to runoff flooding in the mouths of regulated rivers, with an effective system of flood and ice jam protection. The analysis shows that there is an 8–12-year periodicity in the number of flood occurrences and that flood surges have intensified over the last 110 years, especially on the European territory of Russia. An integrated index that accounts for flood hazards and socio-economic vulnerability was calculated for each region of Russia. A classification of flood risk was also developed, taking into account more than 20 hydrological and social–economic characteristics. Based on these characteristics, hazard and vulnerability maps for entire Russia were generated which can be used for water management and the development of future water resources plans.

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