城市外来低收入移民安置与自下而上城市化发展

中国在由二元经济社会跨入现代经济社会的过程中 ,众多的农村人口向城市流动和转移 ,已经给中国社会和城市发展带来严重的影响。通过对广州市和东莞市两市三个层次的一般抽样调查和 5 0个镇村的重点调查和分析 ,以城市外来低收入移民为研究和安置的对象 ,提出了适合中国情况的自下而上的开发性移民自助安置模式 ;并分析了自助安置模式对城市发展的影响 ,提出了一种在城市地域发生的自下而上的城市化理论发展假设。     

西苕溪流域城镇化对径流的长期影响研究

城镇化的发展使流域下垫面产生了较大变化,从而使流域降雨径流条件发生变化,随着城市化水平的提高,土地利用性质发生了改变,不透水地面积的增加,对径流的形成过程产生很大影响。长期水文影响模型(Long-Term Hydrological Impact Analysis,L-THIA GIS)是一个基于GIS平台的城市水文模型,可用于评价城市化对径流的长期影响。本文选取太湖上游浙江省安吉县西苕溪流域作为研究区域,利用L-THIA GIS模型对流域31年的长期径流进行模拟,在验证模型有效应用的基础上,探讨了城镇化对径流的影响。     

灰色理论应用于轨道交通一号线一期工程承重墩沉降分析

介绍了沉降监测数据处理理论方法,讨论了灰色模型法预测沉降的过程,分析了武汉轨道交通一期工程承重墩沉降监测数据,结果表明其基础是基本稳定的。     

未来综合导航定位技术刍议

社会的发展和人们生活水平的不断提高,使得人们对位置及其相关信息的需求不断增加。未来人们对于导航定位技术的需求将是快速、高精度、高动态和无缝的。未来的综合导航定位技术主要包括单点快速高精度定位技术和特殊地区导航定位技术两大类。本文简要介绍了这两类导航定位技术的现状及今后的发展趋势。     

北京城市热岛的时空变化分析

利用1987、1999、2000、2001、2002和2005年六幅陆地卫星影像研究北京市规划区地表城市热岛（SUHI）．首先用决策树分类法进行分类，得到六幅不同时相的土地利用／覆盖分类图像．根据Artis＆Carnahan算法利用热红外通道的灰度值计算地表辐射亮温，基于分类结果进行比辐射率纠正，计算地表温度．通过分析北京市规划区1987～2005年间地表城市热岛的特征，发现不同土地利用／土地覆盖类型与地表城市热岛有密切关系；2001年、2002年和2005年影像中市区的热岛分布的破碎度增加，由原来的集中分布慢慢向周围扩散，并在市区中心植被覆盖高的区域出现蓝色“凉爽”区；地表城市热岛增加的区域与城市扩展区域一致，城市化过程是城市热岛面积不断增加的主要的原因．     

Administrative division system changes and urbanization in China

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Population,urbanization and economic scenarios over the Belt and Road region under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

The countries throughout the Belt and Road region account for more than 60% of the world's population and half of the global economy. Future changes in this area will have significant influences on the global economic growth, industrial structure and resource allocation. In this study, the proportion of the urban population to the total population and the gross domestic product were used to represent the levels of urbanization and economic development, respectively. The population, urbanization and economic levels of the Belt and Road countries for 2020–2050 were projected under the framework of the IPCC's shared socioeconomic pathways(SSPs), and the following conclusions are drawn.(1) The population, urbanization and economic levels in the Belt and Road region will likely increase under all five pathways. The population will increase by 2%–8%/10 a during 2020–2050 and reach 5.0–6.0 billion in 2050. Meanwhile, the urbanization rate will increase by 1.4%–7.5%/10 a and reach 49%–75%. The GDP will increase by 17%–34%/10 a and reach 134–243 trillion USD.(2) Large differences will appear under different scenarios. The SSP1 and SSP5 pathways demonstrate relatively high urbanization and economic levels, but the population size is comparatively smaller; SSP3 shows the opposite trend. Meanwhile, the economy develops slowly under SSP4, but it has a relatively high urbanization level, while SSP2 exhibits an intermediate trend.(3) In 2050, the population will increase relative to 2016 in most countries, and population size in the fastest growing country in Central Asia and the Middle East countries will be more than double. Urbanization will develop rapidly in South Asia, West Asia and Central Asia, and will increase by more than 150% in the fastest growing countries. The economy will grow fastest in South Asia, Southeast Asia and West Asia, and increase by more than 10 times in some counties with rapid economic development.     

干旱荒漠区土地利用方式快速转变对土壤入渗性能的影响

研究不同土地利用类型下土壤入渗及其影响因素，有助于城市土地利用管理及径流调节。以快速城市化的兰州新区6种土地利用类型为例，利用圆盘入渗仪，对土壤水分入渗过程进行了实地测量，并利用主成分分析对影响因素进行研究。结果表明：城市化过程中土地利用变化使土壤砂粒和容重增加，总孔隙度和饱和含水量降低；待建地和人工林地的土壤入渗参数值均低于其他土地利用类型。土壤入渗率与有机质含量、总孔隙度、饱和含水量、粉粒含量正相关，与容重和砂粒、黏粒含量负相关。城市化过程中土地利用类型向待建地的转变改变了土壤理化性质及土壤水分入渗能力。     

Flood frequencies reveal Holocene rapid climate changes (Lower Moulouya River,northeastern Morocco)

Current high‐resolution palaeoenvironmental records reveal short‐term Holocene coolings. One of these major Holocene rapid climate changes occurred between 3.2 and 2.7 cal. ka BP. The sensitivity of river systems vis‐à‐vis slight and short‐term Holocene climatic variations is a subject of controversy in the scientific community. In this paper, we present a 4.0 to 1.4 cal ka BP palaeoflood record from the Lower Moulouya River (northeastern Morocco) to demonstrate the high sensitivity of semiarid rivers in the southwestern Mediterranean towards Holocene environmental changes. The Lower Moulouya flood deposits are characterised by thick, well‐stratified, predominantly clayey to silty overbank fine sediments. These cohesive sediments show evidence of excellent preservation conditions against fluvial erosion and contain a continuous record of mid to late Holocene flood sequences. The Moulouya palaeoflood record can be interpreted in the context of regional and global high‐resolution proxy data, revealing a strong coupling with Holocene rapid climate changes. The centennial‐scale Moulouya palaeohydrological history will be discussed with palaeoenvironmental data from the same record (palaeomagnetics, sedimentary charcoal record, anthracological analyses, snail analyses) to generate new ideas about the mid to late Holocene hydrological cycle in the southwestern Mediterranean. The deduced features of pronounced Lower Moulouya flooding and the decreased fire recurrence during Holocene cooling remain somewhat inconsistent with the interpretation of other palaeohydrological and paleaoecological records from the southwestern Mediterranean. However, enhanced Lower Moulouya flood frequencies between 3.2 and 2.7 cal. ka BP agree with increased floodplain aggradation in other major river systems of Mediterranean North Africa. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Influencing factors for formation of urban and rural spatial structure in metropolis fringe area—Taking Shuangliu County of Chengdu in China as a case

With rapid urbanization process, the pace of urban sprawl has been quickened and most metropolises have experienced expansions in leaps and bounds in suburbanization, which has greatly changed the urban and rural spatial structure of the metropolis fringe area. In this paper, Shuangliu County is taken as a case, since it is a typical fringe area of Chengdu Metropolis. Based on Landsat TM images of Chengdu City and Shuangliu County obtained in 1985, 2000 and 2004, characteristics of urban and rural spatial structure in Shuangliu County were analyzed, such as core-periphery spatial structure and some obvious integration trends. Then the influencing factors for the formation of urban and rural spatial structure were identified, including some natural, social, economic and political factors. According to the discussion of this paper, Shuangliu County is undergoing a key transition and reform period. Its formation of urban and rural spatial structure was affected not only by such common factors as the location, natural background, industrial transition, migration, etc., but also by some unique factors such as city planning and policy guidance, which played an important role in accelerating its uneven spatial structure. The understanding of the role of the influencing factors would be useful for carrying out spatial management and development planning of metropolis fringe area.