湘江中下游农田土壤和蔬菜的重金属污染

从湖南省湘江中下游衡阳-长沙段沿岸采集219 个农田土壤样品和48 个蔬菜样品, 测 试其中As、Cd、Cr、Cu、Ni、Pb、Zn 等7 种重金属元素的含量, 并结合GIS 作图与数据统 计, 对农田土壤中重金属空间分布、土壤和蔬菜中重金属富集特征以及其潜在风险进行分析。 结果表明, 农田土壤中As、Cd、Cu、Ni、Pb 和Zn 含量均大于湖南省相应土壤重金属含量背 景值, Cd (2.44 mg kg^-1)、Pb (65.00 mg kg^-1)、Zn (144.13 mg kg^-1) 含量分别超标7.97、3.69 和 1.63 倍。与我国《土壤环境质量标准》(GB15618-1995) 中II 级标准(pH 6.5~7.5) 比较, 土壤 As、Cd、Cu、Ni、Pb 和Zn 含量的超标率分别为13.2%、68.5%、2.7%、2.7%、8.7%和 15.1%, 表现为以Cd 为主的多种重金属混合污染。菜地土壤中As、Cd、Cu、Pb 和Zn 的含 量( 几何均值) 分别高于水稻土As、Cd、Cu、Pb 和Zn 含量。与《食品中污染物限量》 (GB2762-2005) 等标准比较, 蔬菜As、Cd、Ni、Pb 含量的样本超标率分别为95.8%、68.8%、 10.4%和95.8%; 蔬菜Cd、Pb、Zn 含量与相应土壤的Cd、Pb、Zn 含量存在极显著的相关性 (P < 0.01)。湘江中下游的农田土壤和蔬菜中重金属污染的潜在风险值得关注。     

珠江下游浮游细菌群落结构的时空分布特征

浮游细菌群落对河流变化具有高度响应性,并可能影响河流生境的生物地球化学过程.因此,了解浮游细菌群落的时空特征,阐明其在河流生态系统中的生态功能具有重要科学意义.于2016年6月和12月对珠江下游浮游细菌群落结构的时空特征进行调查研究,并采用16S rRNA高通量测序技术对样品组分进行分析.结果表明细菌群落主要由变形菌门(Proteobacteria)、放线菌门(Actinobacteria)、拟杆菌门(Bacteroidetes)、厚壁菌门(Firmicutes)、抗微菌门(Verrucomicrobia)和蓝细菌门(Cyanobacteria)组成.其中变形菌门相对丰度最高,主要包括β-变形菌纲(Betaproteobacteria)、α-变形菌纲(Alphaproteobacteria)和γ-变形菌纲(Gammaproteobacteria).季节上,丰水期Shannon-Wiener和Chao 1多样性指数高于枯水期其中芽孢杆菌纲(Bacilli)和黄杆菌纲(Flavobacteriia)差异显著;空间上,珠江下游可分为西江沿线、珠三角河网中部和广州市周边3个区域.采用RDA分析表明水温(WT)、溶解氧(DO)、磷酸盐(PO_4~(3-)-P)、硅酸盐(SiO_4--Si)、总磷(TP)和透明度(SD)是驱动细菌群落变化最显著的环境因子,可影响细菌的增殖代谢.其中WT和SD是影响季节差异的重要因素将丰水期和枯水期区分开;而DO、化学需氧量(COD)和营养盐(PO_4~(3-)-P、SiO_4~(2-)-Si、TP)是影响空间差异的重要因素将西江沿线、珠三角河网中部和广州市周边区分开.PICRUSt功能预测分析表明,转运体(Transporters)、ABC转运体(ABC transporters)、DNA修复和重组蛋白(DNA repair and recombination proteins)等是珠江下游浮游细菌群落所表达的主要功能其中转运体和ABC转运体功能丰水期明显高于枯水期.研究结果可为珠江下游生态环境保护提供科学参考依据.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF FOCAL MECHANISMS IN THE DOWNSTREAM RESERVOIR AREAS OF JINSHA RIVER

We select the Xiluodu-Wudongde reservoir area in the downstream of Jinsha River as the research area, and use the CAP and GPAT method to obtain focal mechanisms of M_L ≥ 2.0 earthquakes from 2016 to 2017 in this region. Then, we analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of focal mechanism solutions in each local region and investigate the relationship between seismicity and regional structures. According to 414 focal mechanism solutions we get following conclusions:1)The Xiluodu dam began to impound water on May 4, 2013, and seismicity increased significantly after impoundment. We get 49 focal mechanisms in the Xiluodu dam and its adjacent area which are dominated by thrust faulting and next by strike-slip faulting, which are mainly distributed near the middle section of the Ebian-Jinyang fault zone. The distribution of nodal planes striking in NNW to NE direction is consistent with that of regional faults, and some large earthquakes are controlled by regional structures. 2)There are 39 and 24 focal mechanisms obtained in the unimpounded Baihetan and Wudongde dams and adjacent areas, and the spatial distribution of focal mechanism solutions are relatively consistent, dominated by strike-slip faulting with a small amount of thrust and normal faulting. The sinistral strike-slip earthquakes are consistent with the activity of Xiaojiang fault zone and Puduhe-Xishan Fault. The strikes of the nodal planes are distributed discretely, and many groups of faults intersect with each other in the area, suggesting that the seismogenic environment is relatively complex. 3)The seismicity in Ludian continues to be active after the Ludian M6.5 earthquake. By the end of 2017, we got 260 focal mechanism solutions in the aftershock area of the Ludian M_S6.5 earthquake of Aug 3rd, 2014, which show an "L-shape" in distribution and are dominated by thrust and strike-slip faulting. The long axis is distributed in EW direction, and the short axis is distributed in near NNW direction. The strikes of nodal planes are mainly near EW and near NE, and the nodal planes in the NW direction are less. According to characteristics of a large number of focal mechanism solutions, we deduce that there may exist a buried structure in the EW direction, the seismicity is controlled by different types of faults and the seismogenic structure is very complex. 4)The centroid depth in each region is concentrated in the range of 5~15km, indicating that the seismogenic layer in the study area is 5~15km deep in the middle and upper crust.     

Rossby波列传播效应在梅汛期强降雨中期预报中的应用研究

根据1981-2010年30年梅汛期(6-7月)46个代表站的逐日实测降雨量和NCEP再分析资料,统计归纳出强降雨天气气候特征;通过对大量历史个例的总结,对影响江淮流域强降雨的500hPa主要环流特征和影响系统、850hPa风场等分布特征进行了综合分析,提出了强降雨的概念模型和中期预报着眼点。针对近30年来出现的10次长持续性强降雨天气过程,进行了Rossby波的下游效应分析,得出Rossby波列自西向东明显传播将有利于江淮流域出现持续性强降雨天气过程。Rossby波能量的下游效应可为中期预报提供新的思路。     

滦河下游河道生态需水量

为量化水库下游河道生态修复所需水量,以滦河下游潘家口水库—滦河口为研究样区,采用逐月频率法和生态水力学法估算河道生态需水量,既具有水文学方法的简便,又考虑生物学特性,强调了水文-生态的联系。通过对研究区河道1956~2000年生态、水文及水力资料的分析计算,结果表明:①逐月频率法和生态水力学法在计算滦河下游河道生态需水中均合理;②最小、适宜、理想等级年生态需水量分别为4.29亿,8.93亿和16.29亿m3,分别占河道天然径流量的10.18%、21.21%和38.68%;③年内汛期8月份及生物繁殖期(4~6月)需水量分别达到年度总量的33.5%和11.5%。     

2007年夏季中国大陆85°E以东的异常天气与气候——中国科学院大气物理研究所2007年汛期降水预测的总结

对中国科学院大气物理研究所2007年的夏季(6~8月)降水预测进行检验,结果表明,3月底的预测与实况有一定差异,6月的预测有所改进。简要讨论了2007年夏季的主要降水过程及其成因。2007年夏季华南、长江中下游和淮河流域先后出现梅雨锋强降水,6月中旬和8月中旬出现两次Rossby波列的下游发展效应,引起陕甘宁一次强降水以及加强了圣帕台风引起的强降水。7月上中旬出现高压脊发展后,下游小低槽强烈斜压发展过程引起淮河出现致洪暴雨以及济南暴雨灾害。7月中下旬,由于阻高南侧的3次高空槽切断过程,造成重庆地区以及山西和豫西的暴雨灾害。在东亚季风区,夏季大气季节内振荡很显著,而且对降水的时空分布有重要影响。由于短期气候预测对夏季风季节内变化的预测还是一个难点,这给汛期降水的可预报性带来了限制。     

Variation in Summer Rainfall in North China during the Period 1956--2007 and Links with Atmospheric Circulation

Using gauge precipitation data and NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data, the interdecadal changes in summer precipitation during the period 1956-2007 in North China and the link with atmospheric circulation change over Eurasia are studied. Results show that precipitation amounts decreased by 16.2 mm per decade, which was attributable to a significant reduction in precipitation frequency. Contrary wave trains were found in the subtropical westerly jet (wave guide) over Eurasia for the wet and dry years of North China. When the wave trains had a ridge (trough) around the Korean Peninsula, conditions favored (disfavored) the westward and northward extension of the West Pacific subtropical high. The westward and northward extension of the West Pacific subtropical high is, and was, beneficial to rainfall in North China. The downstream propagation of Rossby waves was found to favor the maintenance of these wave trains. Sensible heating in the south of Lake Baikal and latent heating from the Korean Peninsula to the south of Japan increased during the period 1980-2007, as compared to that during 1957-1979. the wet period. These changes had positive influences on the maintenance of Anticyclonic-Cyclonic anomaly centers in the wave trains. Furthermore, northerly winds were prevalent in the lower troposphere during the dry period (1980-2007). which prohibited the transportation of water vapor to North China from the seas and thereby led to a decrease in rainfall in North China. The weakening of the Indian Monsoon during the dry period might be one of reasons for the reduction in water vapor transportation.     

石羊河下游农户的生计风险及应对策略——以民勤绿洲区为例

石羊河下游农户面临着严峻的风险冲击,使其生计脆弱性加剧。当前急需辨明农户面临的主要风险,探索阻碍农户抵御风险冲击的潜在因素,并依此找寻提高农户风险应对能力的对策措施。基于入户调查数据,分析了石羊河下游民勤绿洲区农户面临的主要生计风险及应对策略,并采用多元logistic模型分析了影响风险应对策略选择的因素。结果发现:1市场、教育及自然风险已成为农户面临的最主要生计风险,其中纯农户(全部劳动力均从事农业生产)与一兼户(非农收入比重50%)主要面临市场、教育及自然风险,二兼户(50%≤非农收入比重90%)为市场、健康及教育风险,非农户(非农收入比重≥90%)为教育、健康及养老风险;2减少消费、外出打工、动用储蓄、向亲友寻求帮助、向银行借贷是农户应对风险的主要策略,其中非农户的首选策略中居首位的是外出打工,其他三类农户均为减少消费;3人力资本、金融资本、社会资本是影响农户风险应对策略选择的最重要因素,物质资本次之,自然资本的影响最弱。最后,提出了提高农户风险应对能力的对策建议。