我国雷暴活动对宇宙线福布希下降的短期响应

本研究了１９７１－１９８０年间５１个大于３％的宇宙线福布希下降对我国１８５个气象站上空雷暴活动的短期影响。结果表明，雷暴活动对福布希下降的短期响应存在明显的空间差异。在一些区域中福布希下降后雷暴活动明显增强，而在另一些区域中明显减弱。在这些明显响应区中，雷暴活动在福布希下降前后的差异显性分别通过了１０＾－２－１０＾－６置信度检验。这些响应区所在的地理位置与雷暴活动对耀斑爆发的响应区相互对应，但     

我国雷暴活动对太阳耀斑响应的东西不对称性

本文研究了１９７１—１９８０年间发生在日面东部的１６４个和西部的１３２个２级以上耀斑对我国１８５个气象站上空雷暴活动的影响．结果表明，日面东部耀斑爆发后雷暴活动减弱且通过优于０．１的置信度检验测站数远多于日面西部耀斑，而日面西部耀斑爆发后雷暴活动增强，通过优于０．１的置信度检验测站数远多于日面东部耀斑．这种与地磁活动和日球扰动相似的雷暴活动对太阳耀斑响应的东西不对称性，可能借助于大气电环境并通过行星际磁场和磁层，将太阳和对流层的确耦合起来了．     

我国部分地区雷暴活动、大气电场等与太阳活动的关系(英文)

本文统计分析了从1976——1985年一个太阳黑子周期期间太阳耀斑爆发和雷暴活动及地面大气电场之间的可能相关性。分析结果指出:(1)耀斑对雷暴活动影响较大,对于高纬度地区二者有较明显的正相关性,相关日在 5日以后。对于2级以上耀斑最大相关日为 7日,增长百分比为18％,且响应变化主要发生在耀斑爆发后 5—— 10日内。中低纬度地区几乎不存在相关性。(2)耀斑强度越强,引起雷暴活动的响应程度越大,且响应区域从高纬度向中低纬度移动。 (3)耀斑爆发后二天左右,地面大气电场明显增大,且随耀斑强度增强而增大。电场强度增大的相关日提前于雷暴数增大的相关日,故雷暴活动增强是大气电场增加的结果,而不是原因。 本文还从全球电路概念出发,简单解释了形成上述相关性的可能原因。太阳活动主要通过对全环大气电路的调制,例如增大大气电场和中层大气电导率等来影响雷暴的起电过程。雷暴中强烈的电活动可以产生和动力涡度相比拟的电涡度,而涡度和上升运动之间存在很强的正反馈过程。因此,雷暴中电活动的加强无疑能促进雷暴的动力发展。目前上述相关性还停留在定性解释上,机制尚不清楚,初步研究发现,雷暴对流起电理论有可能建立上述联系,今后准备利用数值模拟从物理上作定量考察。     

NGC 1333/IRA6-9 区域中的致密分子云核

利用紫金山天文台青海站的13．7m毫米波望远镜,对NGC1333／IRAS6－9附近的一个10．3'X10'和6．8'X8'的恒星形成区,进行了13CO（1－0）和C18O（1－0）的成图观测,发现了多个新的分子云核和沿SSV12－IRASS方向的13CO（1－O）双极外向流．本文给出了每个云核的观测特性和物理参数．分析了这一区域的云核分布和速度场结构．详细讨论了该区域的云核分布、双极外向流和群集的年轻天体、红外源以及HH天体的关系．     

太阳耀斑爆发对京津冀地区云——地闪电活动的影响

太阳活动能否影响地球天气气候是一个全球关心的问题［１,２］．目前大多数研究者认为,太阳活动影响短期天气变化最可能的途径是通过调制大气电环境来实现的［３－５］,太阳耀斑爆发及其伴随事件均可对地球电环境产生明显的影响［１－５］,并通过磁层－电离层－中性大气层的耦合作用影响大气电场,再通过云中电性质的改变影响云的微物理结构［６,７］,并直接产生动力作用［８－１０］,从而影响雷雨云的发展,造成短期天气变化．２０多年来已有大量有关太阳耀斑与地球雷暴间的相关统计工作［３－５］．Ｍａｒｋｓｏｎ［１１］、Ｂｏｓ…     

电离氢区S140,S141和S142的红外发射研究

本文使用红外天文卫星（IRAS）巡天数据的最新版本IRAS天空巡天图（ISSA），经过进一步处理，得到了S140S141和S142SharplessHII区－分子云复合体的红外发射强度、温度及其光深的分布．在此基础上对各HII区的一些物理参量进行了统计分析，得到了分子云复合体的红外发射总光度以及复合体中尘埃的分布情况，对小尺度尘埃（VSG）的丰度进行了分析．并对各恒星形成区中的致密团块进行了研究，揭示出其中一些可能的恒星形成区域．同时，对S140区中的有关红外点源作出了能谱分析，并对S141区的激发星进行了讨论．     

GPS／LEO掩星方法中的电离层延迟量对太阳射电辐射流量的响应

对无线电信号在电离层中的传播路径进行了数值模拟；针对掩星观测中的五组实际卫星轨道数据(包括GPS和LEO卫星)，给出了在太阳射电辐射流量(FLUX)分别为0，70，160和240等几种情况下的电离层延迟量对10．7cm波长的太阳辐射流量的响应结果；这分别对应着无太阳辐射、太阳射电辐射处于活动低谷、平静期和高峰期等几种情形。从中可以发现，掩星观测中电离层延迟量对10．7cm波长的太阳射电辐射流量的响应表现为如下特性：电离层延迟同参数FLUX的大小有明显的对应关系，即FLUX越大，则掩星观测中的电离层延迟越大；对于上升掩星情况而言，掩星观测中电离层延迟量起先逐渐增加，然后达到某一峰值，其后逐渐下降；在掩星观测的初期和中期，太阳射电辐射处于活动低谷、平静期和高峰期等几种情形之间的电离层延迟量差异都较为显著，而在掩星观测的后期，几种情形相互间电离层延迟量的差异都比较小。     

恒星形成区GGD12-15的近红外观测

给出恒星形成区GGD12-15的宽波段JHK和窄波段H2v=1-0S(1)近红外成像观测．观测图像揭示了致密的年轻红外星团和与红外源成协的红外星云，并发现了以H2发射结表征的星团外流活动．大多数红外点源在光学波段不可见；对76颗红外点源的JHK′测光结果显示，有32颗具有红外超，其中5颗表现原恒星特征，表明分子云中的恒星形成活动很活跃．以B8光谱型作为大质量星分界，由色星等图估计出大质量星所占星团比例为-10％～26％．GGD12—15星团的K′星等分布的峰值位于15.0mag，并在13．0mag-16．0mag平坦分布；[H—K′]色分布的峰值出现在-0．7mag，在此以上更红的星团成分占70％．在GGD12-15区新发现的氢分子发射结集中在星团中心领域，其空间分布明显与剧烈的恒星形成活动相关；有5个发射结位于分子外流的中心区域，暗示其激发可能与分子外流同源．     

冕洞的地磁效应

分析了２２太阳活动周（１９８６．１－１９９５．６；ＣＲ１７７１－ＣＲ１８９８）冕洞对地磁扰动的长期效应和短期效应。作为长期效应，赤道冕洞数和面积指数随太阳活动周伦与同期的地磁ＡＰ指数的长期变化基本一致，二者在ａ＝０．０１扒度水平上密度相关，表明赤道冕洞不仅对低年的磁扰有贡献，而且对峰年期间地磁拓动的贡献不可忽视的。对冕洞的短期地磁效应的研究表明，不论哪种类型的冕洞，在它们过中经后的１－４天，地磁４     

论在空间灾害性天气条件下低频太阳射电观测在预警心脑血管事件中的作用

太阳活动是对地球及人类生活影响最直接的天文活动,在航空航天、通信、电力以及人体健康方面影响着人类的生产生活。通过以往的一些研究结果分析非光学(non-optical)范畴的太阳活动例如日冕物质抛射、太阳射电爆发与某些人类疾病呈正相关性,这与低频太阳活动对日地空间的影响有密切联系。采用云南天文台2012年上半年70 MHz~1 500 MHz波段观测数据与昆明医科大学第一附属医院心脑血管病例结合进行相关分析,得到利用低频太阳活动爆发对人体影响预警的时间延迟因子(与等离子体抛射物质到达地球有关)。通过研究证明利用直接太阳低频射电观测数据能够较之于之前国际上利用宇宙线的福布希下降进行的空间天气预警提前2~3 d,有效地提高了预警效果,为下一步基于低频空间异动观测数据现报——健康实时预警系统的建立打下了工作基础。     

Unusual Cosmic Ray Variations During the Forbush Decreases of June 2015

Although the current Solar Cycle 24 is characterized by low solar activity, an intense geomagnetic storm (G4) was recorded in June 2015. It was a complex phenomenon that began on 22 June 2015 as the result of intense solar activity, accompanied by several flares and coronal mass ejections that interacted with the Earth’s magnetic field. A Forbush decrease was also recorded at the neutron monitors of the worldwide network, with an amplitude of 8.4%, and in its recovery phase, a second Forbush decrease followed, with an amplitude of 4.0% for cosmic rays of 10 GV obtained with the global survey method. The Dst index reached a minimum value of ?204 nT that was detected on 23 June 2015 at 05:00?–?06:00 UT, while the Kp index reached the value eight. For our analysis, we used hourly cosmic-ray intensity data recorded by polar, mid-, and high-latitude neutron monitor stations obtained from the High Resolution Neutron Monitor Database. The cosmic-ray anisotropy variation at the ecliptic plane was also estimated and was found to be highly complex. We study and discuss the unusual and complex cosmic-ray and geomagnetic response to these solar events.     

Short and long-term variations in the cosmic ray intensity and their connection with the 5303 Å coronal line intensity in solar cycle No. 20

The cosmic ray modulation in the period 1965–70 is investigated by the comparison of the intensity data of groundbased stations with different response to primaries. The socalled step-like modulation, already observed by other authors, is found to be produced by the overlapping between the quasi-stationary solar cycle modulation and the Forbush decrease events. Moreover a good correlation between the cosmic-ray variance (Forbush decrease index) and the 5303 coronal intensity at middle heliolatitudes (17.5°–42.5°) is found, while the quasi-stationary solar cycle modulation is well correlated with the 5303 intensity near the solar equator (0°–17.5°). The different time behaviour of the solar activity at different heliolatitudes causes the step-like modulation.     

Cosmic-Ray Decreases and Interplanetary Disturbances During the Solar Magnetic Polarity Reversal in Solar Cycle 20

Using the cosmic-ray intensity data recorded with ground-based monitors at Mt. Washington and Deep River, and with cosmic-ray telescopes on Pioneer 8 and 9 spacecraft as well as the 2-hour averages of the IMF (magnitude and direction) and the solar wind bulk speed and density at 1 AU, the cosmic-ray decreases and interplanetary disturbances, that occurred during the period of solar magnetic polarity reversal in solar cycle 20, were investigated.We observed a two-step Forbush decrease on 22–23 November 1969, and a Forbush decrease on 26 November 1969, which are respectively consistent with the model of Barnden (1973), and of Parker (1963) and Barnden (1973). Only one Forbush decrease event was observed in December 1969, a period during which there was a solar magnetic polarity reversal; the Forbush decrease was attributed to a long-lived corotating high-speed solar wind stream. This is indicative that at heliolongitudes from 43° E to 70° W of S–E radial, covered by the observations, the solar magnetic polarity reversal in solar cycle 20 was not carried by, nor related to, individual transient structures, and that the reversal most probably evolved gradually.     

Transient perturbations and their effects in the heliosphere, the geo-magnetosphere, and the Earth’s atmosphere: Space weather perspective

We discuss the effects of certain dynamic features of space environment in the heliosphere, the geo-magnetosphere, and the earth’s atmosphere. In particular, transient perturbations in solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic field, and energetic charged particle (cosmic ray) fluxes near 1 AU in the heliosphere have been discussed. Transient variations in magnetic activity in geo-magnetosphere and solar modulation effects in the heliosphere have also been studied. Emphasis is on certain features of transient perturbations related to space weather effects. Relationships between geomagnetic storms and transient modulations in cosmic ray intensity (Forbush decreases), especially those caused by shock-associated interplanetary disturbances, have been studied in detail. We have analysed the cosmic ray, geomagnetic and interplanetary plasma/field data to understand the physical mechanisms of two phenomena namely, Forbush decrease and geomagnetic storms, and to search for precursors to Forbush decrease (and geomagnetic storms) that can be used as a signature to forecast space weather. It is shown that the use of cosmic ray records has practical application for space weather predictions. Enhanced diurnal anisotropy and intensity deficit of cosmic rays have been identified as precursors to Forbush decreases in cosmic ray intensity. It is found that precursor to smaller (less than 5%) amplitude Forbush decrease due to weaker interplanetary shock is enhanced diurnal anisotropy. However, larger amplitude (greater than 5%) Forbush decrease due to stronger interplanetary shock shows loss cone type intensity deficit as precursor in ground based intensity record. These precursors can be used as inputs for space weather forecast.     

Time variation analysis of the daily Forbush decrease indices

In the present paper we have analyzed the daily Forbush decrease indices from January 1, 1967 to December 31, 2003. First filtering the time series by Simple Exponential Smoothing, we have applied Scargle Method of Periodogram on the processed time series in order to search for its time variation. Study exhibits periodicities around 174, 245, 261, 321, 452, 510, 571, 584, 662, 703, 735, 741, 767, 774, 820, 970, 1062, 1082, 1489, 1715, 2317, 2577, 2768, 3241 and 10630 days with confidence levels higher than 90%. Some of these periods are significantly similar to the observed periodicities of other solar activities, like solar filament activity, solar electron flare occurrence, solar-flare rate, solar proton events, solar neutrino flux, solar irradiance, cosmic ray intensity and flare, spectrum of the sunspot, solar wind, southern coronal hole area and solar cycle, which may suggest that the Forbush decrease behaves similarly to these solar activities and these activities may have a common origin.     

Piston shock and Forbush effect

A model of a piston shock produced by a sharp jump in the velocity of the solar wind with a helical magnetic field is suggested to explain the origin of the Forbush decrease of cosmic rays with a hard energy spectrum at solar activity minimum and, in some cases, at solar activity maximum. The contact velocity, the compression ratio, the contact position, the ratio of the magnetic field near the contact to the seed field, the maximum momentum of the particles subjected to modulation, and the modulation depth for the neutron and muon cosmic ray components have been calculated. The theoretical calculations are compared with experimental data.     

The geomagnetic and cosmic-ray storm of May 25/26, 1967

A series of geomagnetic disturbances and cosmic ray variations caused by the McMath plage region 8818 in the latter half of May 1967 were examined. The systematic changes of the geomagnetic disturbances were observed as the relative location between the responsible flares and the earth changed during the half solar rotation period.The storm of May 25/26, 1967 was then studied in great detail on the basis of records from a number of magnetic and cosmic ray observatories. A large asymmetric main phase field in mid-and low-latitude regions (and thus an asymmetric ring current belt) grew rapidly during the first three successive polar magnetic substorms. The cosmic ray intensity variations during the storm consisted of the Forbush decrease and the ring current effect. The Forbush decrease had a marked north-south asymmetry during its developing phase.     

The effect of gradient and curvature drifts on Forbush decreases

The average profile of Forbush decreases, produced by eastern-, central- and western-region solar flares is obtained separately by superposed epoch analysis for the periods 1966–1969 (qA < 0) and 1971–1979 (qA > 0). It is observed that the recovery of an average Forbush decrease from the maximum depression level is faster for the situation qA > 0 than for the situation qA < 0. This is in accordance with expectations from the drift theory. It is also observed that the drift effect is more pronounced for western-flare Forbush decreases which, of course, have a smaller magnitude compared to eastern- and central-flare Forbush decreases.The average profiles of simple and complex type Forbush decreases are also obtained separately for three periods 1965–1979, 1971–1979, and 1981–1987. It is found that the average profiles of simple and complex type Forbush decreases observed during the period 1965–1969 and 1971– 1979 are quite in agreement with drift theory. The anomalous behavior of average Forbush-decrease profiles during the period 1981–1987, especially in simple type Forbush decreases, is also explained by a drift current sheet tilt model.     

On the Analysis of the Complex Forbush Decreases of January 2005

In this work an analysis of a series of complex cosmic ray events that occurred between 17 January 2005 and 23 January 2005 using solar, interplanetary and ground based cosmic ray data is being performed. The investigated period was characterized both by significant galactic cosmic ray (GCR) and solar cosmic ray (SCR) variations with highlighted cases such as the noticeable series of Forbush effects (FEs) from 17 January 2005 to 20 January 2005, the Forbush decrease (FD) on 21 January 2005 and the ground level enhancement (GLE) of the cosmic ray counter measurements on 20 January 2005. The analysis is focusing on the aforementioned FE cases, with special attention drawn on the 21 January 2005, FD event, which demonstrated several exceptional features testifying its uniqueness. Data from the ACE spacecraft, together with GOES X-ray recordings and LASCO CME coronagraph images were used in conjunction to the ground based recordings of the Worldwide Neutron Monitor Network, the interplanetary data of OMNI database and the geomagnetic activity manifestations denoted by K _p and D _st indices. More than that, cosmic ray characteristics as density, anisotropy and density gradients were also calculated. The results illustrate the state of the interplanetary space that cosmic rays crossed and their corresponding modulation with respect to the multiple extreme solar events of this period. In addition, the western location of the 21 January 2005 solar source indicates a new cosmic ray feature, which connects the position of the solar source to the cosmic ray anisotropy variations. In the future, this feature could serve as an indicator of the solar source and can prove to be a valuable asset, especially when satellite data are unavailable.