气候变化对河北省海河流域径流量的影响

利用河北省境内海河流域51个气象站、68个水文站1956~2000年近50年的气象、径流量数据,分析了气象要素和径流量的变化规律。河北省境内海河流域多年平均地表径流量为67.0×10⁸m³,从20世纪 50 年代至 90 年代地表径流量呈逐渐减小的趋势,50年代为105.3×10⁸m³,90年代为54.7×10⁸m³。地表径流量随降水量的减少而减小,随气温的升高而下降,用回归方法建立的径流量与气象要素之间的模型为对数模型。根据未来气候变化情景对河北省海河流域径流量的预测:2030年为70.0~76.8×10⁸m³,2050年为69.8~76.9×10⁸m³。     

渭河关中段洪水资源化潜力评估

洪水资源化是实施渭河流域关中段流域资源综合管理和实现区域经济可持续发展的必然要求和重要途径。通过对渭河流域关中段来水来沙丰枯变化规律和河道冲淤特性的分析,从有利于输水输沙减少泥沙淤积考虑,确定渭河中游洪峰2000m³/s、渭河下游段3000m³/s为洪水利用起算标准;依据这一标准,计算出林家村—魏家堡河段平均年可利用洪水水量、洪水沙量分别为4.038×10⁷m³、6.83×10⁶t,魏家堡—咸阳河段平均年可利用洪水水量、洪水沙量分别为为9.139×10⁷m³、6.05×10⁶t,咸阳—华县河段平均年可利用洪水水量、洪水沙量分别为1.617×10⁸m³、1.843×10⁷t;流域综合管理过程中,必须引入风险管理机制,利用优化理论寻找平衡机制,实现流域防洪、供水和生态保护兼顾的最佳效益。     

应用水资源管理模拟模型研究2000年乌鲁木齐河流域供水方案

乌鲁木齐河流域包括乌鲁木齐市区及其南、北郊区,是全国着名的缺水流域。据分析1990年已经超采地下水资源1.2×10⁸m³,到2000年,流域及城市缺水将十分严重。乌鲁木齐河流域属于内陆河流域,在水资源开发利用过程中,地表水与地下水多次转换,目前该流域水资源的重复利用率已达167%.建立有效的地表水和地下水联合利用模拟模型,可了解地下水资源的动态变化及分析地表水和地下水的相互转换对可利用水资源总量的影响。通过分析得出,节流措施大大地提高了地表水的可利用量,而减少的地下水的可利用量却不多。在开源措施方面,对规划工程进行了方案组合,分析了其实施的必要性。通过大量运算提出该流域2000年六种供水方案,为解决乌鲁木齐市城市发展缺水问题及供水措施规划提供决策参考。     

北京市水资源与水量平衡研究

以降雨-径流-蒸散发平衡和水资源供需平衡模式为基础进行研究,得到以下结论:北京市2001～2009年系列的水资源量与多年平均系列相比,水资源产量减少了约40.1%,减少的原因既有气候因素,也有人类活动导致土地覆被变化的原因,其中气候因素占30.1%,下垫面变化导致产流减少的比重为69.9%;同时由于人口的增长,北京市人均水资源占有量从270 m³下降到114 m³.在北京市水平衡分析中,采用不同下垫面蒸散发模式,计算得到2001～2009年北京市蒸散发为494 mm,河川径流量为46 mm,入境水量为4.34 亿m³,出境水量为8.03 亿m³,超采地下水、水库净补给以及外流域引水量为6.19 亿m³.在不考虑河道内生态需水条件下,北京市的现状缺水量为4.73～5.86 亿m³.到2014年南水北调中线水到达北京以后,北京将可以在75%来水年份下保障10～15年的水资源的基本供需平衡。但是如果遭遇95%来水频率的特枯年份,北京仍然将会面临较为严重的水资源短缺问题。     

青藏高原高寒草原区域碳估测

CASA(Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Biosphere)模型是一个表征陆地生态系统水、碳素和氮素通量随时间变化的生态系统过程模型。本研究采用MODIS遥感数据与CASA模型相结合的方法计算了青藏高原高寒草原生态系统植被净初级生产力(NPP)总量为20.57×10¹²g·a^-1的碳。同时根据五道梁实验点上得到的经验关系估算了青藏高原高寒草原生态系统区域上的土壤碳排放(Heterotrophic respiration)总量为8.07×10¹² g·a^-1,因此推算得高寒草原区域内净生态系统生产力(NEP)折算成碳为12.50×10¹² g·a^-1。     

辽河流域生态需水估算

从辽河流域存在的环境问题出发,在确定主要生态需水类型的基础上,基于水资源分区,分别估算各水资源分区的不同类型的生态需水,包括枯季河道生态需水、汛期输沙需水、入海需水、地下水恢复需补充的水量、河口湿地生态需水等。针对辽河流域季节性河流的特点,提出了枯水季节最小流量法的枯季河道生态需水计算方法。计算结果表明,辽河流域生态需水总量为130.44×10⁸m³,占地表径流的48.3%,其中浑太河、东辽河2个水资源分区的生态需水量占地表径流的比例在60%以上,辽河干流生态需水量占地表径流的53.5%,其余水资源分区生态需水量占地表径流的比例均在50%以下。研究结果为流域水资源配置及水环境保护与恢复提供科学依据。     

遥感反演土壤蒸发/植被蒸腾二层模型在华北地区的应用

利用一种可操作的地表蒸散遥感反演二层模型,以我国华北平原为研究区,选择2004年的3月至6月华北地区主要农作物冬小麦的生长季节作为研究时段,利用MODIS遥感卫星数据,结合地面130多个气象台站的空气温湿度实测数据,实现了土壤蒸发和植被蒸腾的反演。采用国家生态网络禹城综合试验站利用涡度相关系统观测的地表总蒸散半小时平均的数据进行了模型验证,结果表明模型估算的地表可利用能量与地面实测数据的相关系数可以达到0.92,均方差为30.4w.m^-2;模型估算的地表总蒸散值与地面实测数据的相关系数为0.85,均方差为21.3 w.m^-2,由此证明了模型的可用性。     

基于氢氧同位素与水化学的 潮白河流域地下水水循环特征

为了研究变化环境下潮白河流域地下水水循环规律,通过现场调查,结合环境同位素及水化学应用,对潮白河流域浅层和深层地下水采样,测定其氢、氧环境同位素及水化学成分,通过分析其变化特征判明地下水的补给来源以及各含水层的相互联系。降水和地下水中的环境同位素δD和δ¹⁸O组成分析表明,降水是山前地下水的主要补给源,山区浅层地下水受蒸发影响非常强烈。水化学研究结果表明,山区地下水水质以 Ca²⁺和 HCO^-₃为主,属Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-HCO^-₃型地下水。山前地下水类型为Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-HCO^-₃、 Na⁺-K⁺-HCO^-₃、Mg²⁺-Ca²⁺-HCO^-₃和 Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-Cl^--SO^2-₄。平原区地下水为Mg²⁺, Na⁺和HCO^-₃。滨海冲积海积平原为Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-HCO^-₃型和Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-Cl^--SO^2-₄型地下水。水化学分析证实了越流补给的存在。Ca²⁺ 和 HCO^-₃离子均呈山区高、山前和平原低、而滨海增高的趋势。沿潮白河流向地下水类型变化为:Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-HCO^-₃ Na⁺＝K⁺-HCO^-₃ Ca²⁺-Mg²⁺-HCO^-₃。     

俄罗斯阿尔泰边区的旅游业发展研究

旅游业发展综述阿尔泰（阿尔泰一词来自蒙语阿尔坦，意为黄金）边区位于俄罗斯西西伯利亚经济区,国土面积26.17×10⁴km²,西北-东南距离950 km,人口277.77万人,其中山地阿尔泰自治省面积9.26×10⁴km²,人口17.98万人。     

塔里木河中下游地下水化学及其演变特征分析

 通过对塔里木河中下游14个断面57眼地下水监测井样品离子化学成分分析,探讨了塔里木河中下游地下水化学成分特点、水化学类型及演化规律。结果表明：塔里木河中下游各断面地下水pH值变化不大,矿化度和各离子差异明显,地下水水样以Na⁺、Cl^-占绝对优势;矿化度较低的断面其离子浓度变化较小,反之,矿化度高的断面其离子浓度变化幅度较大;从塔里木河中游沙吉利克断面至铁依孜断面地下水化学类型由以Cl-SO₄-Na、Cl-Na-Mg和Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg型水为主,逐渐过渡为以Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg和Cl-Na型水为主,在下游阿克敦断面至考干断面地下水化学类型由以Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg、Cl-Na-Mg型水为主过渡为以Cl-Na、Cl-HCO₃-Na和Cl-Na-Mg为主;时间上,2006年中游断面沿河道地下水化学类型由Cl-SO₄-HCO₃-Na型过渡为Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg型再到Cl-Na型水,而2010年则由Cl-SO₄-Na型过渡为Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg型再到Cl-Na型水,在下游,2006年沿河道地下水化学类型由Cl-SO₄-Na型过渡为Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg型再到Cl-Na（Mg）型水,2010年则由Cl-SO₄-Na-Mg型直接过渡为Cl-Na-Mg型和Cl-Na型水。塔里木河中下游水样化学组成均落在Gibbs提出的Boomerang Envelope模型上翼,暗示研究区水样化学组成受到蒸发/结晶作用影响。另外,土地利用变化、灌溉、施肥等人为活动的影响不容忽视。     

Dynamic evaluation of groundwater resources in Zhangye Basin

Groundwater resource is vital to the sustainable development of socio-economics in arid and semi-arid regions of Northwest China. An estimation of the groundwater resources variation in Zhangye Basin was made during 1985–2013 based on long-term groundwater observation data and geostatistical method. The results show that from 1985 to 2013, groundwater storage exhibited tremendous dissimilarity on temporal and spatial scale for the whole Zhangye Basin, especially before and after implementation of the water diversion policy. Trend of groundwater storage varied from quick to slow decline or increase. The accumulative groundwater storage decreased nearly 47.52×10~8 m~3, and annual average depletion rate reached 1.64×10~8 m~3/a. Among which, the accumulative groundwater storage of the river and well water mixed irrigation district decreased by 37.48×10~8 m~3, accounting for about 78.87% of the total groundwater depletion of the Zhangye Basin. Accumulative depletion of groundwater storage varied in respective irrigation districts. Though groundwater resources depletion rate slowed down from 2005, the overall storage in the whole basin and respective districts during 1985–2013 was still in a severe deficit such that, the groundwater resource was in a rather negative balance, which could threaten the local aquifer. This is the joint effect of climate change and human activities, however human activities, such as water diversion policy and groundwater exploitation, became increasingly intense. Our research results could provide a reasonable estimation for the groundwater balance in Zhangye Basin, providing a scientific basis for water resources unified planning and, this method can provide a relatively reliable way of estimation for large scale groundwater resources.     

海河南系平原浅层地下水开采耗能及其空间分布

本文针对海河南系平原不同时期地下水水位变化引起的能耗增加问题,基于开采井与其影响半径区域内的地下水开采耗能等效的假设,首次推导了浅层地下水耗能计算公式。利用三个不同时期浅层地下水流场的演化特点,结合GIS技术方法,对典型年份 (1964、1984和2001年 )春季农业生产季节地下水开采耗能及其变化进行比较分析。研制了海河南系平原农业春产期浅层地下水耗能空间分布图,分析获得20世纪60年代以来该地区地下水位下降导致开采耗能大幅度增加的态势和空间分布格局,结果表明:从海积平原地区到太行山前平原地区,开采浅层地下水耗能以及耗能差值都呈递增趋势。研究结果对北方地区水价政策等的制订有重要的参考价值,为研究区南水北调后地下水水位回升的社会经济效益评价提供参考。     

近50 a博斯腾湖逐年水量收支估算与水平衡分析

据博斯腾湖流域1958-2010年期间主要河流开都河、黄水沟、清水河、孔雀河的逐年流量资料,结合焉耆盆地降水、蒸发要素的同期观测资料,对大湖区的逐年水量收支进行计算,并依据水量平衡原理对博湖大湖区残差水量进行了逐年分析。结果表明：（1）1958-2010年期间年均入湖水量14.34×10⁸ m³/a,其中入湖河水约占95%;年均输出水量13.96×10⁸ m³/a,其中大湖区输入孔雀河水量约占43%,湖面蒸发耗水量占57%;湖区年均蓄水量71.57±3.92×10⁸ m³10⁸ m³/a,湖水年均水位为1 047.01±0.94 m;（2）极端水文年度水量平衡分析指出：1986年为最枯年份,入湖河水是多年平均值的62%,而出湖河水量是多年平均值的153%,导致年内湖区水位下降0.94 m;2002年最丰年份入湖河水是多年平均值的2.6倍,致使年内水位上升0.80 m;（3）残差水量逐年“正负”变化指出,湖水与地下水之间存在互补关系,过去53 a间湖水补给地下水的年均水量为0.87×10⁸ m³/a。     

黑河流域土地利用变化对地下水资源的影响

Land use and land cover changes have a great impact on the regional hydrological process. Based on three periods of remote sensing data from the 1960s and the long-term observed data of groundwater from the 1980s, the impacts of land use changes on the groundwater system in the middle reach of Heihe River Basin in recent three decades are analyzed by the perspective of groundwater recharge and discharge system. The results indicate that with the different intensities of land use changes, the impacts on the groundwater recharge were 2.602 × 10^8 m^3/a in the former 15 years （1969-1985） and 0.218 × 10^8 m^3/a in the latter 15 years （1986-2000）, and the impacts on the groundwater discharge were 2.035 × 10^8 m^3/a and 4.91 × 10^8 m^3/a respectively. When the groundwater exploitation was in a reasonable range less than 3.0 × 10^8 m^3/a, the land use changes could control the changes of regional groundwater resources. Influenced by the land use changes and the large-scale exploitation in the recent decade, the groundwater resources present apparently regional differences in Zhangye region. Realizing the impact of land use changes on groundwater system and the characteristics of spatial-temporal variations of regional groundwater resources would be very important for reasonably utilizing and managing water and soil resources.     

华北平原地下水动态变化

The groundwater level of 39 observation wells including 35 unconfined wells and 4 confined wells from 2004 to 2006 in North China Plain (NCP) was monitored using automatic groundwater monitoring data loggers KADEC-MIZU II of Japan. The automatic groundwater sensors were installed for the corporation project between China and Japan. Combined with the monitoring results from 2004 to 2006 with the major factors affecting the dynamic patterns of groundwater, such as topography and landform, depth of groundwater level, exploitation or discharge extent, rivers and lakes, the dynamic regions of NCP groundwater were gotten. According to the dynamic features of groundwater in NCP, six dynamic patterns of groundwater level were identified, including discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, lateral recharge-runoff-discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, recharge-discharge pattern in the central channel zone, precipitation infiltration-evaporation pattern in the shallow groundwater region of the central plain, lateral recharge-evaporation pattern in the recharge-affected area along the Yellow River and infiltration-discharge-evaporation pattern in the littoral plain. Based on this, the groundwater fluctuation features of various dynamic patterns were interpreted and the influencing factors of different dynamic patterns were compared. Foundation: National Natural Sciences Foundation of China, No.40671034; No.40830636 Author: Wang Shiqin (1981–), Ph.D., specialized in hydrology and water resources, water cycle of watershed.     

Groundwater regime and calculation of yield response in North China Plain: a case study of Luancheng County in Hebei Province

The groundwater table has been declining at a rate of 0.65 m/yr in Luancheng County since large scale groundwater extraction carried out in the 1960s. The drop of precipitation, substantial increase in agricultural output, variations of crop planting structure and construction of water conservancy projects in the headwater area all tie up with the decline of the groundwater table. On the basis of analyzing the hydrogeological conditions and the water resources utilization of Luancheng County, a three-dimensional groundwater flow model was developed to simulate the county’s groundwater flow through finite-difference method using Visual Modflow software. We divide the research field into four parts after analyzing the hydrogeological condition. Based on parameter calibration and adjustment using measured data, the hydraulic conductivity and specific yield were simulated. Using the calibrated model, we analyze the agricultural water saving potentiality and its influence on the groundwater. The results are as follows: (1) if we decrease the amount of water extracted by 0.14xl0⁸ m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will rise by 0.33 m; (2) if we decrease the water by 0.29x 10⁸m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will rise by 0.64 m; and (3) if we increase the water by 0.29 x 10⁸m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will decline by 0.45 m. So we can draw a conclusion that controlling the agricultural water use is an important way to prevent the decline of groundwater table.     

中国西北水资源利用及生态环境安全

1 Introduction In the 21st century, water resources will become the international and strategic resource instead of petroleum (Kang et al., 1994a, b). At present, the freshwater resources crisis all over the world has made people aware that although water…     

A simple method for estimating basin-scale groundwater discharge by vegetation in the basin and range province of Arizona using remote sensing information and geographic information systems

Groundwater is a vital water resource in the arid to semi-arid southwestern United States. Accurate accounting of inflows to and outflows from the groundwater system is necessary to effectively manage this shared resource, including the important outflow component of groundwater discharge by vegetation. A simple method for estimating basin-scale groundwater discharge by vegetation is presented that uses remote sensing data from satellites, geographic information systems (GIS) land cover and stream location information, and a regression equation developed within the Southern Arizona study area relating the Enhanced Vegetation Index from the MODIS sensors on the Terra satellite to measured evapotranspiration. Results computed for 16-day composited satellite passes over the study area during the 2000 through 2007 time period demonstrate a sinusoidal pattern of annual groundwater discharge by vegetation with median values ranging from around 0.3 mm per day in the cooler winter months to around 1.5 mm per day during summer. Maximum estimated annual volume of groundwater discharge by vegetation was between 1.4 and 1.9 billion m³ per year with an annual average of 1.6 billion m³. A simplified accounting of the contribution of precipitation to vegetation greenness was developed whereby monthly precipitation data were subtracted from computed vegetation discharge values, resulting in estimates of minimum groundwater discharge by vegetation. Basin-scale estimates of minimum and maximum groundwater discharge by vegetation produced by this simple method are useful bounding values for groundwater budgets and groundwater flow models, and the method may be applicable to other areas with similar vegetation types.     

Shallow groundwater dynamics in North China Plain

The groundwater level of 39 observation wells including 35 unconfined wells and 4 confined wells from 2004 to 2006 in North China Plain (NCP) was monitored using automatic groundwater monitoring data loggers KADEC-MIZU II of Japan. The automatic groundwater sensors were installed for the corporation project between China and Japan. Combined with the monitoring results from 2004 to 2006 with the major factors affecting the dynamic patterns of groundwater, such as topography and landform, depth of groundwater level, exploitation or discharge extent, rivers and lakes, the dynamic regions of NCP groundwater were gotten. According to the dynamic features of groundwater in NCP, six dynamic patterns of groundwater level were identified, including discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, lateral recharge– runoff–discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, recharge–discharge pattern in the central channel zone, precipitation infiltration–evaporation pattern in the shallow groundwater region of the central plain, lateral recharge–evaporation pattern in the recharge-affected area along the Yellow River and infiltration–discharge–evaporation pattern in the littoral plain. Based on this, the groundwater fluctuation features of various dynamic patterns were interpreted and the influencing factors of different dynamic patterns were compared.