Study on slope reliability method Response Surface Method based on Morgenstern-Pr ice Method

The combination of Morgenstern-Price Method (MPM) with Response Surface Method (RSM) improves the conventional RSM by replacing Finite-Element Method ( FEM) with MPM, which is a type of reliability analysis method-RSM based on MPM, and makes the computing process simpler. The stability of the slope was reevaluated by use of Monte Carlo method (MCM) and the result contrasted with the fore is the conclusion. The reliability analysis of the artificial slope in Donggang Power Station was carried on, and obtained the reliable characteristics, which provided basis for the project.     

西安白鹿塬北缘黄土边坡稳定的可靠度分析

在西安白鹿塬北缘实测了14个黄土自然边坡断面,建立了地质模型,通过采样测试并收集已有的测试资料,获得了各时代黄土地层的物理力学参数,将Morgenstern-Price法稳定性计算公式作为极限状态方程,分别采用Monte-Carlo法和Duncan法进行了边坡稳定的可靠度分析。结果表明:采用Monte-Carlo法和Duncan法得到的14个边坡稳定系数分别为1.11～1.41和1.09～1.33,显示这些边坡处于基本稳定—稳定状态;采用上述两种方法得到的边坡可靠指标分别为0.56～1.79和0.39～1.60,得到的失效概率分别为3.4%～29.0%和5.5%～34.8%,并且共有75%的边坡失效概率大于10%,失效可能性较大。统计结果表明:白鹿塬区边坡的坡高和坡度存在负相关性。低而陡的边坡潜在最危险滑面剪出口较高,失效概率较小;坡高达到50m及以上时,边坡高而缓,剪出口较低,失效概率较大,其中河流下切深,有N2泥岩出露的极高边坡,稳定性最差。Duncan法求解的稳定系数略小于Monte-Carlo法求得的结果,而前者求解的失效概率略大于后者,两种方法计算结果较为接近。由于Duncan法理论简单,计算量小,更宜于在实际工程中应用。     

山西乡宁—吉县地区黄土高边坡可靠度研究

在山西乡宁—吉县地区实测了7个具有代表性的自然极限状态黄土高边坡断面,建立边坡地层结构模型;选取研究区合理的黄土物理力学参数,并分地层年代对10个典型工点的黄土强度参数内聚力和内摩擦角的变异性进行分析;选取6组典型的强度参数变异系数组合,基于Monte Carlo法进行可靠度模拟,评价该区边坡稳定性;采用自然类比法进行边坡设计.结果表明:边坡失效概率随坡高的变化趋势一致,均是中等坡高(49.8m)的边坡失效概率较大,低坡和高坡的失效概率较低;当变异系数较小时,边坡失效概率对坡高和坡度的变化敏感,而当变异系数较大时,边坡失效概率对坡高和坡度的变化不敏感;当坡型一定、强度参数变异系数较小时,边坡的稳定系数基本不变,而当参数变异系数超过某一界限时,稳定系数随变异系数的增大而增大,二者存在非线性相关关系;研究区黄土边坡处于基本稳定状态,但其失效概率最大达69.3%,平均21.1%,介于20%~30%的比例为33.3%,大于30%的比例为14.3%,可靠度指标介于-0.5~8.5,其中小于2.7的比例为88.1%;对于坡高约为50m的黄土高边坡,若取30%作为可接受失效概率,边坡坡度需降至45°以下,如果期望可接受失效概率在10%以内,则坡度不宜超过34°.     

基于CEEMDAN的GNSS变形监测去噪方法

为了提高GNSS变形监测数据去噪的有效性和可靠性,提出一种自适应完备集合经验模态分解(complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise, CEEMDAN)去噪方法。首先将GNSS变形序列经CEEMDAN分解为若干特征模态函数;其次引入排列熵理论确定高低频分界值K,利用小波分析对高频分量进行去噪,去噪后与低频分量重构得到去噪序列;最后通过仿真和实测边坡GNSS变形监测数据,利用信噪比、均方根误差、相关系数等指标对比分析CEEMDAN、EMD和小波去噪方法。结果表明,CEEMDAN方法的去噪效果和精度优于EMD和小波去噪方法,证明了本文所提方法的有效性和可靠性。     

含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度分析

含优势渗流层边坡在降雨入渗的作用下其渗流场往往具有较高的不确定性,这给边坡的稳定性评价带来困难,通常采用概率的方法解决此类问题。针对含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度问题,通过将应力分析中的点估计-有限元法引入到边坡渗流-稳定性分析,提出了考虑优势渗流层渗透特性不确定性的渗流概率分析和边坡可靠度分析方法;其次以广西某含碎石夹层土坡为例,分析了降雨入渗下碎石夹层的优势渗流效应及渗流概率,并基于此开展了该边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度分析。结果表明:①含优势渗流层边坡雨水沿优势渗流层渗入坡体内部的深度显著高于沿坡面渗入的深度;优势渗流层渗透特性的不确定性对渗流结果的影响较大,使得边坡稳定性分析具有较强的不确定性;②随着雨水入渗持时的增加,含优势渗流层边坡不同滑动面的失效概率总体呈现增加趋势,最危险滑动面的位置不断向边坡下部演化;依托工程滑动面位置的预测结果与工程实际吻合;③提出的概率分析方法适用于分析含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗影响下的稳定性问题,而且具有计算量小的优势,可作这类边坡可靠度分析的一种新方法。      

Study on Dynamic Response of the ＂Dualistic＂ Structure Rock Slope with Seismic Wave Theory

Currently, scant attention has been paid to the theoretical analysis on dynamic response mechanism of the ＂Dualistic＂ structure roek slope. The analysis presented here provides insight into the dynamic response of the ＂Dualistie＂ structure rock slope. By investigating the principle of energy distribution, it is shown that the effect of a joint plays a significant role in slope stability analysis. A dynamic reflection and transmission model （RTM） for the ＂Dualistic＂ structure rock slope and explicit dynamic equations are established to analyze the dynamic response of a slope, based on the theory of elastic mechanics and the principle of seismic wave propagation. The theoretical simulation solutions show that the dynamic response of the ＂Dualistic＂ structure rock slope （soft-hard） model is greater than that of the ＂Dualistic＂ strueture rock slope （hard-soft） model, especially in the slope crest. The magnifying effect of rigid foundation on the dynamic response is more obvious than that of soft foundation. With the amplitude increasing, the cracks could be found in the right slope （soft-hard） crest. The crest failure is firstly observed in the right slope （soft-hard） during the experimental process. The reliability of theoretical model is also investigated by experiment analysis. The conclusions derived in this paper could also be used in future evaluations of Multi-layer rock slopes.     

综合物探方法在不稳定斜坡地质灾害勘察中的应用研究

不稳定斜坡体地形复杂、坡度大,表层土、石混杂,下部岩石裂隙发育,探测难度大,缺乏有效的物探手段精确圈定不稳定斜坡体的分布位置及空间赋存状态。用超高密度电法和微动探测相结合,推断了不稳定斜坡的范围及空间赋存状态。工程实地勘查表明,综合物探方法具有较高的可靠性,为地质灾害的治理打下了良好的基础。     

基于SBAS-InSAR的矿区采空区潜在滑坡综合识别方法

针对位于山区且受大量采空区影响的边坡,利用传统测量方法监测耗费人力、物力且光学遥感难以定量识别其是否为潜在滑坡的问题,本文提出一种融合研究区小基线集（SBAS-InSAR）地表监测数据、坡度及坡向的识别方法。通过SBAS-InSAR技术获得研究区地表雷达视线（LOS）方向形变速率,将其转化为垂直方向形变速率,并根据研究区DEM建立坡度及坡向分析图,根据不同山体的坡度、坡向找到易发生滑坡的区域,融入该区域垂直方向的时序形变速率,对其进行滑坡识别。实验表明：卡房镇周边受采空区的影响较大,多数区域垂直方向年形变速率大于10 mm/a;通过本文方法对研究区潜在滑坡进行识别,发现在研究区的21处历史滑坡点中,有16处被识别为潜在滑坡,5处未被识别但也位于发生形变的区域内,表明本文方法对潜在滑坡的识别精度高,具有可行性。该研究为识别采空附近的潜在滑坡提供了一种新的思路,可以有效识别采空区附近山体边坡是否处于潜在的、不明显的滑动状态,对滑坡灾害具有预警作用。     

基于多传感器信息融合的城市边坡监测数据异常事件检测

为预防和管控城市突发地质灾害造成的人民生命和财产损失, 国家针对城市地质灾害易发地区部署了大量的各类传感器, 用来感知和监测城市边坡等地质体的变化情况, 以支持对地质灾害的预警。从边坡监测数据特点和时序数据分析技术出发, 针对监测数据噪声混杂、模式分析困难、预警阈值的不确定性等问题, 给出了一种基于多传感器信息融合的边坡监测数据异常事件检测方法。主要工作包括: ①边坡监测数据变化模式可以归结为周期项、趋势项以及噪声项的叠加, 实践中在预处理基础上对边坡监测数据进行周期为24 h的重采样, 同时趋势项可以近似看作是经典的牛顿运动, 以此构建形变运动模型, 为卡尔曼滤波的状态转移提供理论支持; ②采用集中式衰减记忆卡尔曼滤波, 引入衰减记忆因子, 对多传感器边坡监测数据进行特征级融合, 降低了噪声的影响, 提高了边坡监测数据的可靠性; ③引入惩罚系数, 应用改进的动态时间弯曲算法对于周期序列数据进行相似性度量。在此基础上基于K-means聚类和局部异常因子分析对边坡监测数据进行异常检测, 并基于3σ准则确定预警阈值。该方法能将正常模式和异常模式的时序数据进行区分, 有效检测出边坡监测数据的异常, 为灾害预防提供支持。最后以深圳市典型边坡监测数据为例验证了此方法的可行性。      

用航磁异常计算山西省地区居里面

B.K.Bhattachryya(1975)推导的求磁性体质心的矩谱法公式,该方法理论严谨,计算速度快,并有不需要预先知道磁性体磁化率的特点。在该公式的基础上,本文用推导出的提高求解质心精度的改正公式,求磁性体的质心(h_0),用对数功率谱法求磁性体上界面(h_1),根据公式计算了山西省居里面;并根据热传导的近似公式计算了山西省大地热流值。结果与已有的地质、地球物理资料相吻合,揭示了山西地堑的深部构造特征。     

Slope stability FEM analysis and retaining wall design: a case study of clinker in Benxi of Liaoning

Stability is always the most important problem after high slope was excavated. The study analyzed the stress and strain inside the slope by Finite Element Method (FEM) and carried through stress distribution and failure zone, then analyzed the stability of the slope using three different methods and came to the conclusion that it is in unstable condition, so the designed retaining wall was put forward which makes the slope stable.     

Slope stability FEM analysis and retaining wall design：a case study of clinker in Benxi of Liaoning

Stability is always the most important problem after high slope was excavated. The study analyzed the stress and strain inside the slope by Finite Element Method （FEM） and carried through stress distribution and failure zone, then analyzed the stability of the slope using three different methods and came to the conclusion that it is in unstable condition, so the designed retaining wall was put forward which makes the slope stable.     

基于可靠度理论的黄土高边坡优化设计

对黄土高边坡进行可靠性分析，应用数学原理和优化原理，建立了黄土高边坡的优化模型，对铜黄一级公路黄土高边坡进行分析验证。结果表明，该方法计算的结果与实际较接近．应用中易操作。     

Evaluation of potential surface instability using finite element method in Kharsali Village,Yamuna Valley,Northwest Himalaya

Kharsali village, located in the Northwest Himalaya near the confluence of the Yamuna River and Unta Gad, is situated on a thick(150 m) paleolandslide deposit. The village is continuously being eroded at its base by the two rivers. Cracks are noted in most houses while the ancient Shani Temple lying to the south of the village has tilted ~5° towards the northeast. Three slope sections(S-1, S-2, S-3) were modelled and analysed to determine the displacement and shear strain patterns of the slopes. Based on surface failure conditions, potential slope instability of the Kharsali village was evaluated from 2D Finite Element Method(FEM) using Shear Strain Reduction(SSR) analysis in the Phase2 software. Results indicate a critical Stress Reduction Factor(SRF) of 1.5 for the southern edge of the village(S-1) housing the Shani Temple. The development of failure surfaces at its lower portion signifies the propagating, progressive nature of the slope. The S-2 slope section is most vulnerable to slope failure, with a critical SRF of 1.08. This has been inferred by the formation of failure surfaces with displacements of 0.05-0.08 m. The S-3 section in the northern part of the Kharsali shows highest critical SRF of 2.76. The un-metalled road section in the north of the village near S-3 hasdeveloped a failure surface with displacement of 0.003-0.004 m, and a zone of subsidence. The S-3 section is relatively stable, whereas the S-2 section is the most vulnerable portion of the village.     

局部型地形因子并行计算方法研究

 随着分析区域的扩展及需求精度的提高,数据-计算密集型地形分析亟需通过并行化来满足用户的时间响应需求。局部型地形因子是以一定半径的分析窗口(通常为3×3)计算且具有单元计算结果独立性的地形信息,是数字地形分析的基本参数。本文在分析局部型地形因子串行算法特征的基础上,以坡度算法为样本,对局部型地形因子的并行计算方法进行了深入研究。从数据并行的角度,对并行计算环境下的数据划分粒度、方式及结果融合策略进行了分析,构建了局部型地形因子的并行计算方法。利用SRTM陆地表面地形DEM数据,设计了坡度并行计算的实验以验证其方法的正确性和实用性。实验结果表明,本文提出的并行计算方法顾及了任务、数据及计算环境,可快速对局部型地形因子串行算法进行并行化改造,提高算法的执行效率,具有较好的并行性能。     

Reliability analysis method applied in slope stability： slope prediction and forecast on stability analysis

Landslide is one kind of geologic hazards that often happens all over the world.It brings huge losses to human life and property;therefore,it is very important to research it.This study focused in combination between single and regional landslide,traditional slope stability analysis method and reliability analysis method.Meanwhile,methods of prediction of slopes and reliability analysis were discussed.     

Reliability analysis method applied in slope stability: slope prediction and forecast on stability analysis

Landslide is one kind of geologic hazards that often happens all over the world. It brings huge losses to human life and property; therefore, it is very important to research it. This study focused in combination between single and regional landslide, traditional slope stability analysis method and reliability analysis method. Meanwhile, methods of prediction of slopes and reliability analysis were discussed.     

基于等分圆弧滑面土质边坡的稳定性极限分析方法

基于等分圆弧滑面的简化条件,采用土塑性极限分析理论,建立了土质边坡极限分析模型,并推导得到了土质边坡稳定系数计算公式。该方法考虑了圆弧滑面的内能耗散率作用和边坡土体自重荷载、地震惯性力及孔隙水压力所做的外功率作用,可以解决土质边坡稳定性分析问题,是一种改进的土质边坡稳定性评价极限分析方法。     

基于有限元修正节理岩质边坡稳定性计算的解析解

采用有限元方法探讨在人工开挖或自然侵蚀环境下,岩质边坡体内应力场的变化及节理发育形成机理,并采用有限元强度折减法对后缘具有张节理边坡的稳定性影响因素进行敏感性对比分析,进而得出具有非贯通节理边坡稳定性计算的修正解析解.结果表明:卸荷及风化作用导致边坡体由表及里出现应力重分布及应力集中的现象,使边坡后缘由顶部向下发育一簇...     

GPS水准的有限元法与多面函数法的加权综合模型

应用有限元法与多面函数法的加权综合模型改进拟合模型在逼近高程异常曲面时的拟合效果。由大地高求出准确的正常高，通常应用有限元法或多面函数法等单一拟合模型来拟合高程异常曲面。GPS水准的单一模型在逼近高程异常曲面时其拟合效果往往不稳定。通过对实测数据的计算分析可发现：有限元法与多面函数法的加权综合模型的逼近结果比单一模型的逼近结果有了一定的提高。由此可见综合模型对于局部地区解决GPS高程转化为正常高是有使用价值的。