臭氧和平流层动力学的相互作用

讨论了给定的南极春季臭氧洞(取自1979—1985年臭氧减少的观测结果)对二维平流层—对流层模式中温度和环流的影响。11月份,南极上空约17km处,温度最多可降低6℃。这种温度变化引起的平均经向环流对臭氧洞起填塞作用,不过,这种影响很小,每年仅产生14DU的变化。观测事实表明,近年来10月份,南半球波活动减弱。为此,我们作了南半球波作用全年都减少一半,并考虑了臭氧洞的数值试验。结果表明,臭氧柱在11月份76°S减少了44DU,在赤道却增加了12DU。     

保护臭氧层

保护臭氧层七十年代中期到后期南极上空的臭氧层逐渐变薄并出现空洞，之后这臭氧洞于每年春季重新出现，并逐渐扩大。到１９８５年，美国“云雨７号”气象卫星探测到南极上空臭氧洞的面积达到相当于美国大陆的大小；１９８６年在北极上空附近也发现了臭氧洞，其范围和格陵...     

观测表明1999年南极臭氧洞变小

从ＮＡＳＡ卫星地球探测卫星（ＴＯＭＳ－ＥＰ）装载的臭氧总量绘图光谱仪（ＴＯＭＳ）获得的资料表明，１９９９年南极上空臭氧低值区小于去年。ＮＯＡＡ设在南极的气球探测所得资料也表明南极的臭氧洞尽管还是很大，但比去年有所减小。尽管南极臭氧洞的微小年际变化是预料中的，但与１９９８年比１９９９年臭氧洞不再加深加大是个好征兆。美国科罗拉多州博尔德气候监测与诊断实验室的ＤａｖｉｄＨｏｆｍａｎｎ说∶“该测量事实说明平流层中的氯不再增加，这是臭氧层恢复的第一步。现在我们要做的是，密切监视大气中的臭氧洞和破坏臭氧的物…     

厄尔尼诺事件和拉尼娜事件的成因与预测

通过对南极气温资料、环南极海冰资料、臭氧变化资料、太平洋海温资料、地球自转速度变化资料、厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜资料的综合验证,发现了构造运动与厄尔尼诺因果关系。大气、海洋与岩石圈的角动量交换在南半球和北半球有不同的形式,这是由陆海分布的差异决定的。南极上空臭氧变化和环南极海冰变化是赤道海温和全球气候准两年振荡的原因。其中,德雷克海峡的海冰变化起主要作用。这个结论给出了作者提出的“海洋锅炉效应”、“臭氧洞漏能效应”、“德雷克海冰气候开关效应”和“大洋地壳跷跷板运动”的相互关系,证明构造运动对厄尔尼诺的重要影响。强潮汐准4a周期的发现,表明南极海冰变化、东太平洋海温变化、地球自转变化和厄尔尼诺都具有4a准周期变化的原因。海温和海冰开关的准2a周期和日食-厄尔尼诺系数理论有较好的预测效果。     

南极臭氧的短期气候变化特征

利用1957～1992年南极地区大气臭氧总量地面观测站资料，对南极地区臭氧的时空变化特征进行了研究。结果表明，虽然近35年来南极地区的大气臭氧有较明显的减小趋势，但在不同地区、时段和季节，其变化趋势也不同。近年来南极地区大气臭氧的显著亏损，主要是由南极臭氧洞的形成和发展所造成的。南极地区的大气臭氧存在明显的年振荡、准20个月和准30个月的振荡周期。臭氧变化与天文日照、平流层温度场、平流层冰晶云及人类活动排放到大气中的氟氯烃和溴化烃等污染物质有关。     

南极臭氧洞对全球大气辐射加热场影响的数值模拟研究

为了探讨南极臭氧洞对全球气候的影响状况,我们用IAP_9层全球大气环流模式进行了南极臭氧洞气候效应的数值试验。本文分析了本次试验中南极臭氧洞引起的大气辐射加热场的变化,结果表明,南半球高纬和极地平流层臭氧含量的严重减少,不仅影响该地的大气辐射加热场,同时也使北半球平流层大气的辐射加热场发生改变。虽然对流层中层所受影响较少,但对流层下层南北半球的大气总辐射加热率的变化却相当明显,这些影响将使全球大气温度场产生明显变化。     

南极地区的大气环流流体物理实验

通过流体物理实验，研究南极地形及冷源对大气环流的影响。正压流体实验表明，由于地形动力强迫，在南极大陆沿岸及以北地区生成气旋性涡旋带，有３个低压中心。在地形上空生成巨大的反气旋。斜压流体实验表明，东移“行星波”的波数及波形有准周期低频振荡，其振荡周期相当于地球大气系统中的２１ｄ。东移的槽在１１０°Ｅ以东逐渐发展，在１６０°Ｗ的罗斯海附近发展得最深，再往东则逐渐减弱     

近年来的南极臭氧洞

据ＷＭＯ南极臭氧化报的报导。１９９６年的南极臭氧洞无论从出现时间，最大面积，最低臭氧值，还是从持续时间上来说都与前几年相似，基本上未创新的记录。臭氧洞生成的主要原因，与人类活动产生的里昂和溴化烃等含氯和溴化合物在合适的平流层低温条例上通过光化学反应破坏臭氧有关。     

南极臭氧洞的影响因子和变化趋势

利用卫星和台站观测的南极臭氧资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了南极臭氧近年来的变化特征和影响因子,探讨了南极臭氧洞期间中山站臭氧突变过程与大气动力的作用。结果显示,平流层氯和溴的卤化物当量（EESC）和平流层温度是影响南极臭氧洞面积的关键因子。臭氧总量与EESC和平流层温度均具有显著相关,表明两站虽然都位于臭氧洞边缘,EESC和平流层温度对臭氧总量的变化仍然可以起决定性的作用,同时也验证了EESC参数在东南极大陆沿岸具有适用性。 EESC的年代际变化与臭氧变化趋势相似,臭氧的年际变化与平流层温度关系密切。回归结果表明,2010年后臭氧洞面积逐渐减小,在2070年左右可能恢复到1980年前的水平,但其结果存在很大的不确定性。     

华南前汛期降水与南极海冰变化的关系

利用１９７３￣１９８９年南极海冰北界资料和１９７２￣１９８１年南半球气旋资料,分析南极海冰变异对华南前汛期降水的影响。结果表明,两者之间存在密切关系,当南极海冰面积趋于增大时,华南前汛期的雨水变趋增加,反之亦然。２￣３月份威尔克斯地方向地海冰北界位置与同年华南前汛期雨量密切相关。而９月份罗斯海方向（１８０°）海冰北界的伸缩对次年华南前汛期降水量有明显指示性。南半球低纬（０￣３０°Ｓ）的气旋活动在南     

Analytical studies on the variations of the antarctic ozone layer

The Antarctic ozone hole which was discovered in the mid 1980s has caused much attention from the scientists and politicians throughout the world.For the formation of the Antarctic ozone hole, most scientists believe that the man-made chemical materials such as CFCs etc. are main cause. On the other hand, the electrochemistry-dynamics theory presented by Wei (Guang Ming Daily Dec. 11, 1990) two years ago has also caused some attention.In the paper the data of ozone, solar activity meteorology over Antarctica have been used for statistical analyti-cal studies. Our results present some new evidence to support Wei's theory. However the influence of the human activ-ities can never be slighted.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE FORMATION MECHANISM OF THE ANTARCTIC OZONE HOLE

The global zonally averaged atmospheric chemistry model is developed in this paper.Theformation mechanism of the Antarctic ozone hole is numerically simulated using the model to checkthe viewpoints on the formation mechanism.The results show that:(1)The Antarctic ozone hole is a special phenomenon resulting from the heterogeneousreactions on the surface of the polar stratospheric cloud particles,under the special conditions oftemperature and circulation in Antarctic spring.The heterogeneous reactions reduce the NO_2concentration,resulting in the decrease of ozone production rate.The ozone content decreaseswhen its production is less than its destruction.This is the direct cause for the formation of theAntarctic ozone hole.(2)The impact of the polar vortex on the transport of trace species is not the determinativefactor in the formation of the Antarctic ozone hole.but makes the intensity of the ozone holechanged.(3)The solar cycles have negligible influence on the intensity of the Antarctic ozone holethrough photochemical reactions.     

Summertime Surface N2O Concentration Observed on FildesPeninsula Antarctica： Correlation with TotalAtmospheric O3 and Solar Activity

Three-year summertime surface atmospheric N2O concentrations were observed for the first timeon the Fildes Peninsula, maritime Antarctica, and the relationships among the N2O concentration, totalatmospheric O3 amount, and sunspot number were analyzed. Solar activity had an important effecton surface N20 concentration and total O3 amount, and increases of sunspot number were followed bydecreases in the N2O concentration and total O3 amount. A corresponding relationship exists betweenthe N2O concentration and total atmospheric O3, and ozone destruction was preceded by N2O reduction.We propose that the extended solar activity in the Antarctic summer reduces the stratospheric N2O byconverting it into NOx, increases the diffusion of N2O from the troposphere to the stratosphere, decreasesthe surface atmospheric N2O, and depletes O3 via the chemical reaction between O3 and NOx. Ourobservation results are consistent with the theory of solar activity regarding the formation of the AntarcticO3 hole.     

Summertime Surface N_2O Concentration Observed on Fildes Peninsula Antarctica:Correlation with Total Atmospheric O_3 and Solar Activity

Three-year summertime surface atmospheric N2O concentrations were observed for the first time on the Fildes Peninsula, maritime Antarctica, and the relationships among the N2O concentration, total atmospheric O3 amount, and sunspot number were analyzed. Solar activity had an important effect on surface N2O concentration and total O3 amount, and increases of sunspot number were followed by decreases in the N2O concentration and total O3 amount. A corresponding relationship exists between the N2O concentration and total atmospheric O3, and ozone destruction was preceded by N2O reduction. We propose that the extended solar activity in the Antarctic summer reduces the stratospheric N2O by converting it into NOx, increases the diffusion of N2O from the troposphere to the stratosphere, decreases the surface atmospheric N2O, and depletes O3 via the chemical reaction between O3 and NOx. Our observation results are consistent with the theory of solar activity regarding the formation of the Antarctic O3 hole.     

The Effect of Super Volcanic Eruptions on Ozone Depletion in a Chemistry–Climate Model

With the gradual yet unequivocal phasing out of ozone depleting substances(ODSs), the environmental crisis caused by the discovery of an ozone hole over the Antarctic has lessened in severity and a promising recovery of the ozone layer is predicted in this century. However, strong volcanic activity can also cause ozone depletion that might be severe enough to threaten the existence of life on Earth. In this study, a transport model and a coupled chemistry–climate model were used to simulate the impacts of super volcanoes on ozone depletion. The volcanic eruptions in the experiments were the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption and a 100 × Pinatubo size eruption. The results show that the percentage of global mean total column ozone depletion in the 2050 RCP8.5 100 × Pinatubo scenario is approximately 6% compared to two years before the eruption and 6.4% in tropics. An identical simulation, 100 × Pinatubo eruption only with natural source ODSs, produces an ozone depletion of 2.5% compared to two years before the eruption, and with 4.4% loss in the tropics. Based on the model results,the reduced ODSs and stratospheric cooling lighten the ozone depletion after super volcanic eruption.     

The Tibetan Ozone Low and Its Long-Term Variation During 1979–2010

A Tibetan ozone low was found in the 1990s after the Antarctic ozone hole.Whether this ozone low has been recovering from the beginning of the 2000s following the global ozone recovery is an intriguing topic.With the most recent merged TOMS/SBUV(Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer/Solar Backscatter Ultra Violet) ozone data,the Tibetan ozone low and its long-term variation during 1979-2010 are analyzed using a statistical regression model that includes the seasonal cycle,solar cycle,quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO),ENSO signal,and trends.The results show that the Tibetan ozone low maintains and may become more severe on average during 1979-2010,compared with its mean state in the periods before 2000,possibly caused by the stronger downward trend of total ozone concentration over the Tibet.Compared with the ozone variation over the non-Tibetan region along the same latitudes,the Tibetan ozone has a larger downward trend during 1979-2010,with a maximum value of-0.40±0.10 DU yr 1 in January,which suggests the strengthening of the Tibetan ozone low in contrast to the recovery of global ozone.Regression analyses show that the QBO signal plays an important role in determining the total ozone variation over the Tibet.In addition,the long-term ozone variation over the Tibetan region is largely affected by the thermal-dynamical proxies such as the lower stratospheric temperature,with its contribution reaching around 10% of the total ozone change,which is greatly different from that over the non-Tibetan region.     

Stratospheric Ozone-induced Cloud Radiative Effects on Antarctic Sea Ice

Recent studies demonstrate that the Antarctic Ozone Hole has important influences on Antarctic sea ice.While most of these works have focused on effects associated with atmospheric and oceanic dynamic processes caused by stratospheric ozone changes,here we show that stratospheric ozone-induced cloud radiative effects also play important roles in causing changes in Antarctic sea ice.Our simulations demonstrate that the recovery of the Antarctic Ozone Hole causes decreases in clouds over Southern Hemisphere(SH)high latitudes and increases in clouds over the SH extratropics.The decrease in clouds leads to a reduction in downward infrared radiation,especially in austral autumn.This results in cooling of the Southern Ocean surface and increasing Antarctic sea ice.Surface cooling also involves ice-albedo feedback.Increasing sea ice reflects solar radiation and causes further cooling and more increases in Antarctic sea ice.