Principles of Probabilistic Regional Mineral Resource Estimation

Five principal sources of uncertainty in quantitative mineral resource estimation are listed and illustrated by means of a simple example (mosaic model) and a case history study for large copper deposits in the Abitibi area of the Canadian Shield. Abitibi copper potential originally was estimated on the basis of 1968 estimates of production and reserves totalling 3.12 Mt Cu. This prognostication now could be evaluated on the basis of 2008 copper production and reserves totalling 9.50 Mt Cu. An earlier hindsight study performed on the basis of 1977 data (totalling 5.23 Mt Cu) showed seven new discoveries occurring either in the immediate vicinities of known deposits or on broad regional copper anomalies predicted from the 1968 inputs. By 1977, the global geographic distribution pattern of large copper deposits in the Abitibi area had stabilized. During the next 30 years, new copper was essentially found close to existing deposits, much of it deeper down in the Earth's crust. In this paper, uncertainties associated with copper ore tonnage are analyzed by comparison of 2008 data with 1968 data using (a) log-log plots of size versus rank, and (b) lognormal QQ-plots. Straight lines fitted by least squares on these plots show that 1968 slopes provide good estimates of 2008 slopes but 1968 intercepts are much less than 2008 intercepts. In each linear log-weight versus log-rank plot, the slope is related to fractal dimension of a Pareto frequency distribution, and in a lognormal QQ-plot it is determined by logarithmic variance. The difference between 2008 and 1968 intercepts represents the increase in copper ore production and reserves from 1968 to 2008. The Pareto model fits actual copper and massive sulphides increase over the past 40 years better than the lognormal frequency distribution model for 10 km×10 km cells on favorable environments in the Abitibi area.      

利用测井信息评价盐湖相烃源岩

盐湖相烃源岩富含膏、盐质成分,使其测井响应特征发生极大改变,给测井评价烃源岩带来困难。基于实测数据,分析了盐湖相烃源岩中普遍发育的纯泥岩、含膏(盐)泥岩和膏(盐)质泥岩有机碳含量的测井响应模式,发现纯泥岩和含膏(盐)泥岩TOC与AC和LogRt呈正比,与DEN呈反比,膏(盐)质泥岩TOC与DEN呈正比,与LogRt呈反比,并基于此建立了盐湖相烃源岩测井评价方法,即首先利用ΔGR区分岩性,再针对不同岩性建立TOC评价模型,最后根据实测S₁+S₂和TOC建立相关关系,就可以求取烃源岩的TOC和S₁+S₂。利用该方法对东营凹陷沙四下亚段烃源岩性质和展布进行分析,发现预测TOC与实测TOC吻合程度高,具有一定推广价值。     

中国昆明地区岩溶洞穴洞口带苔藓植物研究

为了研究中国西南岩溶洞穴植物区系与生物多样性特征, 作者曾两次对云南昆明地区12个岩溶洞穴进行了野外考察和苔藓植物标本采集工作。其中含昆明市石灰岩洞穴1个, 石林县石灰岩洞穴5个和宜良县白云岩洞穴6个。根据采自12个岩溶洞穴洞口带的164件苔藓植物标本研究, 本文首次报道昆明地区洞穴苔藓植物10科18属25种。昆明地区洞穴中分布较多的苔藓植物科有丛藓科( Po ttiaceae) 5属8种,凤尾藓科( Fi ssidentaceae ) 1属4种,柳叶藓科( Amblystegiaceae ) 3 属3 种和青藓(Brachytheciaceae ) 2属3种。溶洞中较常见的4种苔藓植物种类是萤光苔类植物光苔Cyathodiumcavernarum Kunze ( 见于6个溶洞中) , 小凤尾藓Fissidens bryoides Hedw ( 见于4个溶洞中) , 橙色净口藓Gymnostonum calcareum Nees et Ho rsch (见于3 个溶洞中)和长叶扭口藓Tortella tortuosa( Hedw ) Limp ( 见于3个溶洞中)。野外观察表明,受洞穴弱光环境生态因子的限制, 昆明地区洞穴苔藓植物主要生长于洞穴洞口0～ 26m带范围内; 2种丛集型藓类植物, 橙色净口藓Gymnostonumcalcareum Nees et Horsch, 和钩喙净口藓G.recurvirost re Hedw 参与洞口带钟乳石或石笋钙华沉积。      

Analysis on the deployment of mining research supported by the grant program of Deep Resources Exploration and Mining

The Deep Resources Exploration and Mining(DREAM) grant program, within the framework of The National Key Research and Development Program grants, is a pillar to implement China's science and technology strategy in the area of deep resources exploitation. To tackle the insufficient of theories and technologies for the 1000-meter-deep mining, a section of mining, covering the research of basic theories, general technologies and application demonstration, was arranged in the layout of DREAM under the principle of "whole chain design, integrated implementation". In the aspect of basic research, DREAM mainly focused on the deep rock mechanics and mining theory, such as the in-situ mechanical behavior of deep rock, deep high stress induction and energy regulation theory. For the general and key technologies, DREAM supported the research on the mine construction and hoisting, excavation, rock breaking, mining methods and mining safety according to the characteristics of coal and metal mines. For the demonstration application, taking green, safe and efficient as the starting point, DREAM aimed at the green, safe and high efficiency mining, and the demonstration and leading role projects such as the low-waste and high-efficiency back fill mining. Since 2016, 10 RD projects have been funded, and 122 institutional participants with a total budget of RMB 235 million from the central government and RMB 480 million from enterprises as well as local governments have been involved. It is expected that the mining section of DREAM would contribute to establishing the theory and technology system in the area of deep mining and promoting the ability of deep resource exploitation in China.     

Geology and mineralization of the Tiegelongnan supergiant porphyry-epithermal Cu (Au,Ag) deposit (10 Mt) in western Tibet,China: A review

The Tiegelongnan Cu(Au,Ag)deposit in central Tibet contains more than 10 Mt of copper ranking 29 th in the world.It is characterized by typical porphyry-epithermal alteration and mineralization.In order to improve the understanding of porphyry-epithermal copper deposit in Tibet,new zircon U-Pb age and sulfur isotope data along with published data in the Tiegelongnan are presented to investigate the formation and preservation mechanism.Ore-related intrusive rocks in the Tiegelongnan including Early Cretaceous(about 120 Ma)granodiorite porphyry and diorite porphyry are closely related to the northward subduction of Bangongco-Nujiang ocean.Sulfur mainly comes from deep magma,and ore-forming fluid is affected by both magmatic and meteoric water.The metallogenic setting of Tiegelongnan is consistent with those of Andean porphyry copper deposits in South America.The cover of the Meiriqiecuo Formation volcanic rocks,Lhasa-Qiangtang collision and India-Eurasian collision have significance in the preservation and uplift of the deposit.The formation,preservation and discovery of Tiegelongnan play an important role in exploration of ancient porphyry-epithermal deposits in Tibet.     

Application of 3D Static Modelling in Reservoir Characterization: A Case Study from the Qishn Formation in Sharyoof Oil Field, Masila Basin, Yemen

Three-dimensional(3 D)static modelling techniques are applied to the characterization of the Qishn Formation(Fm.)in the Sharyoof oil field locating within the Masila basin,southeastern Yemen.The present study was initiated by the seismic structural interpretation,followed by building a 3 D structural framework,in addition to analysing well log data and from these,3 D facies and petrophysical models are constructed.In the Sharyoof oil field,the Qishn Fm.exhibits depth values within the range of 400-780 m below sea level,with a general increase towards the SSE.A set of high dip angle normal faults with a general ENE-WSW trend dissect the rocks.The strata are also folded as a main anticline with an axis that is parallel to the fault trend,formed as a result of basement uplift.According to the facies models,the Qishn Fm.comprises 43.83% limestone,21.53% shale,21.26% sandstone,13.21% siltstone and 0.17% dolomite.The Qishn Carbonates Member has low porosity values making it a potential seal for the underlying reservoirs whereas the Upper Qishn Clastics SI A and C have good reservoir quality and SIB has fair reservoir quality.The Upper Qishn Clastics S2 and S3 also have fair reservoir quality,while the Lower Qishn Clastics zone has good reservoir quality.The water saturation decreases towards the west and east and increases towards north and south.The total original oil in-place(OOIP)of the Upper Qishn clastics is 106 million STB within the SI A,SIC and S2 zones.Drilling of development wells is recommended in the eastern study area,where good trapping configuration is exhibited in addition to the presence of a potential seal(Upper Qishn Carbonates Member)and reservoir(Qishn Clastics Member)with high porosity and low water saturation.     

印度共和国地质构造与区域成矿

印度共和国位于南亚次大陆中部,陆地面积297.32万km2(不包括印控克什米尔地区与锡金),北部为喜马拉雅高山区,海拔平均为5500m;中部是印度河-恒河-布拉马普特河(在中国境内称雅鲁藏布江)平原,平均海拔100~200m,是印度经济最发达、人口最稠密地区;南部是印度半岛高原区,西高东低,     

多年冻土环境对寒区天然气管线稳定性的影响

Field investigations of several gas mains in different geosystems were carried out in Noviy Urengoy region (Eastern Siberia) in September, 2003. There were on ground pipelines covered with peat or sand. In case of small rivers pipelines were elevated by pile support on the shores. Because pipelines were applied in cryolithozone that means special secure methods used in pipeline systems functioning and operating. There are multiple sites of natural landscapes destructed or totally destroyed during building and exploiting of the pipelines. That causes negative cryogenic processes development. The most dangerous one is the heaving, that reaches up to several meters in humid landscapes. The complex thermoerosion, thermokarst and heaving occur very often at one site. The heaving of piles leads to pipe deformations and the emergency situations to occur. It is possible to predict negative cryogenic processes development and so far to reduce an emergency risk.     

Water in coesite: Incorporation mechanism and operation condition,solubility and P-T dependence,and contribution to water transport and coesite preservation

A series of coesite,coexisting with or without a liquid phase,was synthesized in the nominal system SiO2-H2O at800-1450℃and 5 GPa.Micro-Raman spectroscopy was used to identity the crystalline phase,electron microprobe and LA-ICP-MS were employed to quantity some major and trace elements,and unpolarized FTIR spectroscopy was applied to probe the different types of hydrogen defects,explore water-incorporation mechanisms and quantify water contents.Trace amounts of A1 and B were detected in the coesite.Combining our results with the results in the literatures,we have found no positive correlation between the Al contents and the"Al"-based hydrogen concentrations,suggesting that previously proposed hydrogen-incorporation mechanism H^++Al^3+■Si^4+does not function in coesite.In contrast,we have confirmed the positive correlation between the B contents and the B-based hydrogen concentrations.The hydrogen-incorporation mechanism H^++B3^+■Si^4+readily takes place in coesite at different P-T conditions,and significantly increases the water content at both liquid-saturated and liquid-undersaturated conditions.For the SiO2-H2O system,we have found that type-Ⅰhydrogarnet substitution plays a dictating role in incorporating water into coesite at liquid-saturated condition,type-II hydrogarnet substitution contributes significantly at nearly dry condition,and both operate at conditions in between.The water solubility of coesite,as dictated by the type-Ⅰhydrogarnet substitution,positively correlates with both P and T,cH2O=-105(30)+5.2(32)×P+0.112(26)×T,with cH2O in wt ppm,P in GPa and T in℃.Due to its low water solubility and small fraction in subducted slabs,coesite may contribute insignificantly to the vertical water transport in subduction zones.Furthermore,the water solubility of any coesite in exhuming ultra-high pressure metamorphic rocks should be virtually zero as coesite becomes metastable.With an adequately fast waterdiffusion rate,this metastable coesite should be completely dry,which may have been the key factor to the partial preservation of most natural Coe.As a byproduct,a new IR experimental protocol for accurate water determination in optically anisotropic nominally anhydrous minerals has been found.Aided with the empirical method of Paterson(1982)it employs multiple unpolarized IR spectra,collected from randomly-orientated mineral grains,to approximate both total integrated absorbance and total integrated molar absorption coefficient.Its success relies on a high-level orientation randomness in the IR analyses.     

Magmatic and hydrothermal zircon growth during multiple orogenic cycles in an evolving mantle wedge

The Hongseong area of the Hongseong-Imjingang Belt in the central-western Korean Peninsula forms part of a subduction-collision system that is correlated with the Qinling-Dabie-Sulu Belt in China. Several serpentinized ultramafic bodies carrying blocks of metamorphosed mafic rocks occur in this area. Here we investigate zircon grains in serpentinites from Bibong(BB) and Wonnojeon(WNJ), and high-pressure(HP) mafic granulite from Baekdong(BD) localities based on U-Pb, REE and Lu-Hf analyses. The zircons from BD HP mafic granulite show distinct age peaks at 838 Ma, 617 Ma and 410 Ma, with minor peaks at1867 Ma, 1326 Ma and 167 Ma. The Neoproterozoic age peaks in these rocks as well as in the serpentinites suggest subduction-related melt-fluid interaction in the mantle wedge at this time. The older zircon grains ranging in age from the Early to Middle Paleoproterozoic might represent detrital grains from the basement rocks transferred to the wedge mantle through sediment subduction. The BD HP mafic granulite shows a Middle Paleozoic age peak(Devonian; 410 Ma). The 242-245 Ma age peaks in the compiled age data of zircon grains serpentinites from BB and WNJ correspond to a major Triassic event that further added melts and fluids into the ancient mantle wedge to crystallize new zircons. In the chondrite normalized rare earth element diagram, the magmatic zircon grains from the studied rocks show LREE depletion and HREE enrichment with sharply negative Eu and Pr anomalies and positive Ce and Sm anomalies. The REE patterns of hydrothermal zircons show LREE enrichment, and relatively flat patterns with negative Eu anomaly. Zircon Hf signature from the WNJ serpentinite show negative εHf(t)(-18.5 and-23.5) values indicating an enriched mantle source with TDM in the range of 1614 Ma and1862 Ma. Zircons from the BD HP mafic granulite also show slightly negative εHf(t)(average-4.3) and TDM in the range of 1365-1935 Ma. Our study provides evidence for multiple zircon growth in an evolving mantle wedge that witnessed melt and fluid interaction during different orogenic cycles.     

黄河水下三角洲粉质土扰动土层特征及成因探析

黄河水下三角洲上分布着大量的扰动土层,其性质与周围未扰动土相比有很大的差异。在老黄河口区选择扰动土层的典型分布区,利用工程地质钻探取样、原位静力触探试验和浅地层剖面探测对海底扰动土层的厚度及工程地质特征进行了调查分析。结果表明,与未扰动土相比,扰动土的重度较大、孔隙比较小、含水率较低、强度有一定程度的提高。同时,分别对风暴潮作用下黄河水下三角洲粉质土的瞬时液化极限深度和残余液化极限深度进行了计算。计算结果表明,残余液化极限深度较大。将残余液化极限深度、通过浅地层剖面探测结果所得的扰动土层厚度以及通过土工试验统计结果所得的扰动土层厚度进行了对比,发现三者对应很好。对黄河水下三角洲粉质土中扰动土层的形成机制进行了探讨,认为风暴潮作用过程中产生的土体液化是其主要诱因。     

济阳坳陷车镇凹陷古近系沙河街组遗迹化石Macaronichnus(通心粉管迹)及其沉积环境

济阳坳陷车镇凹陷古近系沙河街组发现的Macaronichnus segregatis(分离通心粉管迹)是一种直到微弯曲形状的层内进食潜穴,个体较小,不分枝,长一般7～8 mm,直径1～3 mm,与前人发现的化石在个体大小上存在着差异。它主要出现于四类环境：①三角洲平原河道间低地,②三角洲、扇三角洲前缘远端砂坝和浊积扇的中扇到外扇,③潮湿气候条件下的浅湖,④周期性干旱气候条件下的滨浅湖。不同沉积环境中产出的Msegregatis都分布于粉砂质泥岩中。通过分析各沉积环境的水动力条件和水体化学性质以及Msegregatis的形成过程,可得出以下结论：①Msegregatis出现的水动力条件中等,水体能量过高或过低,都不适宜其生成;②Msegregatis出现的水体化学性质介于贫氧与富氧之间;③Msegregatis是在沉积物沉积后还未固结时由食沉积物生物活动造成的,衬壁的出现反映了软基底性质。     

基于岩体蠕变效应的锚杆应力分布及其变化规律研究

考虑岩体蠕变效应的锚杆应力分布及变化特征对研究工程锚固效应具有非常重要的意义,而目前关于这方面的研究并不多见。首先从锚固微元体受力特点的角度出发,研究微元体在围岩蠕变条件下的受力变化规律,得到如下结论：蠕变岩体下锚杆锚固力的变化趋势和岩体所受应力状态及其变形密切相关。当微元体受拉时,锚杆轴力随时间有不断增长的趋势;而当微元体受压时,锚杆轴力则随时间不断减小。针对锚杆在黏弹塑性围岩体中的受力分布,以解析方法推导了锚杆应力峰值所在位置与围岩体塑性区重合的重要结论,且从工程数值计算角度进一步验证了锚杆应力峰值的位置特点,并分析了地下工程中锚杆应力随围岩体蠕变而逐渐增大的变化特征。     

CMIP5多模式对中国及各分区气温和降水时空特征的预估

利用7个参加耦合模式比较计划第五阶段(CMIP5)的全球气候模式模拟数据,在RCP4.5、RCP8.5两种排放情景下,从年、季、月尺度上对中国以及中国的7个区域的气温和降水进行未来情景预估分析。分析结果表明:2010~2099年,两种情景下中国的气温增加明显,并呈现出春弱秋冬(尤其是一、八、九、十一、十二月)强的特征,北部(N)、西北东部(ENW)、西北西部(WNW)、西藏(Tibet)的升温趋势高于其他地区。RCP8.5情景下的气温线性趋势值大部分都高于RCP4.5情景下的值。在RCP4.5情景下,2060~2099年东北部(NE)呈现降温。两种情景下,全国降水量也呈增加趋势,呈现由东南向西北递减的地理分布,并表现出冬弱春夏强的季节变化特征。西北西部(WNW)在全年降水偏少,春夏季黄河以北降水趋势较小,降水大值中心在长江以南地区,尤其是在五、六、七、八月份。秋季,在RCP4.5、RCP8.5情景下SE降水线性趋势分别低于或等于全国平均水平,东北部(NE)、北部(N)、西北东部(ENW)的降水线性趋势略高。在2010~2039年,在RCP8.5情景下西南(SW)的降水减少。     

边坡滚石运动轨迹分段循环算法

边坡滚石是在基本建设中常遇到的一种工程灾害。其防护结构的设计依据主要是边坡滚石的运动轨迹,因而要对这种灾害进行防治,首先要确定滚石的运动轨迹。根据落石运动全过程的三个阶段,即滚动(滑动)运动阶段、抛物运动阶段和与坡面碰撞阶段,利用分段循环算法分别得到了三个运动阶段的运动速度计算公式。以某岩质边坡构建相似模型,将该理论公式应用于落石运动轨迹预测,验证了公式的可行性和有效性。与现有方法相比,分段循环算法具有计算原理简单明确、易于使用等优点。该方法可用于斜坡区滚石运动特征的预测,并可作为斜坡区滚石灾害防治的依据。     

主应力方向对砂土剪胀性的影响分析

剪胀性是土特有的一种材料属性,而准确地描述砂土的剪胀性则是建立砂土本构模型的重要基础。大量常规三轴试验发现,在以相同加载条件下剪切时密砂和松砂会表现出完全不同的剪胀性和应力-应变关系特性,说明砂土的剪胀性不仅与其所处的应力状态有关,也与其物理状态相关。状态参量理论很好地解释了砂土所处应力状态和物理状态对剪胀性的共同作用。空心扭剪三轴试验仪可以实现不同主应力方向的单调剪切试验。试验结果表明,当砂土以不同主应力方向单调剪切时,即使处于相同初始应力条件和物理状态,砂土也会表现出不同的剪胀性,说明了主应力方向也是决定砂土剪胀性的重要条件。本文通过分析试验中主应力方向对砂土剪胀性的影响,提出了一个含有主应力方向的状态参量,并建立了相应的剪胀方程。通过与试验数据的对比,验证了该方法的正确性和准确性。     

塔里木河干流上游中、下段河床淤积和耗水对生态环境的影响

塔里木河干流上游中、下段河床一直呈淤积状态, 新渠满站1965-2007年总淤积厚度达120 cm, 平均年淤积3.0 cm. 其中: 1965-1990年25 a淤积50 cm, 年均淤积2.0 cm, 1991-2007年17 a中河床淤积加快, 总淤积70 cm, 年均淤积4.7 cm. 由于河床淤积, 河道行洪断面缩水, 洪水漫溢不断增大, 导致上游段耗水量呈不断增加趋势, 2001年起上游段己成为干流最大的耗水区. 阿克苏河、和田河和叶尔羌河3条源流出山口多年平均年输沙量为6310×10~4t, 进入塔里木河干流龙头站--阿拉尔站多年平均年输沙量为2050×10~4t, 干流上游段多年平均年泥沙淤积量为1462×10~4t, 占塔里木河阿拉尔站多年平均年输沙量的71.3%, 是干流最大的泥沙淤积区, 也是现今最大的洪水漫溢区和耗水区. 塔里木河干流上、中、 下游各水文点年输沙量呈急剧減少趋势, 泥沙淤积河道主要是上游段的沙雅二牧场至英巴扎318 km河段. 塔里木河上游段河长495 km, 多年平均区间耗水量14.48×10~8m~3, 占阿拉尔站多年径流量的31.5%;中游河长398 km, 多年平均区间耗水量24.84×10~8m~3, 占阿拉尔站年径流量的54.0%;下游河长428 km, 多年平均区耗水量6.68×10~8m~3, 占阿拉尔站年径流量的 14.5%. 上、 中游段多年平均区间耗水量39.32×10~8m~3, 占阿拉尔站年径流量的85.5%. 上游耗水量从2001年起成为塔里木河干流最大的耗水区, 导致2002、 2005和2006年上、中游耗水量达到50.0×10~8m~3, 占阿拉尔站年径流量的88%, 成为历史最大值.     

福泉市矮蹬地区九架炉组铝土矿、赤铁矿矿床地质特征

福泉矮蹬地区铝土矿、赤铁矿均产于石炭系九架炉组（Cjj）地层中下部,产出层位较稳定,延伸规模大.矿体呈层状、似层状、透镜状产出,产状与地层产状基本一致,矿石品位较高,变化较小.含矿岩系底厚度严格受下伏地层泥盆系上统高坡场组（D3g）厚层白云岩风化壳（喀斯特地貌）起伏控制.将该区铝土矿与修文地区大豆厂九架炉组（Cjj）铝土矿床含矿岩系等进行对比,揭示了本区铝土矿的独特之处.结合九架炉组分布范围、厚度及其变化等,对该区铝土矿资源找矿潜力进行了初步评价,拟为下一步在该区实现铝土矿的找矿突破提供一定的参考.     

岩土工程可靠度分析中方差折减函数确定的一般规律

将可靠度理论应用于岩土工程稳定性分析过程中,即使是已证明安全的工程所得到的边坡或地基的失效概率通常较大,导致这一现象的原因是估算的方差偏大。计算土性指标的试验数据仅表征了该试验点的特征,而不是空间平均特征。在随机场理论应用于岩土工程可靠度分析的过程中,方差折减函数是将点特性过渡为空间平均特性的必要参数。首次对闫澍旺等提出的完全不相关距离理论中完全不相关距离的确定方法进行改进,不但理论上有所突破,而且计算方法更为简洁。对折减函数值的确定过程进行了分析,得到了用完全不相关距离方法确定折减函数的一般规律。     

大贵州滩下三叠统岩石和化学地层对比

南盘江盆地中的大贵州滩为一个自晚二叠世末期开始发育,至晚三叠世初期停止生长的孤立型碳酸盐岩台地。早期的研究工作主要集中于台地内部、北部斜坡和盆地边缘,并认为大贵州滩下三叠统地层格架的几何形态近于对称。本次研究以下三叠统岩石地层对比为基础,借助早三叠世期间δ13C波动频繁且幅度较大的特点进行化学地层对比后发现：台地南缘二...