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1.
ABSTRACTThe purpose of this study is to examine local level spatiotemporal rainfall and temperature variability in drought-prone districts of rural Sidama, Central Rift Valley region of Ethiopia. The study used 129 gridded monthly rainfall and temperature data of 32 years (1983–2014). The gridded rainfall and temperature records were encoded into GIS software and evaluated through different statistical and geospatial techniques. Mann-Kendal rank test and F distribution tests were used to test temporal and spatial statistical significance, respectively, of the data. The analysis revealed that Belg and Kiremt are the main rainfall seasons, constituting 81% of the annual rainfall. Although annual, Kiremt, and Belg rainfall amounts appear to have decreased over time, the decreasing trend is statistically significant only for Belg rainfall records. On the other hand, rainfall standard anomaly results indicated seven droughts of different magnitudes: one extreme, two severe, and four moderate. The study also revealed increasing temperature trends over the years under consideration that are statistically significant. The findings of this study on rainfall contradict other findings obtained around the study area. Thus, climate change adaptations need to focus on location-specific climate data analysis so that the intended adaptive interventions can be successful. 相似文献
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3.
Roberto Mínguez Fernando Delgado Ignacio Escuder Manuel G. de Membrillera 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2006,30(10):1019-1037
Empirical criteria have been used successfully to design filters of most embankment large dam projects throughout the world. However, these empirical rules are only applicable to a particular range of soils tested in laboratory and do not take into account the variability of the base material and filter particle sizes. In addition, it is widely accepted that the safety of fill dams is mainly dependent on the reliability of their filter performance. The work herein presented consists in a new general method for assessing the probability of fulfilling any empirical filter design criteria accounting for base and filter heterogeneity by means of first‐order reliability methods (FORM), so that reliability indexes and probabilities of fulfilling any particular criteria are obtained. This method will allow engineers to estimate the safety of existing filters in terms of probability of fulfilling their design criteria and might also be used as a decision tool on sampling needs and material size tolerances during construction. In addition, sensitivity analysis makes possible to analyse how reliabilities are influenced by different sources of input data. Finally, in case of a portfolio risk assessment, this method will allow engineers to compare the safety of several existing dams in order to prioritize safety investments and it is expected to be a very useful tool to evaluate probabilities of failure due to internal erosion. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
4.
昆仑山口大地震与地形变异常的讨论 总被引:7,自引:5,他引:2
针对昆仑山口大地震,总结了多种地形变(大地测量)手段所显示的异常变化及其时空分布,结果显示:8.1级大震前存在空间尺度大,时间尺度的地形变前兆异常,简要介绍了相关的异常图像,给出了初步解释,并对未来震情的发展进行了探讨,认为近期内强震活动向华北迁移的可能性不大。 相似文献
5.
本文使用红外天文卫星(IRAS)巡天数据的最新版本IRAS天空巡天图(ISSA),经过进一步处理,得到了S140S141和S142SharplessHII区-分子云复合体的红外发射强度、温度及其光深的分布.在此基础上对各HII区的一些物理参量进行了统计分析,得到了分子云复合体的红外发射总光度以及复合体中尘埃的分布情况,对小尺度尘埃(VSG)的丰度进行了分析.并对各恒星形成区中的致密团块进行了研究,揭示出其中一些可能的恒星形成区域.同时,对S140区中的有关红外点源作出了能谱分析,并对S141区的激发星进行了讨论. 相似文献
6.
THE SIMULATED STORAGE CAPACITY OF FLOOD AND WATERLOGGING IN THE TYPICAL AGRICULTURAL REGION IN JIANGHAN PLAIN 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
1INTRODUCTIONJianghanPlainisoneoftheimportantbasesofChina′sagriculturalproductivitylocatedinthemiddleChangjiangRivervalleyofcentralChina.TheJianghanplainapproximately6.6×104km2inareaandover30millioninpopulationistherenowned“countryoffishandrice"in… 相似文献
7.
C. Debi Prasad Ashok Ambastha Nandita Srivastava Sushanta C. Tripathy Mona J. Hagyard 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》1997,18(1):39-55
Super-active region NOAA 6555 was highly flare productive during the period March 21st–27th, 1991 of its disk passage. We
have st udied its chromospheric activity using high spatial resolution Hα filtergrams taken at Udaipur along with MSFC vector
magnetograms. A possible relationship of flare productivity and the variation in shear has been explored. Flares were generally
seen in those subareas of the active region which possessed closed magnetic field configuration, whereas only minor flares
and/or surges occurred in subareas showing open magnetic field configuration. Physical mechanisms responsible for the observed
surges are also discussed. 相似文献
8.
Kenai, located on the west coast of the Kenai Peninsula, Alaska, subsided during the great earthquake of AD 1964. Regional land subsidence is recorded within the estuarine stratigraphy as peat overlain by tidal silt and clay. Reconstructions using quantitative diatom transfer functions estimate co‐seismic subsidence (relative sea‐level rise) between 0.28±0.28 m and 0.70±0.28 m followed by rapid post‐seismic recovery. Stratigraphy records an earlier co‐seismic event as a second peat‐silt couplet, dated to ~1500–1400 cal. yr BP with 1.14±0.28 m subsidence. Two decimetre‐scale relative sea‐level rises are more likely the result of glacio‐isostatic responses to late Holocene and Little Ice Age glacier expansions rather than to co‐seismic subsidence during great earthquakes. Comparison with other sites around Cook Inlet, at Girdwood and Ocean View, helps in constructing regional patterns of land‐level change associated with three great earthquakes, AD 1964, ~950–850 cal. yr BP and ~1500–1400 cal. yr BP. Each earthquake has a different spatial pattern of co‐seismic subsidence which indicates that assessment of seismic hazard in southern Alaska requires an understanding of multiple great earthquakes, not only the most recent. All three earthquakes show a pre‐seismic phase of gradual land subsidence that marked the end of relative land uplift caused by inter‐seismic strain accumulation. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
9.
Yehuda Ben-Zion 《Geophysical Journal International》1990,101(3):507-528
10.
Current plate motions 总被引:57,自引:0,他引:57