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THE APPLICATION OF ASSIMILATED AIRCRAFT DATA IN SIMULATING A HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTH CHINA IN JUNE 2005
作者姓名:梁科  万齐林  丁伟钰  陈子通  黄燕燕
作者单位:LIANG Ke(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081 China;Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China) ; WAN Qi-lin(Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China) ; DING Wei-yu(Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China) ; CHEN Zi-tong(Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China) ; HUANG Yan-yan(Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China) ;
摘    要:Regular and irregular observational data are used to analyze and simulate a torrential rain over the south of China on 18 – 24 June 2005. Since the regular data cannot depict the rainfall system fully, GRAPES model is used to simulate this process. Different data are assimilated for 12 hours by its simulating system and different analysis data are obtained. In order to analyze how well the model forecast has been improved with the addition of assimilated aircraft data, these different analysis data are used as the first-guess data to conduct two control numerical simulation tests. From these tests, it is proved that the model that adds aircraft assimilation data can simulate the main region of precipitation, which is more consistent with the observed precipitation than the model that does not, and that the accuracy rate is also improved. These numerical simulation tests not only show that it is necessary and capable to improve the modeling of this torrential rain process by using aircraft data, but also lays the foundation for forecasting heavy rains in the south of China based on aircraft data.

关 键 词:中国  南方  大雨  航天数据

THE APPLICATION OF ASSIMILATED AIRCRAFT DATA IN SIMULATING A HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTH CHINA IN JUNE 2005
LIANG Ke,WAN Qi-lin,DING Wei-yu,CHEN Zi-tong,HUANG Yan-yan.THE APPLICATION OF ASSIMILATED AIRCRAFT DATA IN SIMULATING A HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTH CHINA IN JUNE 2005[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2007,13(2):160-164.
Authors:LIANG Ke  WAN Qi-lin  DING Wei-yu  CHEN Zi-tong  HUANG Yan-yan
Institution:1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081 China;Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China
2. Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou 510080 China
Abstract:Regular and irregular observational data are used to analyze and simulate a torrential rain over the south of China on 18 - 24 June 2005. Since the regular data cannot depict the rainfall system fully,GRAPES model is used to simulate this process. Different data are assimilated for 12 hours by its simulating system and different analysis data are obtained. In order to analyze how well the model forecast has been improved with the addition of assimilated aircraft data, these different analysis data are used as the first-guess data to conduct two control numerical simulation tests. From these tests, it is proved that the model that adds aircraft assimilation data can simulate the main region of precipitation, which is more consistent with the observed precipitation than the model that does not, and that the accuracy rate is also improved. These numerical simulation tests not only show that it is necessary and capable to improve the modeling of this torrential rain process by using aircraft data, but also lays the foundation for forecasting heavy rains in the south of China based on aircraft data.
Keywords:heavy rain over South of China  aircraft data  data assimilation  model simulation
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