非等间距GM(1,1)模型的总体最小二乘算法及其病态问题

在非等间距GM(1,1)模型中，系数矩阵中有无误差的常数项和有误差的随机项，并且系数矩阵与观测向量误差同源，即系数矩阵与观测向量中有相同的元素存在，这些相同元素应该有相同的改正数，为此本文推导了一种适合非等间距GM(1,1)模型求解的总体最小二乘算法。同时，考虑到非等间距GM(1,1)模型中存在病态问题时影响总体最小二乘计算结果的稳定性，提出对系数矩阵常数列乘以某一常数的方法，以改善病态问题。     

2005年国家房地产相关政策及分析

2004是中国房市暴涨的一年，房价的快速上涨打破了大多数中国人的购房梦想，2004年1～11月份，全国商品房平均销售价格为每平方米2759元，同比上涨12．5％，全年各月与2003年相比，平均涨幅将近10％左右，2004年全国商品房平均售价为2714元／平方米，比1998年增加651元．年均增加93元，而2004年比2003年增加355元，远大于1998～2003年的年均增量。房价无休止的上涨已与居民收入比例产生明显的矛盾，据测算，全国35个大中城市房价收入比平均水平为11．6倍，     

Wintertime Stratospheric Anomalies-Part I: Warm Pools

The stratospheric worm pools, called the 4-day wave also, are mainly the temperature anomalies in the polar regions of winter hemisphere. It will be shown that their occurrence, propagation speed and specific structure can be explained by the lower frequency coherent heating resulting from the wave interaction in the breaking layers of the stratosphere. Although their vertical phase slope is negligibly small, the warm pools cannot be considered as a barotropic anomaly.     

Life's origin: the cosmic, planetary and biological processes

From elements formed in interstellar furnaces to humans peering back at the stars, the evolution of life has been a long, intricate and perhaps inevitable process. Life as we know it requires a planet orbiting a star at just the right distance so that water can exist in liquid form. It needs a rich supply of chemicals and energy sources. On Earth, the combination of chemistry and energy generated molecules that evolved ways of replicating themselves and of passing information from one generation to the next. Thus, the thread of life began. This chart traces the thread, maintained by DNA molecules for much of its history, as it weaves its way through the primitive oceans, gaining strength and diversity along the way. Organisms eventually moved onto the land, where advanced forms, including humans, ultimately arose. Finally, assisted by a technology of its own making, life has reached back out into space to understand its own origins, to expand into new realms, and to seek other living threads in the cosmos.     

软粘土中插入式大直径薄壁圆筒结构的一种极限状态分析模型

根据插入式大直径薄壁圆筒结构的工作特点建立了其合理的破坏机制，以此为基础建立了受横向荷载作用的插入式大直径薄壁圆筒结构的上限法极限分析模型，从中可以得到作用于插入式大直径薄壁圆筒结构上的横向极限荷载近似的上限解；并根据上限法模型计算结果，提出了计算受横向荷载作用的插入式大圆筒结构侧壁极限抗力的简化修正模型，利用此修正模型，基于极限平衡法，可以求解作用于插入式大直径薄壁圆筒结构上的横向极限荷载。     

南美洲7ka来古气候资料中的南方涛动信号

在南半球赤道地区，太平洋东部沿岸的海面温度相对较冷，这些冷水强烈地影响着赤道大陆气候，在由塔西提／达尔文间不规则的高／低气压所定义的南方诗动的减弱价段，这种气候背景型式强烈地受到改变，在南方涛动减弱阶段，厄尔尼诺事件可能会出现，赤道太平洋水团要比通常温暖。