基于二元关系的GIS实体拓扑关系的粗糙表达

利用二元关系和粗糙集的一些性质来研究GIS实体之间关系,发现在基于二元关系的广义近似空间下GIS实体的前继领域、后继领域算子、上、下继领域包含了比它自身更广的一个集合定义。同样基于粗糙集,我们发现二元关系GIS实体的上、下近似比Pawlark粗糙集的定义更广泛。在二元关系的广义近似空间下,一个GIS单点集的上近似等于它的前继领域,同样等于它后继领域的逆。     

珠三角地区前汛期强对流潜势预报方法研究

利用2004—2006年前汛期探空资料计算的物理量,选取与强对流天气相关性好的大气温湿类(整层比湿积分IntegralQ)、层结稳定度类(K指数)、动力类(潜在下冲气流指数MDPI)、热力动力综合类(瑞士第一雷暴指数SWISS00)作为预报因子,通过对各指数的空间分布特征和数值进行二值Logistic回归分析,得到各指数的参数估算值,建立强对流诊断预报方程,得到前汛期强对流潜势预报因子P,从而制作珠江三角洲(以下简称珠三角)地区未来12小时出现强对流天气的潜势预报。并用此法回报2003—2006年3—6月前汛期的强对流天气。结果表明,P值大于0.9的准确率可达77.5%,P值小于0.5出现强天气的概率仅为3.8%。由于资料有限,对2007年3—4月发生的7次强对流的经验检验效果不明显,但P值小于0.5时不发生强对流的经验检验效果明显。此法对珠三角地区的短时强降水和雷雨大风等强对流天气的临近监测预警有较好的指示意义。     

Tropical Cyclones and Polar Lows: Velocity, Size, and Energy Scales, and Relation to the 26℃ Cyclone Origin Criteria

The goal of this paper is to quantitatively formulate some necessary conditions for the development of intense atmospheric vortices. Specifically, these criteria are discussed for tropical cyclones (TC) and polar lows (PL) by using bulk formulas for fluxes of momentum, sensible heating, and latent heating between the ocean and the atmosphere. The velocity scale is used in two forms: (1) as expressed through the buoyancy flux b and the Coriolis parameter lc for rotating fluids convection, and (2) as expresse...     

夏季西北太平洋和南中国海台风生成与前期冬春主要环境条件的关系

利用NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料、OLR资料和中国气象局编辑的<台风年鉴>及<热带气旋年鉴>资料,对西北太平洋和南中国海夏季中心附近的平均风力达8级(17 m/s)或以上的热带气旋(含热带风暴、强热带风暴和台风,以下统称台风)牛成频数与气候背景的关系进行了研究分析.对台风牛成多寡的气候背景差异和特征进行比较表明,前期冬春季海温和赤道辆合带的异常与夏季台风生成有密切的关系.前期冬春季在类似于La Nina型海温距平分布背景下,从冬至夏在赤道中太平洋160°E附近的ITCZ有一个向西北方向加强北抬的过程,太平洋ITCZ的活动偏北偏强,赤道太平洋有异常活跃的ITCZ向西太平洋台风主要源地推进,有利于后期夏季台风的生成;相反,前期冬春季在类似于E1 Nino型海温距平分布背景下,赤道西太平洋ITCZ偏弱偏南,不利于后期夏季的台风生成.在夏季多台风年,前期冬季西太平洋暖海温异常为后期台风的发展提供了重要的有利背景,在暖海温的持续作用下,对流层的风场辐合异常增强,增加了暖海温区的水汽供应.到了前期春季,热带辐合带的扰动扮演了更为重要的角色.随着赤道辐合带的北移,附加的异常辐合位于暖海温区时,会激发出低空大尺度水汽辐合与自由大气中潜热释放之间的正反馈,有利于后期台风的生成.当前期冬季至春季西北太平洋海温持续异常偏冷时,对流层的风场为辐散异常,减少了冷海温区的水汽供应,导致赤道辐合带不活跃,缺乏必要扰动,夏季台风生成偏少.     

南海台风Vongfong(2002)登陆前后内核结构和近海加强原因的数值模拟研究

利用6 km细网格区域的显式模拟结果分析了Vongfong(2002)的内核结构;对Vongfong近海加强的动力学机制进行了研究.结果表明:(1) 轴对称性结构中,Vongfong最大风速半径(RMW)在强盛期随高度递减.Vongfong在近海时,低层最强的流入在其移行的前方,而流出区在其后方.这些特征与大西洋飓风和西太平洋台风相反.(2) 动力场和热力场都有明显的不对称结构.在强盛期,对流西北强、东南弱;强对流云带与最大风速区的位置一致.在加强期,低层西冷东暖、中高层西暖东冷;到强盛期,低层和中高层都有明显的暖心结构.(3) 中纬度中上层冷低压系统和台风的相互作用是Vongfong近海加强的重要原因.①由于冷低压系统外围的冷空气从西北侧进入台风的中层,低层有暖湿空气配合,使得位势不稳定能量增加,对流发展.②因为冷低压中心的下沉气流正是二级环流的下沉支,冷低压南移填塞,台风近海加强.两个方面最终通过CISK(第二类条件不稳定)机制来实现.     

IMPROVEMENT OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF TYPHOON RANANIM (0414) BY USING DOPPLER RADAR DATA

Typhoon Rananim (0414) has been simulated by using the non-hydrostatic Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) from Center of Analysis and Prediction of Storms (CAPS). The prediction of Rananim has generally been improved with ARPS using the new generation CINRAD Doppler radar data. Numerical experiments with or without using the radar data have shown that model initial fields with the assimilated radar radial velocity data in ARPS can change the wind field at the middle and high levels of the troposphere; fine characteristics of the tropical cyclone (TC) are introduced into the initial wind, the x component of wind speed south of the TC is increased and so is the y component west of it. They lead to improved forecasting of TC tracks for the time after landfall. The field of water vapor mixing ratio, temperature, cloud water mixing ratio and rainwater mixing ratio have also been improved by using radar reflectivity data. The model’s initial response to the introduction of hydrometeors has been increased. It is shown that horizontal model resolution has a significant impact on intensity forecasts, by greatly improving the forecasting of TC rainfall, and heavy rainstorm of the TC specially, as well as its distribution and variation with time.     

A Study on the Long-term Spectral Variability of the Black-hole Candidate X-ray Binary Cyg X-1

Using the All-Sky Monitor (ASM, 1.5–12–kev) data of Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer (RXTE) from January 1996 to May 2005, we have made a detailed analysis of the correlation between photon-count rate and spectral hardness ratio HR2 (5–12 keV/3–5 keV) of the black-hole candidate X-ray binary Cyg X-1 in 3 energy bands, namely the A-band (1.5–3 keV), B-band (3–5 keV) and Cband (5–12 keV). By the study on the ASM data of 1-day time scale, we find: (1) When Cyg X-1 is in the soft state, the A-band photon-count rate and hardness ratio HR2 exhibit an anticorrelation, but in B-band and C-band there appears the positive correlation. When Cyg X-1 is in hard state, the photon-count rates in the A,B,C bands are all inversely correlated with the hardness ratio HR2; (2) No matter whether Cyg X-1 is in the soft state or the hard state, the hardness ratios HR2 and HR1 are always positively correlated. In addition, we have analyzed the “dwell by dwell” data of the ASM, and obtained the following interesting results: (1) In the period of MJD = 52600–52760 (while Cyg X-1 is in the hard state), the photon-count rates in the A-band and B-band are inversely correlated with HR2, but in the C-band there appears a relatively strong positive correlation; (2) During the hard state, a clear anticorrelation exists between the hardness ratios HR2 and HR1.     

高光谱图像波段选择的改进二进制布谷鸟算法

波段选择是高光谱遥感图像分类的重要前提，本文提出了一种用于高光谱遥感图像波段选择的改进二进制布谷鸟算法，通过使用混合二进制编码算法更新子代鸟巢和使用遗传算法交叉方式更新被发现鸟巢两个方面对二进制布谷鸟算法进行改进，找出在图像中起主要作用且相关性低的波段，实现对高光谱遥感图像降维。将本文算法运用于PaviaU数据集和AVIRIS数据集，并与二进制布谷鸟算法、二进制粒子群算法、最小冗余最大相关算法、Relief算法等进行对比分析。结果表明，改进二进制布谷鸟算法波段特征选择效率更高，且选取的波段更具代表性，能够较好地提高后续分类精度。     

遥感影像线状地物智能化提取算法研究

对遥感影像线状地物的提取进行了深入研究分析,分别采用Snakes模型、二值形态学和面向对象处理等3种算法智能化提取线状地物。通过实验验证,3种智能算法都是行之有效的,且Snakes模型在各种线状地物提取上表现稳定,而二值形态学和面向对象算法在部分线状地物提取上表现较为突出,整体稳定性却不如Snakes模型。