基于人工神经网络的地震活动性研究

人工神经网络通过神经元之间的相互作用来完成整个网络的信息处理,具有自学习和自适应等一系列优点,因而用它来进行地震活动性研究是可行的。针对地震活动性问题,初步建立了基于人工神经网络的计算分析系统,给出了应用实例。     

水平定向钻无套管双管回托工艺研究

本文结合单根管道水平定向钻穿越回托力计算,对无套管双管回托力计算方法进行了理论分析,并通过工程实例对计算公式进行了修正,得出了无套管双管回托力计算方法,以期为同类工程实践提供理论参考。     

基于EGM96模型的神经网络BP算法在GPS高程转换中的应用

在一个测区内,从水准联测点上移走EGM96含有的高精度中长波部分后,把余下的高程异常通过BP神经网络进行模拟,最后再对数据进行恢复,使实验达到良好的结果.     

长江三角洲西部地区PM2.5输送轨迹分类研究

长三角4个省会（直辖市）城市（上海、南京、合肥、杭州）中,合肥与南京的PM_2.5浓度演变有较高的一致性。应用聚类分析的方法对2013-2015年合肥非降水日（日降水量低于10 mm）100 m高度（代表近地层）和1000 m高度（代表边界层中上部）的72 h后向轨迹进行分类,结合合肥2013-2015年PM_2.5日均浓度资料,探讨近地层和边界层中上部输送轨迹与长三角西部PM_2.5浓度的关系。近地层和边界层中上部分别得到7组和6组不同的后向轨迹;不同输送轨迹对应的PM_2.5浓度、重污染（重度以上污染,PM_2.5日均浓度大于150 μg/m³）天数、能见度、地面风速、相对湿度等都有显著不同,尤其是在近地层。100 m高度,平均长度最短、来向偏东的轨迹组对应的PM_2.5浓度均值最高（约是组内均值最低值的2倍）、重污染天数最多,且占比最高（30%）,重污染日对应的气流在过去72 h下降高度均值仅28 m,明显低于其他PM_2.5污染等级日;来向偏西北、长度较短的轨迹组,PM_2.5浓度均值和重污染天数为第2高,这一类轨迹占比14%,气流到达本地前存在明显的下沉运动,反映了远距离输送加剧本地PM_2.5重污染的特征。这两类轨迹常对应PM_2.5日均浓度的上升。PM_2.5平均浓度最低的2个轨迹组分别是来自东北和西南的较长轨迹组,所占比例分别为6.4%和10.3%,这2类轨迹往往对应着PM_2.5日均浓度下降。1000 m高度的结果与100 m高度结果类似,但PM_2.5平均浓度的组间差异不及100 m高度,与2001-2005年PM₁₀浓度与输送轨迹的关系不同。对3 a中84个重污染日两个高度的后向轨迹进行聚类,近地层和边界层中上部各得到7类和6类PM_2.5重污染日的天气形势。近地层92%的重污染日对应的海平面气压形势场上,从华北到华东属于均压区,气压梯度小,轨迹来向以偏东到偏北方向为主,垂直方向延伸高度在950 hPa以下。1000 m高度,77%的重污染日属于相对较短的轨迹组,对应的850 hPa高度场特征为从中国西北（新疆）到东南受高压控制,长三角或位于高压底部,或位于两高压之间的均压区。这对PM_2.5浓度预报有较好的指示意义。     

The potential of old maps and encyclopaedias for reconstructing historic European land cover/use change

Continental to global reconstructions of historic land cover/use are important inputs for many environmental, ecological and biogeochemical studies. While local to regional reconstructions frequently make use of old topographic maps and land use statistics, continental to global reconstructions are mostly model-based reconstructions. As a result they are subject to large uncertainties. A wealth of historic land cover/use maps and statistics have been produced and these are now more accessible due to the ending of copyrights and secrecy statuses, enthusiastic hobby communities and national cartographic institutes or cadastres that have a strategy towards data sharing with society. In this paper we made use of historic statistics and old topographic maps to demonstrate the added value for model-based reconstructions of historic land cover/use for Central Europe back to 1900. We harmonized these diverse data types and different types of historic land data were incorporated into the land use reconstructions. The added value of using these data was evaluated using historical maps by performing a reconstruction with and without the historic information. The accuracy of the land allocation in the historic reconstruction was improved by 16.5% using historic maps. Additionally, historic maps improved the representation of the spatial structure of landscapes. The historic land cover/use statistics used showed a strong agreement with independent estimates, like historic maps.     

Geologic Control on Hydrothermal Activities in the Okinawa Trough

Revealing the controlling effect of geological structure on seafloor hydrothermal activities is of great significance in understanding the formation mechanism of hydrothermal system and searching for seafloor sulfide resources. This article summarized the topography and faults, crustal structure, gravity and magnetic field, heat flow and magmatism in the middle and southern Okinawa Trough, as well as the general characteristics of hydrothermal field distributions and hydrothermal products. By comparing the Okinawa Trough with the Manus Basin, Mariana Trough, North Fiji Basin and Lau Basin with different rock basements and extension stages, we generalized some specific geological characteristics of the Okinawa Trough, including the transitional crustal nature, low extension degree, high heat flow value, extremely thick sediments, and bimodal volcanism. The hydrothermal activities in the Okinawa Trough are controlled by fault structures, magmatism, and spreading rate, and at the same time, are affected by basement rock types and sediment covers. In the middle and southern parts of the trough, two group of faults that are parallel and perpendicular to the strike of the back-arc basin promote the fluid circulation, and large-scale magmatic activity provides sufficient heat for the hydrothermal system. In addition, the interaction of fluids with the widespread silicic volcanic rocks and thick sediments leads to the enrichment of organic matter, CO ₂, and metals such as Ag and Au in the hydrothermal products. According to the extension rate and geological features of the Okinawa Trough, we believe that the Okinawa Trough has potential to have new hydrothermal fields discovered and we speculate that new hydrothermal fields most possibly exist in the regions influenced by ridge subduction as well as the neo-volcanic zones closed to the island arc.     

塔里木盆地北部隆起负反转构造成因机制探讨

塔(里木盆地)北(部)隆起中生代以来经历了逆冲上隆,构造反转和再生前陆盆地斜坡带3个阶段,分别与库车前陆盆地构造运动强、弱、强的演化历史相对应。塔北隆起的大型负反转构造形成于白垩纪-中新世。白垩纪之前,塔北断隆作为库车前陆盆地和北部坳陷的相邻单元,发育两组背冲断裂以实现其缩短。在构造宁静期(白垩纪-新第三纪吉迪克期),岩石圈回跳,前缘隆起局部伸展,早期逆冲断块沿着原逆冲断层面下滑形成负反转构造。中新世以后,塔北地区成为库车再生前陆盆地的斜坡区,负反转构造得以保存且有进一步加剧之势。塔北隆起上伸展应力场的产生与深部岩石圈同步挠曲变形过程中波峰和波长的变化有关。     

Characterizing soil properties by the meshless local Petrov-Galerkin method

This study presents a preliminary development of a direct back analysis procedure by the meshless local Petrov-Galerkin (MLPG) method and its application to characterize soil properties using in-situ test results. As compared to a direct back analysis based on the finite element method (FEM), it is intended to show that doing a direct back analysis by the MLPG method may reduce the computation costs or treat with the non-homogeneity of characterized soil properties more easily. Taking a two-dimensional (2D) solute transport problem as an illustration, an MLPG1 model of such a problem is derived to predict the solute concentration with trial coefficients of dispersion. To account for the non-homogeneity of these coefficients, variation of them is described by the moving least-squares interpolation. The Akaike information criterion is then introduced to find those coefficients of dispersion with which errors between predicted and measured data are minimized. A benchmark problem is studied to test the precision of numerical results provided by the proposed MLPG1 model. Another example illustrates the experiences of doing an MLPG-based direct back analysis. Comparison of MLPG-based and FEM-based direct back analyses is taken.     

转换GPS高程的神经网络模型试验研究

简要介绍了神经网络BP算法的基本结构和数学公式，并提出了转换GPS高程的神经网络模型-经改进五层BP网络结构。通过某工程实例，对五层BP网络结构的具体模型结构（如输入输出层设计，隐含层最佳节点数的选取等）进行了一些试验研究，得到了一些有工程实用价值的结论。     

Back Trajectory Analysis of Precipitation Chemistry in the Urban and Forest Areas of Istanbul,Turkey

There are many influences on precipitation chemistry and its variation. The transport paths of air masses before rainfall provide useful knowledge for evaluating and understanding the results of the analysis of the chemical compositions of precipitation. As a consequence, it is important to determine the variation of the chemical composition of rainwater by back trajectory analysis for estimating the source of the emissions. In this study, the rainwater samples were collected using specially designed collectors between November 1997 and June 1998 in the urban and forest areas of Istanbul. The rainwater samples were analyzed for major ion concentrations and pH. The volume‐weighed mean pH values were 5.8. The rainwater samples were classified to determine the source region of pollutants in rainwater using synoptic maps. In general, the results of the analysis on the chemical concentrations of precipitation during the measurement period showed that most of ions reached Istanbul from the directions of W‐SW, NW‐W, and NE‐N, respectively.