The effects of hazard zone information on judgements about earthquake damage

This study investigates the extent to which people's views on the causes and preventability of earthquake damage might be influenced by their degree of exposure to hazard as well as what information they have been given about the hazard. The results show that the provision of hazard zoning information influences judgements on preventability and causes of damage, but this effect depends on the degree of hazard faced by residents. In low hazard zones, information leads to the view that causes are manageable, whereas in high hazard zones information may induce a degree of fatalism. The use of public information in risk management needs to take into account the degree of risk faced by the recipients.     

GIS-based flood hazard mapping at different administrative scales: A case study in Gangetic West Bengal, India

This paper addresses the need for an efficient and cost-effective methodology for preparing flood hazard maps in data poor countries, particularly those under a monsoon regime where floods pose a recurrent danger. Taking Gangetic West Bengal, India, as an example and using available historical data from government agencies, the study compiled a regional map indicating hazard prone subregional areas for further detailed investigation, thereby isolating actual high risk localities. Using a GIS (Geographical Information System), a composite hazard index was devised incorporating variables of flood frequency, population density, transportation networks, access to potable water, and availability of high ground and maximum risk zones were mapped accordingly. A digital elevation model derived from high resolution imagery available in the public domain was used to calculate elevated areas suitable for temporary shelter during a flood. Selecting administrative units of analysis at the lowest possible scales – rural development blocks (regional) and revenue villages (subregional) – also ensures that hazard mapping is prepared in line with the existing rural planning and administrative authorities responsible for remedial intervention.     

滑坡稳定性分析与安全系数取值研究

在地质灾害中,滑坡灾害分布最广、发生频率最高、危害最大,是我国地质灾害防治的主要对象。滑坡研究的主要任务之一是稳定性分析。论文针对三板溪水电站进水口滑坡和水布垭水电站大岩淌滑坡,分别采用刚体极限平衡法、块体单元法、有限单元法对稳定安全系数和条间推力分布曲线进行分析和比较,研究各种方法的差异和计算精度,以及各种方法稳定安全系数的取值标准,希望为水利水电工程边坡设计规范有关有限单元法、块体单元法条目的编写和相应的允许安全系数取值标准的制定提供一定的参考。研究结果表明:①块体单元法计算的安全系数与刚体极限平衡法计算的安全系数可以采用相同的取值标准,而有限单元法计算的安全系数取值标准可适当降低;②块体单元法计算的条间水平推力、条间剪切力与刚体极限平衡法(尤其是Sarma法)计算的条间水平推力、条间剪切力非常相近,有限单元法计算的条间水平推力、条间剪切力较小;③分析方法、力学模型与参数取值应与安全系数取值标准相匹配。     

西藏昌都镇地质灾害发育特征及防治对策

昌都镇位于澜沧江上游“三河一江”地带(即昂曲、扎曲、色曲、澜沧江)。地质构造条件复杂,气候较恶劣,昼夜温差大,物理风化强烈,植被稀疏,地质灾害发育。该区是藏东的政治、经济、文化中心。随着地区的经济发展,其城镇建设与地质灾害之间的矛盾日益突出。调查研究显示昌都镇发育地质灾害33处,其中崩塌16处,占灾害点总数48.5%,主要发育于路堑边坡和河流下切侧蚀形成的自然边坡;滑坡13处,占灾害点总数的39.4%,且90%为土质滑坡,多与人类工程活动有关;泥石流4处,占灾害点总数的12.1%,以中小型为主。文章总结了昌都镇崩塌、滑坡和泥石流灾害的发育分布特征,地质灾害与地层岩性、空间位置和人类工程活动等之间的关系,以及对昌都城镇建设和发展的影响。结合调查分析提出了昌都镇地质灾害防治的总体策略———治灾、设防、治水、治坡、生态建设和加强环保意识。     

Seismic Hazards Assessment for Radioactive Waste Disposal Sites in Regions of Low Seismic Activity

A comparative tectonic quiescence and lack of earthquakes make the stable centres of continents attractive for siting long-term radioactive waste storage facilities. The low rates of deformation in such regions, however, make it difficult to characterize their long-term seismotectonic behaviour, leading to uncertain estimates for the very low probability hazard estimates required by society. In an attempt to overcome the deficiency of both contemporary seismicity and paleoseismic data in central Canada, we have used earthquake histories from regions with similar seismotectonic characteristics from around the world. Substituting space for time, we estimate a long-term rate per 10⁶ km² of 0.004 magnitude ≥6 earthquakes per annum, of which 33–100% might rupture to the surface.     

陕西省地质灾害气象预报预警系统的应用与现状

从降水这一诱发地质灾害的关键因素入手，在对陕西省地质灾害分布规律及其与气象条件关系研究分析的基础上，确定不同区域不同降雨强度诱发地质灾害的临界值，建立了陕西省地质灾害气象预报预警系统。根据降雨量等级，利用神经网络算法，划分地质灾害预报预警等级，进行有效的防灾预报。     

贵州大方县公鸡山地裂缝特征成因及防治

文章通过对贵州省大方县以公鸡山地裂隙实地调查，认为地裂隙的形成主要与公鸡山一带地下采煤有关。即采煤虚脱，沿先存构造断裂拉张而成。同时叙述了地裂缝特征及危害，并提出防灾减灾措施。     

福建省滨海火电厂地质灾害问题及风险控制探讨

滨海火力发电厂工程主要包括厂区建筑、码头、管道、取排水、填海和贮灰场等工程。其主要面临着福建省海岸带构造运动、断裂及地震活动、港湾淤积、海底滑坡、软土地基、海底活动地貌、基岩不均匀风化以及人类工程活动等主要的灾害性地质因素。通过对这些因素潜在的致灾特点分析，提出了滨海火电厂地质灾害风险控制应包括选址阶段地质灾害风险回避、设计施工阶段地质灾害风险处理及运行阶段地质灾害风险监控等3方面。地质灾害风险评估是滨海火电厂地质灾害风险控制的首要任务。针对滨海电厂工程的特点，评估内容应着重于地质灾害危险性评估及易损性评估。选址阶段地质灾害风险回避主要是对构造不稳定的回避。地质灾害风险处理主要是电厂工程的基础处理及管道抗冲刷处理。电厂运行阶段地质灾害风险监控主要是对建筑物基础稳定性及海域冲淤变化的监控。     

川藏公路地质灾害防御体系及防治对策研究

论文在分析川藏公路的自然与地质环境、水文地质、工程地质条件的基础上，研究了川藏公路沿线地质灾害形或发育的规律。提出地质灾害危险性评估有助于预防地质灾害。建设、设计、施工及监理等单位必须充分重视评估报告提出的防治建议．在公路基本建设各阶段，采取切实可行的措施防治地质灾害。在新构造运动频繁．河流下切强烈，地震活动强度及频度很高的地质背景下，川藏公路地质灾害的发生不可避免。利用计算机技术和信息高速公路．建立川藏公路统一的多功能信息处理与传递和灾害管理信息系统，是地质灾害防治的重要手段之一，也是一种趋势．只有达到信息快速传递，应急方案迅速启动，才能将地质灾害的损失降到最低。