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91.
Based on a zonally non-uniform mean circulation in summer simulated by numerical modelling,perturbation heatings ever South Asia and a perturbation cooling over Northwest Australia were incorporated in a numerical model to discuss their effects on summer monsoon over Asia and the structure of flow disturbance. 相似文献
92.
计算机天气图图形识别 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
根据天气系统的定义和实际业务中的天气图分析规范,总结出了500、700、850hPa3层高空天气图上特征等高线,特征等温线,槽线(含切变线),高(低)中心,冷(暖)中心以及热带气旋的识别方法及其判别式,并给出了实现计算机自动识别的程序设计步骤。 相似文献
93.
本文提出比值R分析计算方法,用其求解时间序列数据矩平差和标准差结构的分形,目的的于判定地震预报指标,作为实例,宁夏区和同心区的地震频度,最大震级,以及同心地办水氡观测数据的比值R随时间的分形变化进行了初步分析,证明本方法能为我国提供可信的震情信息。 相似文献
94.
本文从背景性地震活动、地震活动的时空分布以及前兆震群活动等基本特征出发,分析了共和地震前地震活动的异常特征。结果说明,共和地震是发生在青藏高原北部地震区地震活动增强的背景中。震前20年存在着中强地震空区。震前2-3年几乎同步出现了多种测震学异常。但无短临信息的前震活动。 相似文献
95.
肖天贵 《南京气象学院学报》1995,18(3):444-449
时间标度计算表明,西北太平洋热带气旋路径是一个无标度性的系统,其关联方差谱遵从频率的-2 ̄-3次方幂律,不同背景下的路径系统均如此。由此得到的不同季节、不同地域的热带气旋路径可预报时间尺度基本上为3 ̄4d,但异常热带气旋路径的可预报时间尺度则为1 ̄2d。 相似文献
96.
Electromagneticradiationanomaliesbeforemoderateandstrongearthquakes关华平,刘桂萍Hua-PingGUANandGui-PingLIU(CenterforAnalysisandPred... 相似文献
97.
Study on electric variations of media in epicentral area by geomagnetic transfer functions 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
StudyonelectricvariationsofmediainepicentralareabygeomagneticransferfunctionsXiao-PingZENG;(曾小苹)Yun-FangLINI;(林云芳)Zhong-JieZH... 相似文献
98.
99.
Tian Yongxiang 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1995,9(3):338-348
The tropical cyclone motion is numerically simulated with a quasi-geostrophic baroclinic model.The flow field of a tropical cyclone is decomposed into its axisymmetric and asymmetric components.The relation between the ventilation flow vector and the motion vector of the tropical cyclone is investigated.The results of numerical experiments indicate:(1) There are both large-scale beta gyres and small-scale gyres in the asyrnmetric flow field.(2) The interaction between small-scale gyres and large-scale beta gyres leads to the oscillation of translation speed and translation direction for the tropical cyclone.(3) There are the large deviations between the ventilation flow vector calculated by means of Fiorino and Elsberry's method and the motion vector of tropical cyclone.(4) The ventilation flow vector computed using the improved method closely correlates with the motion vector of the tropical cyclone. 相似文献
100.
Numerical Simulation of Andhra Severe Cyclone (2003): Model Sensitivity to the Boundary Layer and Convection Parameterization 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
C. V. Srinivas R. Venkatesan D. V. Bhaskar Rao D. Hari Prasad 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2007,164(8-9):1465-1487
The Andhra severe cyclonic storm (2003) is simulated to study its evolution, structure, intensity and movement using the Penn
State/NCAR non-hydrostatic mesoscale atmospheric model MM5. The model is used with three interactive nested domains at 81,
27 and 9 km resolutions covering the Bay of Bengal and adjoining Indian Peninsula. The performance of the Planetary Boundary
Layer (PBL) and convective parameterization on the simulated features of the cyclone is studied by conducting sensitivity
experiments. Results indicate that while the boundary layer processes play a significant role in determining both the intensity
and movement, the convective processes especially control the movement of the model storm. The Mellor-Yamada scheme is found
to yield the most intensive cyclone. While the combination of Mellor-Yamada (MY) PBL and Kain-Fritsch 2 (KF2) convection schemes
gives the most intensive storm, the MRF PBL with KF2 convection scheme produces the best simulation in terms of intensity
and track. Results of the simulation with the combination of MRF scheme for PBL and KF2 for convection show the evolution
and major features of a mature tropical storm. The model has very nearly simulated the intensity of the storm though slightly
overpredicted. Simulated core vertical temperature structure, winds at different heights, vertical winds in and around the
core, vorticity and divergence fields at the lower and upper levels—all support the characteristics of a mature storm. The
model storm has moved towards the west of the observed track during the development phase although the location of the storm
in the initial and final phases agreed with the observations. The simulated rainfall distribution associated with the storm
agreed reasonably with observations. 相似文献