先验知识估算HJ-1 CCD数据地表反照率

以黑河实验区为例, 基于HJ-1 CCD数据和中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS) 二向性反射(BRDF)和反照率产品的备用算法(算法Ⅰ), 贝叶斯原理的反照率反演算法(算法Ⅱ)和地表朗伯假设的算法(算法Ⅲ)成功估算了地表短波反照率。对反演结果进行分析并与地表观测数据进行比较, 结果表明: (1) 高分辨率的HJ-1卫星地表反照率不仅能够提供下垫面主要的空间分布特征, 还能提供地表细部结构;(2) 两种基于先验知识的地表反照率和MODIS产品接近, 绝对误差为0.01, 相对误差为4%, 而算法Ⅲ的绝对误差为0.03, 相对误差为13%; 算法Ⅰ和Ⅱ对反照率的改善对地表类型的依赖不明显, 相对误差集中在2%-8%, 反演结果对时相变化依赖较为显著, 在植被最茂盛的季节反照率改善作用明显优于凋谢季;(3) 算法Ⅰ和算法Ⅱ的结果与地表观测结果更为吻合, 均方根误差在0.05以内, 相对误差小于23%, 而算法Ⅲ的均方根误差为0.069, 相对误差为36.3%;(4) 先验知识的作用可能依赖于太阳和观测几何的相对位置, 因此可能依赖于季节和纬度的变化, 以及传感器的成像方式。该研究对缺乏多角度观测的星载传感器的反照率反演有重要的参考价值。     

Mapping dominant vegetation communities at Meili Snow Mountain,Yunnan Province,China using satellite imagery and plant community data

Mapping dominant vegetation communities is important work for vegetation scientists. It is very difficult to map dominant vegetation communities using multispectral remote sensing data only, especially in mountain areas. However plant community data contain useful information about the relationships between plant communities and their environment. In this paper, plant community data are linked with remote sensing to map vegetation communities. The Bayesian soft classifier was used to produce posterior probability images for each class. These images were used to calculate the prior probabilities. One hundred and eighty plant plots at Meili Snow Mountain, Yunnan Province, China were used to characterize the vegetation distribution for each class along altitude gradients. Then, the frequencies were used to modify the prior probabilities of each class. After stratification in a vegetation part and a non-vegetation part, a maximum-likelihood classification with equal prior probabilities was conducted, yielding an overall accuracy of 82.1% and a kappa accuracy of 0.797. Maximum-likelihood classification with modified prior probabilities in the vegetation part, conducted with a conventional maximum-likelihood classification for the non-vegetation part, yielded an overall accuracy of 87.7%, and a kappa accuracy of 0.861.     

岩质边坡楔形体稳定模糊随机可靠性研究

在统计矩点估计法和模糊随机理论的基础上,提出了楔形体模糊随机可靠性分析改进的模糊点估计法,将楔形体稳定极限状态方程由模糊随机集向普通随机集转化,首先采用Bayes推断方法求解小样本条件下结构面力学参数的概率分布函数,用正态模糊数对随机变量进行模糊随机化处理,然后利用模糊点估计法求解楔形体的可靠度指标。算例分析结果表明,该法使用简便,结果可靠,更能客观地反映楔形体的真实状态,从而为工程决策提供依据。     

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时移地震资料贝叶斯AVO波形反演

针对时移地震差异数据,给出了一种基于贝叶斯理论的AVO波形反演方法.该方法可以利用时移地震差异数据同时反演出纵波阻抗、横波阻抗和密度的变化.利用时移地震资料进行反演,由于采集和处理过程中存在一定的差异,不同年份地震资料在非注采过程影响区域也会存在一定的变化,而该变化会导致反演结果在非注采区域有较大的变化.针对这一问题,本文采用贝叶斯理论框架,将待求的纵横波阻抗、密度变化的先验信息和包含在地震数据中的信息结合起来,对于纵横波阻抗和密度变化,假设其服从Gauss分布,并以时移地震分别反演的结果作为其期望,同时,为了更好地表征储层属性变化,提高分辨率和抑制非注采区域弹性参数的变化,假设弹性参数变化的导数服从改进的Cauchy分布.数值模拟试验和实际资料处理结果皆表明,本文提出的反演方法能够有效地抑制假象,突出储层性质的变化,得到高分辨率的弹性参数变化信息,为研究储层属性的变化和优化开采方案提供更多的有效的信息.     

基于激光诱导击穿光谱的贺兰石识别分析

利用激光诱导击穿光谱(Laser Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy:LIBS)分析技术实现对贺兰石样品的实时、快速分析。实验基于LIBS技术采集贺兰石光谱数据,利用三次样条插值、数据平滑、标准正态校正等数据预处理方法,结合线性判别分析进行特征提取,利用贝叶斯分类器实现了贺兰石样品的快速、准确分析。实验结果表明该方法对贺兰石平均识别率为:99.5%,标准差1.31%,说明该方法识别贺兰石效果较好。     

基于Bayes估计的稀疏数据CT重建算法研究

通过对稀疏放射数据CT重建问题的分析,提出用Bayes方法重建图像。首先以医疗解剖学为基础,将目标物体的先验信息转化为定量的先验概率密度,即结构先验,将测量所得数据作为似然函数,二者结合得到后验概率密度,通过对其抽样,将均值估算得到期望值作为重建结果。仿真实验证明,与传统CT重建方法相比,Bayes重建放射数据少,重建时间短,图像质量好,抗噪声能力强。     

Modern geostatistics: computational BME analysis in the light of uncertain physical knowledge – the Equus Beds study

This paper is concerned with a computational formulation of the Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) mapping method, which can handle rigorously and efficiently spatiotemporal applications of considerable practical importance. BME is a method of modern geostatistics that can integrate and process physical knowledge that belongs to two major bases: general knowledge (i.e., obtained from general principles and laws, summary statistics and background information), and specificatory knowledge (i.e., obtained through experience with the specific situation). BME allows considerable flexibility regarding the choice of an appropriate spatiotemporal map, offers a complete assessment of the mapping uncertainty and contributes to the scientific understanding of the underlying natural phenomenon. Valuable insight is gained by studying a spatiotemporal data set representing water-level elevations at the Equus Beds aquifer (Kansas). Numerical results show that, as was expected in theory, classical geostatistics analysis is obtained as a special case of the considerably more general BME approach. Moreover, modern geostatistical analysis in terms of BME offers more accurate and informative results in practice, by incorporating various sources of physical knowledge that cannot be processed by the classical methods.     

利用Bayes估计进行多波束测深异常数据探测

在海底地形变化连续、平缓的假设条件下,基于Bayes估计理论提出了多波束测深异常数据探测方法,并与选权迭代加权平均滤波法进行了分析和比较。结果证明,该方法可以解决测深异常值判断标准可靠性的问题,而且能合理、有效地探测出异常值。     

多波束回声数据的统计与底质分类应用

利用声反向散射数据作海底沉积物分类,是海洋地质学家感兴趣的话题,也是目前多波束声纳应用的一个研究热点。结合胶州湾实际调查数据,探讨了贝叶斯分类方法在该领域的应用。研究结果表明,该方法可以对不同的底质类型进行分类,可以识别未知的底质类型以及对混合在一起的两种不同类型的目标进行分类。