南海深水海盆环流和温跃层深度的季节变

受南海季风和复杂地形的影响,南海环流场具有复杂的空间结构和明显的季节变化,同时此海域又是中尺度涡多发海域,这些特征必然对南海温跃层深度的水平分布及季节变化有显著影响.首先,基于GDEM (Generalized Digital Environmental Model)的温、盐资料和利用P矢量方法计算并分析了南海的表层环流和多涡结构的空间分布特征和季节变化规律.在此基础上,分析了南海温跃层深度的空间分布特征和季节变化规律.结果表明,南海环流和多涡结构对南海温跃层具有显著的影响.     

东海冷涡中心位置及季节性变化的初步研究

使用1958—2001年SODA温度场资料,较为系统地对东海冷涡附近海域具代表性剖面温度场进行逐月分析,对冷涡中心提取方法进行了总结完善。结果表明,35 m深处冷涡44年的平均中心位于(32.0°N,125.7°E);冷涡的中心位置存在较显著的季节性变化:经向变化方面,由夏季、秋季至冬季,冷涡中心位置自北向南逐渐移动;从冬季、春季至夏季自南向北移动。纬向变化方面,冬季冷涡中心明显偏西,其他季节冷涡中心偏东且中心经度变化不大。以上变化主要是由冷涡周边流场的季节性变化引起的。冷涡中心在冬末春初和秋初表现不明显,这应是由环流场季节性转换导致。     

生态建设政策交易成本及其结构的比较

将交易成本分析引入沙漠化地区生态建设政策分析过程, 确定交易成本由搜寻信息成本、签订合约成本、建设及营运成本、监督对方是否违约成本、违约后寻求赔偿成本共5部分构成. 每个部分根据研究区域生态政策实施的关键节点进行指标分解, 设计政策交易成本分析的21个指标. 为了将不同生态政策之间的绩效进行对比, 构造了交易成本结构指数, 它由内生交易成本占总交易成本的比重、农户投入占生态建设项目生产成本的比重、交易成本占生态建设项目交易成本与生产成本之和的比重共3个指标构成. 根据在宁夏盐池县的调研数据, 测算退耕还林政策和天然林保护政策的交易成本分别为640.87元·hm^-2·a^-1和41.49元·hm^-2·a^-1, 交易成本结构指数值分别为0.1242和0.2292, 实施效果分别是很好和较好;"三北"防护林政策的交易成本为806.08元·hm^-2·a^-1, 交易成本结构指数值为0.4149, 实施效果一般;草地禁牧政策的交易成本为530.45元·hm^-2·a^-1, 交易成本结构指数值为0.8575, 实施效果很差. 生态政策的交易成本及其结构分析, 将为不同生态建设政策的比较和绩效评价提供一个新的角度, 具有重要意义.     

耦合模式中潮汐对北大西洋模拟的影响研究

将8个主要平衡分潮加入到耦合模式中,对比研究潮汐对北大西洋模拟影响。由于潮汐的引入,模式模拟SST在北大西洋中纬度区域偏差显著减小,高纬度区域SST降温明显。SST模拟的改变使潮汐试验的海表净热通量模拟误差下降了约30%,但高纬度海冰显著增加。模式中引入潮汐对北大西洋上层环流,尤其是西边界流的路径模拟改进显著,这是SST及海表净热通量模拟改变的主要原因。同时,北大西洋上层和深层西边界流在潮汐的作用下,都表现出环流减弱的特点,这也使得大西洋经向翻转环流在26.5°N处上层2 km的输送减弱,与观测数据更为接近。较弱的大西洋经向翻转环流导致海洋热量在中低纬度聚集而无法输送到高纬度区域,这是造成潮汐试验模拟的海温在中低纬度偏高、高纬度偏低的原因,较弱的热输送也同时导致了潮汐试验中北半球海冰面积增加。     

南海在1997/1998年El Ni(~n)o事件后的异常变化

基于NOAA OISST.V2月平均SST资料和FSU月平均风应力资料对南海的SST和风场异常进行了分析,发现:南海对1997/1998年El Nino事件响应最为强烈,并在1997/1998年冬季和次年的夏季SST存在2个异常高峰值,风速存在2个异常减小的极值.为研究南海环流在1997/1998年的异常变化,利用ECOM水动力模型计算了1995-2000年的南海环流场,分析了1998年1月和8月南海水位和环流的异常分布,二者均存在显著的异常:①1月,整个南海海盆为正的水位异常,流场为反气旋异常环流,冬季控制整个南海海盆的气旋式环流减弱;②8月,南海海盆水位为正异常,特别是越南东部海区出现较强的正水位异常,南海南部的高水位中心扩大北移;异常流场表现为南部为气旋式异常环流,北部为反气旋的异常环流,且在越南东部海区形成非常强的反气旋异常环流中心,使得控制南海南部的反气旋环流和北部的气旋环流均减弱.风应力的分析表明,风应力旋度的异常变化是南海环流年际异常变化的主要因素.     

Optimal estimation of zonal velocity and transport through Luzon Strait using variational data assimilation technique

A P-vector method was optimized using variational data assimilation technique, with which the vertical structures and seasonal variations of zonal velocities and transports were investigated. The results showed that westward and eastward flowes occur in the Luzon Strait in the same period in a year. How ever thenet volume transport is westward. In the upper level (0m -- -500m), the westward flow exits in the middle and south of the Luzon Strait, and the eastward flow exits in the north. There are two centers of westward flow and one center of eastward flow. In the middle of the Luzon Strait, westward and eastward flowes appear alternately in vertical direction. The westward flow strengthens in winter and weakens in summer. The net volume transport is strong in winter (5.53 Sv) but weak in summer (0.29 Sv). Except in summer, the volume transport in the upper level accounts for more than half of the total volume transport (0m -- bottom). In summer, the net volum etransport in the upper level is eastward (1.01 Sv), but westward underneath.     

南海深水海盆环流和温跃层深度的季节变化

受南海季风和复杂地形的影响,南海环流场具有复杂的空间结构和明显的季节变化,同时此海域又是中尺度涡多发海域,这些特征必然对南海温跃层深度的水平分布及季节变化有显著影响。首先,基于GDEM(General-ized Digital Environmental Model)的温、盐资料和利用P矢量方法计算并分析了南海的表层环流和多涡结构的空间分布特征和季节变化规律。在此基础上,分析了南海温跃层深度的空间分布特征和季节变化规律。结果表明,南海环流和多涡结构对南海温跃层具有显著的影响。     

关于印度洋副热带模态水的研究:潜沉率及其水体性质

The annual subduction rate in the South Indian Ocean was calculated by analyzing Simple Ocean Data Assimilation(SODA) outputs in the period of 1950–2008. The subduction rate census for potential density classes showed a peak corresponding to Indian Ocean subtropical mode water(IOSTMW) in the southwestern part of the South Indian Ocean subtropical gyre. The deeper mixed layer depth, the sharper mixed-layer fronts and the associated relatively faster circulation in the present climatology resulted in a larger lateral induction, which primarily dominants the IOSTMW subduction rate, while with only minor contribution from vertical pumping.Without loss of generality, through careful analysis of the water characteristics in the layer of minimum vertical temperature gradient(LMVTG), the authors suggest that the IOSTMW was identified as a thermostad, with a lateral minimum of low potential vorticity(PV, less than 200×10~(–12) m~(–1)·s~(–1)) and a low d T?dz(less than 1.5°C/(100m)). The IOSTMW within the South Indian Ocean subtropical gyre distributed in the region approximately from25° to 50° E and from 30° to 39°S. Additionally, the average characteristics(temperature, salinity, potential density)of the mode water were estimated about(16.38 ± 0.29)°C,(35.46 ± 0.04),(26.02 ± 0.04) σ_θ over the past 60 years.     

棉兰老流和棉兰老潜流在季节尺度上的关系研究

The ocean general circulation model for the earth simulator(OFES) products is applied to estimate the transports of the Mindanao Current(MC) and the Mindanao undercurrent(MUC) and explore the relation between them on seasonal scale. In general, the MUC is composed of the lower part of the Southern Pacific Tropical Water(SPTW)and Antarctic Intermediate Water(AAIW). While the deep northward core below 1 500 m is regarded as a portion of MUC. Both salinity and potential density restrictions become more reasonable to estimate the transports of MC/MUC as the properties of water mass having been taken into consideration. The climatological annual mean transport of MC is(37.4±5.81)×10~6 m~3/s while that of MUC is(23.92±6.47)×10~6 m~3/s integrated between 26.5 σ_θ and 27.7 σ_θ, and(17.53±5.45)×10~6 m~3/s integrated between 26.5 σ_θ and 27.5 σ_θ in the OFES. The variations of MC and MUC have good positive correlation with each other on the seasonal scale: The MC is stronger in spring and weaker in fall, which corresponds well with the MUC, and the correlation coefficient of them is 0.67 in the OFES.The same variations are also appeared in hybrid coordinate ocean model(HYCOM) results. Two sensitive experiments based on HYCOM are conducted to explore the relation between MC and MUC. The MUC(26.5σ_θ27.7) is strengthening as the MC increases with the enhancement of zonal wind field. It is shown,however, that the main part of the increasement is the deeper northward high potential density water(HPDW),while the AAIW almost remains stable, SPTW decreases, and vice versa.     

南海浅层经向翻转环流及相关的内部水体流动

The structure of the annual-mean shallow meridional overturning circulation(SMOC) in the South China Sea(SCS) and the related water movement are investigated,using simple ocean data assimilation(SODA) outputs.The distinct clockwise SMOC is present above 400 m in the SCS on the climatologically annual-mean scale,which consists of downwelling in the northern SCS,a southward subsurface branch supplying upwelling at around 10°N and a northward surface flow,with a strength of about 1×10~6 m~3/s.The formation mechanisms of its branches are studied separately.The zonal component of the annual-mean wind stress is predominantly westward and causes northward Ekman transport above 50 m.The annual-mean Ekman transport across 18°N is about 1.2×10~6 m~3/s.An annual-mean subduction rate is calculated by estimating the net volume flux entering the thermocline from the mixed layer in a Lagrangian framework.An annual subduction rate of about 0.66×10~6m~3/s is obtained between 17° and 20°N,of which 87% is due to vertical pumping and 13% is due to lateral induction.The subduction rate implies that the subdution contributes significantly to the downwelling branch.The pathways of traced parcels released at the base of the February mixed layer show that after subduction water moves southward to as far as 11°N within the western boundary current before returning northward.The velocity field at the base of mixed layer and a meridional velocity section in winter also confirm that the southward flow in the subsurface layer is mainly by strong western boundary currents.Significant upwelling mainly occurs off the Vietnam coast in the southern SCS.An upper bound for the annual-mean net upwelling rate between 10° and 15°N is 0.7×10~6m~3/s,of which a large portion is contributed by summer upwelling,with both the alongshore component of the southwest wind and its offshore increase causing great upwelling.