自动气象站现场校准和传感器调整方法探讨

讨论在自动气象站现场校准中一些需要改进的校准方法和超差传感器的调整方法。在将近2年对74个自动气象站的温湿度传感器、风向风速传感器、气压传感器、雨量和蒸发传感器的现场校准中,不断改进校准方法,对超差传感器进行调整。结果表明:气温传感器和风向传感器的校准方法需要改进,湿度传感器、气压传感器、雨量和蒸发传感器超差时可进行适当调整,使传感器误差值达到最小。     

自动气象站风速现场校准量值溯源及传递方法试验

现阶段自动气象站风速现场校准量值无法进行溯源,从而导致风速现场校准数据的准确性和可靠性得不到保证。究其原因,是由现行的现场校准方法和现场校准设备工作原理决定的。为了解决这一问题,使用"量传"风速传感器和叶轮风表进行中间数据传递,在校准时用叶轮风表作为校准的标准设备,并利用了三杯式风速传感器的线性特点,把台站风速传感器的现场校准量值溯源到了大型风洞皮托管上,并且通过大量试验证明了该方法的正确性,为新的自动气象站风速现场校准规范制定和校准设备的完善提供有力的理论依据。     

自动气象站蒸发示值重复性指标及校准方法研究

四川省气象自动站蒸发要素校准工作中示值波动过大的情况时有发生,误差时而满足校准规范要求,时而不满足规范要求,导致校准数据的重复性较差,面对这种情况,按照中国气象局监测网络司发行的自动气象站现场校准方法(试行),难以对测量系统计量性能指标的符合性做出判定。通过查阅JJF1001-2011《通用计量术语及定义》、JJF1126—2004《超声波测厚仪校准规范》等相关资料,得出规定测量系统的示值重复性即可解决这一技术难题,并且通过大量试验及工作经验得出了示值重复性指标及其校准方法,为自动站蒸发系统现场校准规范的制定提供了有力的理论依据。     

风速仪校验器误差源和校准参数的计算分析

风速仪校验器作为自动气象站风速传感器的现场校准仪器,已配备在新的移动计量检定车上使用.为确保风速传感器现场校准的准确、可靠,本文从风速仪校验器的工作原理、误差来源和风速校准参数的确定方法等方面加以探讨,并对风速仪校验器标准风速进行了可溯源性验证,证明了风速仪校验器作为现场风速传感器标准器的可行性.     

自动气象站校准工作方式的比较研究

自动气象站校准是保证自动气象站探测数据准确可靠的基础,作者在新疆对若干个自动站进行现场校准后,对实验室检定全套设备方式、现场检测采集器实验室检定传感器方式、传感器实验室校准与现场校准相结合方式和现场检定方式进行分析比较,就这4种自动气象站校准工作方式的优缺点进行了探讨.     

自动气象站雨量传感器现场校准方法

随着我国自动气象站的大面积布点建设,对自动气象站的雨量传感器进行现场校准是必需的,只依靠现有的雨量校准设备进行现场校准远远达不到要求,下面针对雨量传感器现场校准中存在的问题进行分析、研究.     

自动气象站现场校准方法探讨

为确保各要素观测数据的准确、可靠并具有可比性,定期开展自动气象站校准是非常重要的。自动气象站现场校准不同于实验室的检定检测,受客观条件的影响,校准结果具有明显的不确定性。为了保证量值传递准确可靠,减小这种不确定性对校准结果造成的误判,对现场校准提出了改进方法。利用2004年至2006年山东省现场校准资料,采用对比方法分析了常规校准法与改进校准法校准误差的变化趋势。结果表明:按新的方法校准后,气温、湿度、气压传感器的校准误差分别减小0.1℃、1%和0.2hPa;地温传感器的超差数量由23.6%下降到5.2%。改进法减小自然环境对校准结果的影响,避免盲目更换传感器,弥补了常规法的不足。     

自动气象站辐射仪器更换对比测试分析

大气探测自动化程度是衡量一个国家气象现代化水平的重要标志之一。2000年,青海省通过“青海省灾害性天气监测系统”建设,建成了34个MILOS500型自动气象站（以下简称自动站）。根据中国气象局《自动气象站现场校准操作规范》,需要1—2年对自动站的传感器进行校准工作,对于MILOS500型自动站的辐射传感器（以下简称辐射）校准存在很多客观原因,如价钱较贵,进货时间较长,备份少等,从工作实际出发,从传感器的技术指标上、所采集数据上进行分析,国产辐射能够代替芬兰产的辐射应用到自动站业务上,实现辐射国产化。     

新型蒸发校准误差修正

针对新型自动气象站蒸发测量系统现场校准普遍超差的问题进行研究分析,得出超差的根本原因是:测量系统对于基点值(零位值)无负值显示;连通器的设计引入水位补偿。为使蒸发现场校准数据质量的可靠性和有效性控制在允许的范围内,采用重选基点为10mm点,灵敏系数倒数为98.1%的修正方法对校准数据进行处理,经试验验证,新型蒸发校准合格率大大提高。结果表明:该修正方法解决了蒸发现场校准超差问题,使校准的蒸发数据准确可靠,适用于新型蒸发现场校准的数据处理。     

自动气象站现场校准过程处理经验

结合鹿寨县气象局2013年自动气象站现场校准过程实例,从自动气象站现场校准前的准备工作、正点地面观测数据维护处理、自动气象站现场校准后续工作三个方面记录分析国家一般气象站地面测报员如何配合现场校准、如何处理现场校准期间异常数据,确保数据上传质量.     

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS DATA OF AIR–SEA TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE AND ITS VARIATION ACROSS SOUTH CHINA SEA IN THE PAST 35 YEARS

Using the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set(ICOADS) and ERA-Interim data, spatial distributions of air-sea temperature difference(ASTD) in the South China Sea(SCS) for the past 35 years are compared,and variations of spatial and temporal distributions of ASTD in this region are addressed using empirical orthogonal function decomposition and wavelet analysis methods. The results indicate that both ICOADS and ERA-Interim data can reflect actual distribution characteristics of ASTD in the SCS, but values of ASTD from the ERA-Interim data are smaller than those of the ICOADS data in the same region. In addition, the ASTD characteristics from the ERA-Interim data are not obvious inshore. A seesaw-type, north-south distribution of ASTD is dominant in the SCS; i.e., a positive peak in the south is associated with a negative peak in the north in November, and a negative peak in the south is accompanied by a positive peak in the north during April and May. Interannual ASTD variations in summer or autumn are decreasing. There is a seesaw-type distribution of ASTD between Beibu Bay and most of the SCS in summer, and the center of large values is in the Nansha Islands area in autumn. The ASTD in the SCS has a strong quasi-3a oscillation period in all seasons, and a quasi-11 a period in winter and spring. The ASTD is positively correlated with the Nio3.4 index in summer and autumn but negatively correlated in spring and winter.     

CHARACTERISTICS AND TRENDS OF CLIMATIC EXTREMES IN CHINA DURING 1959–2014

The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics.     

IMPACT OF ATMOSPHERIC LOW-FREQUENCY OSCILLATION ON THE IMMIGRATION OF NILAPARVATA LUGENS(STL) IN HUNAN AND JIANGXI PROVINCES

Various features of the atmospheric environment affect the number of migratory insects, besides their initial population. However, little is known about the impact of atmospheric low-frequency oscillation(10 to 90 days) on insect migration. A case study was conducted to ascertain the influence of low-frequency atmospheric oscillation on the immigration of brown planthopper, Nilaparvata lugens(Stl), in Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. The results showed the following:(1) The number of immigrating N. lugens from April to June of 2007 through 2016 mainly exhibited a periodic oscillation of 10 to 20 days.(2) The 10-20 d low-frequency number of immigrating N. lugens was significantly correlated with a low-frequency wind field and a geopotential height field at 850 h Pa.(3) During the peak phase of immigration, southwest or south winds served as a driving force and carried N. lugens populations northward, and when in the back of the trough and the front of the ridge, the downward airflow created a favorable condition for N. lugens to land in the study area. In conclusion, the northward migration of N. lugens was influenced by a low-frequency atmospheric circulation based on the analysis of dynamics. This study was the first research connecting atmospheric low-frequency oscillation to insect migration.     

A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS BEFORE THE OCCURRENCE OF TWO TYPES OF EL NIO EVENTS

The atmospheric and oceanic conditions before the onset of EP El Ni?o and CP El Ni?o in nearly 30 years are compared and analyzed by using 850 hPa wind, 20℃ isotherm depth, sea surface temperature and the Wheeler and Hendon index. The results are as follows: In the western equatorial Pacific, the occurrence of the anomalously strong westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Its intensity is far stronger than that of the CP El Ni?o. Two months before the El Ni?o, the anomaly westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o have extended to the eastern Pacific region, while the westerly wind anomaly of the CP El Ni?o can only extend to the west of the dateline three months before the El Ni?o and later stay there. Unlike the EP El Ni?o, the CP El Ni?o is always associated with easterly wind anomaly in the eastern equatorial Pacific before its onset. The thermocline depth anomaly of the EP El Ni?o can significantly move eastward and deepen. In addition, we also find that the evolution of thermocline is ahead of the development of the sea surface temperature for the EP El Ni?o. The strong MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o in the western and central Pacific is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Measured by the standard deviation of the zonal wind square, the intensity of MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o is significantly greater than that of the CP El Ni?o before the onset of El Ni?o.     

ANALYSIS OF “BIMODAL PATTERN” STORM ACTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BAY OF BENGAL

Storms that occur at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are of a bimodal pattern, which is different from that of the other sea areas. By using the NCEP, SST and JTWC data, the causes of the bimodal pattern storm activity of the BoB are diagnosed and analyzed in this paper. The result shows that the seasonal variation of general atmosphere circulation in East Asia has a regulating and controlling impact on the BoB storm activity, and the “bimodal period” of the storm activity corresponds exactly to the seasonal conversion period of atmospheric circulation. The minor wind speed of shear spring and autumn contributed to the storm, which was a crucial factor for the generation and occurrence of the “bimodal pattern” storm activity in the BoB. The analysis on sea surface temperature (SST) shows that the SSTs of all the year around in the BoB area meet the conditions required for the generation of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the SSTs in the central area of the bay are higher than that of the surrounding areas in spring and autumn, which facilitates the occurrence of a “two-peak” storm activity pattern. The genesis potential index (GPI) quantifies and reflects the environmental conditions for the generation of the BoB storms. For GPI, the intense low-level vortex disturbance in the troposphere and high-humidity atmosphere are the sufficient conditions for storms, while large maximum wind velocity of the ground vortex radius and small vertical wind shear are the necessary conditions of storms.     

LOW-FREQUENCY CIRCULATION AND EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST IN CONNECTION WITH AUTUMN EXTREME HEAVY RAINFALL PROCESS IN HAINAN

Observed daily precipitation data from the National Meteorological Observatory in Hainan province and daily data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis-2 dataset from 1981 to 2014 are used to analyze the relationship between Hainan extreme heavy rainfall processes in autumn (referred to as EHRPs) and 10–30 d low-frequency circulation. Based on the key low-frequency signals and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) model forecasting products, a dynamical-statistical method is established for the extended-range forecast of EHRPs. The results suggest that EHRPs have a close relationship with the 10–30 d low-frequency oscillation of 850 hPa zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north, and that they basically occur during the trough phase of the low-frequency oscillation of zonal wind. The latitudinal propagation of the low-frequency wave train in the middle-high latitudes and the meridional propagation of the low-frequency wave train along the coast of East Asia contribute to the ‘north high (cold), south low (warm)’ pattern near Hainan Island, which results in the zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north reaching its trough, consequently leading to EHRPs. Considering the link between low-frequency circulation and EHRPs, a low-frequency wave train index (LWTI) is defined and adopted to forecast EHRPs by using NCEP CFSv2 forecasting products. EHRPs are predicted to occur during peak phases of LWTI with value larger than 1 for three or more consecutive forecast days. Hindcast experiments for EHRPs in 2015–2016 indicate that EHRPs can be predicted 8–24 d in advance, with an average period of validity of 16.7 d.     

AN ATTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF CHANGES IN POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION IN THE BEIJING–TIANJIN–HEBEI REGION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

Based on the measurements obtained at 64 national meteorological stations in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region between 1970 and 2013, the potential evapotranspiration (ET0) in this region was estimated using the Penman–Monteith equation and its sensitivity to maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), wind speed (Vw), net radiation (Rn) and water vapor pressure (Pwv) was analyzed, respectively. The results are shown as follows. (1) The climatic elements in the BTH region underwent significant changes in the study period. Vw and Rn decreased significantly, whereas Tmin, Tmax and Pwv increased considerably. (2) In the BTH region, ET0 also exhibited a significant decreasing trend, and the sensitivity of ET0 to the climatic elements exhibited seasonal characteristics. Of all the climatic elements, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv in the fall and winter and Rn in the spring and summer. On the annual scale, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv, followed by Rn, Vw, Tmax and Tmin. In addition, the sensitivity coefficient of ET0 with respect to Pwv had a negative value for all the areas, indicating that increases in Pwv can prevent ET0 from increasing. (3) The sensitivity of ET0 to Tmin and Tmax was significantly lower than its sensitivity to other climatic elements. However, increases in temperature can lead to changes in Pwv and Rn. The temperature should be considered the key intrinsic climatic element that has caused the "evaporation paradox" phenomenon in the BTH region.     

Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Ni?o and Lead to Eurasian Warming?

正The Taal Volcano in Luzon is one of the most active and dangerous volcanoes of the Philippines. A recent eruption occurred on 12 January 2020(Fig. 1a), and this volcano is still active with the occurrence of volcanic earthquakes. The eruption has become a deep concern worldwide, not only for its damage on local society, but also for potential hazardous consequences on the Earth's climate and environment.     

Revisiting the Concentration Observations and Source Apportionment of Atmospheric Ammonia

正While China’s Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan on particulate matter since 2013 has reduced sulfate significantly, aerosol ammonium nitrate remains high in East China. As the high nitrate abundances are strongly linked with ammonia, reducing ammonia emissions is becoming increasingly important to improve the air quality of China. Although satellite data provide evidence of substantial increases in atmospheric ammonia concentrations over major agricultural regions, long-term surface observation of ammonia concentrations are sparse. In addition, there is still no consensus on