地下水动态观测井映震灵敏条件研究

本文较系统地分析了中国地震地下水动态观测网及华北、西南和首都圈等区域井网观测井的地质—水文地质条件、井孔结构、观测项目与方式等对地震前兆反映能力的影响,并通过马17井地应力场的物理与数学模拟、多种条件下的水动力学模型试验及深油井压裂试验观测等进一步论证了分析结果。根据得到的认识,提出了评定观测井映震灵敏性条件的半定量化的方法。     

安徽省数字化形变仪器及观测资料的综合分析

从仪器运行情况,影响形变观测的主要因素,观测精度和映震能力等方面,对安徽省淮北,泾县,泗县数字化形变观测台站的监测能力进行了综合分析,得到了安徽省数字化形变前兆观测的基本情况,对安徽省形变台网观测资料的应用和未来台站建设具有一定的参考意义。     

滇01井水位动态与地震关系的分析研究

滇01井近年来多次住滇东断裂系上地震前有较好的反映,为了揭示该井水位映震关系,作者对观测以来6年的资料开展了单井区域地质、水文地质条件、水位正常动态、异常动态特征的分忻研究,并利用多种数学方法判定异常,总结了11次震例,提出了该井异常、预报指标,还对映震能力作了分析。     

基于潮汐因子的河北省形变台站映震效能评估

定点台站观测资料作为中短期地震预报的基础性资料,其质量好坏及台站映震效能对地震形势分析研判有重要作用。鉴于此,对“十五”网络化改造后,2008年以来河北省形变台站的观测资料进行潮汐因子计算及映震统计,通过梳理分析、归纳总结得出质量较好的形变台站及测项,用于辅助河北省地震形势研判。     

浙江地下流体在汶川8．0级地震中的映震效应研究

通过“十五”改造,浙江省目前有地震地下流体观测台站5个,10项测项,除宁波地震台是专业台站外,其他都为地方台站。主要是水位、水温和水氡观测。除宁波庄市21井水位观测使用SW40型模拟仪器外,其他台站水温观测均使用SZW-1A型数字石英温度计,水位观测使用LN-3型数字水位仪。在2008年5月12日汶川8．0级地震中有明显映震效应的台站为100％,测项为80％。     

浅析云峰井变径前后气压效应与井径比的关系

本文通过改变云峰井孔径试验,探讨了提高地下水观测井映震能力的一种途径。     

乌鲁木齐形变站水准异常变化特征与地震关系的研究

通过对发生在2003年9月27日俄、中、蒙交界Ms≥7.9级和2007年7月20日特克斯Ms≥5.9级地震前后,乌鲁木齐形变台站垂直形变资料异常特征的分析和研究认为,乌鲁木齐形变台站的前兆观测资料具有较好的映震能力,对乌鲁木齐周边及北天山中西部地区5～6级以上地震有较好的震前反应,前兆信息明显。地震前后形变形态表现为低...     

河北形变观测资料映震能力浅析

采取Nakai拟合、振幅因子、调和分析和相对均方差等方法,对河北省数字化形变台站的形变观测进行计算和分析。结果表明,河北省形变观测资料中,怀来、易县和宽城的VS垂直摆倾斜仪、DSQ水管倾斜仪和SS-Y伸缩仪观测资料对河北范围内的中强以上地震有中、短期映震能力。     

地下水强地震映震效应

在排除各种自然环境、人为影响因素后,对地下水观测资料中所含特别因素中的地震因素进行识别分类,提出对地下水地震分析预测预警具有实用价值的认识. 使用四川省地震地下水观测井网多年观测资料,研究地下水地震映震图像,进行震前、震时和震后恢复性异常过程识别.     

芦山MS7.0地震前的电磁异常信号

对南北地震带18个地电场及电磁扰动观测台站进行了跟踪与研究, 2013年4月20日四川芦山M_S7.0地震前只有其中5个台站观测到了异常电磁信号. 研究表明, 地震前的这些异常信号时空分布非常不均匀. 在时间上表现出震前电磁异常信号在出现的台站上不是同步的, 且随着时间的推移有向震中方向迁移的趋势; 在空间上体现在成都以北的台站都没有记录到震前电磁异常信号, 主要出现在成都及其以南的一些台站. 芦山M_S7.0地震前地震电磁信号出现的最早时间是震前21天, 其次是震前16天; 临震时间则为震前5天、 4天和1天. 通过接地极注入地下的大电流以及以往的震例分析, 认为仙女山台是又一个比较突出的电磁信号观测的敏感点.      

Hydrogeological Studies to Identify the Trend of Concealed Section of the North Tabriz Fault (Iran)

The North Tabriz Fault (NTF) is the predominant regional‐scale tectonic structure in the northwest of Iran. In the east side of the city of Tabriz, a portion of the fault trend has been completely concealed by recent sediments and urbanization. In this paper, some hydrogeological methods are used to locate the concealed sector. As is clear from the pumping tests results, despite the fact that the northern observation wells were closer to the pumping wells than the southern ones, they have not been affected by pumping. Conversely, all southern wells were affected by pumping and displayed decline of the water table. In addition, obvious differences in groundwater levels combined with clear differences in groundwater quality within a short distance across the probable fault trend are sufficient reasons for the presence of the fault that behaves as a barrier to groundwater lateral flows. Significant change in the elevation of the bedrock base of the aquifer over less than 200 m suggests that the fault has near vertical dip. These results indicate that the inferred trend of the NTF closely conforms to its actual trend. Therefore, the hydrogeological studies can be complementary tools to determine the position and trend of concealed faults.     

GEOLOGICAL AND GEOMORPHIC EVIDENCE FOR DEXTRAL STRIKE SLIP OF THE HELAN SHAN WEST-PIEDMONT FAULT AND ITS TECTONIC IMPLICATIONS

The horizontal movement of the Helan Shan west-piedmont fault is important to determination of the present-day boundary between the Alashan and North China blocks as well as to the exploration of the extent of the northeastward expansion of the Tibetan plateau. Field geological surveys found that this fault cuts the west wing of the Neogene anticline, which right-laterally offset the geological boundary between Ganhegou and Qingshuiying Formations with displacement over 800m. The secondary tensional joints (fissures)intersected with the main faults developed on the Quaternary flood high platform near the fault, of which the acute angles indicate its dextral strike slip. The normal faults developed at the southern end of the Helan Shan west-piedmont fault show that the west wall of this fault moves northward, and the tensional adjustment zone formed at the end of the strike slip fault, which reflects that the horizontal movement of the main fault is dextral strike slip. The dextral dislocation occurred in the gully across the fault during different periods. Therefore, the Helan Shan west-piedmont fault is a dextral strike slip fault rather than a sinistral strike slip fault as previous work suggested. The relationship between the faulting and deformation of Cenozoic strata demonstrates that there were two stages of tectonic deformation near the Helan Shan west-piedmont fault since the late Cenozoic, namely early folding and late faulting. These two tectonic deformations are the result of the northeastward thrust on the Alashan block by the Tibet Plateau. The influence range of Tibetan plateau expansion has arrived in the Helan Shan west-piedmont area in the late Pliocene leading to the dextral strike slip of this fault as well as formation of the current boundary between the Alashan and North China blocks, which is also the youngest front of the Tibetan plateau.     

走滑断层震间形变GPS观测站点布设的合理性分析

针对单条断层合理布设GPS站点可准确反映断层形变状态。 远场布设的有效距离与近场的布设间隔是影响断层运动分析结果的重要因素。 远场有效距离为变形宽度的边界, 其与断层闭锁深度之间的关系约为6.31倍; 近场间隔利用分段折线近似替代断层震间形变曲线, 根据形变曲线的变化特点将形变区域分区, 得到“近场区”和“过渡区”与断层闭锁深度之间的关系。 并且, 对川滇块体东边界目前站点布设状态对结果可能的影响进行初步分析。 研究结果可对今后GPS站点布设方案提供理论参考。     

GPS Observation and Study on Recent Crustal Movement in the Northeastern Area of Pamir,Xinjiang

Calculation of repeated observation data at the densified GPS monitoring network in northeastern area of Pamir together with data from IGS stations in the peribphyery of the area yielded the movement rate of more than 40GPS station sites in the area,and,hence,the recent crustal deformation rate pattern and time series of fiductial GPS stations in the area were obtained.The result indicates that the principal movement direction of the GPS station sites is NNW,basically diagonal to the strike of Tianshan fold belt,i.e.a normal compression occurs in the Tianshan region.The movement pattern near Jiashi and its southwestern zone is some different from that of station sites in their surrounding areas,indicating a certain relation of tectonic deformation in Jiashi area to seismic activity during last years.The movement rate of station sites in the periphery of Taim basin less varies and its direction is basically consistent It indicates less or basically no deformation within Tarim basin.     

青藏高原东南缘滇缅地块NE向走滑断裂带的新构造活动与大地震危险性

2008年汶川大地震发生以来,位于青藏高原东南缘实皆断裂带和红河断裂系之间滇缅地块发生了一系列MS5.5以上中强地震,该地区未来是否可能发生MS7.0以上大地震的危险性,十分令人关注.本研究以滇缅地块内部最长的NE向走滑断裂带——南汀河断裂带为例,结合遥感图像、数字高程模型(DEM)和1∶20万地质图,对断裂带附近的水系系统拐弯地貌特征和大型地质体单元位错信息进行提取分析,并根据这些断裂带左旋走滑起始年代(5 Ma),推算其长期走滑速率.研究结果表明研究区NE向断裂带自上新世以来,具有2mm·a-1的长期走滑速率;此外,根据发生在断裂带上及其周边地区的历史地震、大震复发周期和区内现代构造应力场的分布分析发现,沿这些NE向大型左旋走滑断裂带未来具有MS7.0以上大地震发生的危险性.     

Preliminary results of seismogeochemical research in China

Several kinds of geochemical anomaly before strong earthquakes have been observed in China since 1966. They include changes in groundwater radon levels, ion content of water (Ca⁺², Mg⁺², Cl^–, SO ₄ ^–2 , F^–), dissolved gases (H₂, CO₂), and gases escaping from the aeration zone through abandoned dry wells (Ar, N₂, CO₂). The radon anomalies may be grouped as long-term and short-term anomalies. Most of the geochemical anomalies observed are characterized by a pattern of increase. The largest amplitude recorded was 37 times the base level. Preliminary study indicates that the types of seismogeochemical anomaly observed prior to strong earthquakes depend on tectonic, geologic, lithologic, and hydrogeological conditions at the monitoring station. Results obtained from modelling experiments on the mechanisms of some anomalies are given.     

四川汶川8.0级地震震源过程

2008年5月12日在青藏高原与四川盆地交界的龙门山山脉发生了M_s8.0级强烈地震,引发山体滑坡等地质灾害,造成了巨大的人员伤亡和经济损失.本文利用远场体波波形记录结合近场同震位移数据,根据地质资料和地震形成的地表破裂轨迹,构造了一个双“铲状”有限地震断层模型,利用反演技术重建地震的破裂过程.结果显示汶川大地震主要是沿龙门山构造带的映秀-北川断裂和灌县-江油断裂发生的逆冲兼右旋走滑破裂事件.断层面上的滑动分布显示两个高滑动区先后发生在地震破坏最为严重的映秀和北川地区,最大滑动量高达1200～1250 cm,且破裂过程也显示一定的复杂性.地震破裂的平均走滑量略大于平均倾滑量,与多种观测资料获得的震前龙门山断裂带构造变形相一致,推断是由于长期区域应力场作用和龙门山地区特殊的物质组成和结构孕育了这次千年尺度的强烈地震.     

MECHANISM OF THE 2016 HUTUBI,XINJIANG, MS6.2 MAINSHOCK AND RELOCATION OF ITS AFTERSHOCK SEQUENCES

A strong earthquake with magnitude M_S6.2 hit Hutubi, Xinjiang at 13:15:03 on December 8th, 2016(Beijing Time). In order to better understand its mechanism, we performed centroid moment tensor inversion using the broadband waveform data recorded at stations from the Xinjiang regional seismic network by employing gCAP method. The best double couple solution of the M_S6.2 mainshock on December 8th, 2016 estimated from local and near-regional waveforms is strike:271°, dip:64ånd rake:90° for nodal plane I, and strike:91°, dip:26ånd rake:90°for nodal plane Ⅱ; the centroid depth is about 21km and the moment magnitude(M_W)is 5.9. ISO, CLVD and DC, the full moment tensor, of the earthquake accounted for 0.049%, 0.156% and 99.795%, respectively. The share of non-double couple component is merely 0.205%. This indicates that the earthquake is of double-couple fault mode, a typical tectonic earthquake featuring a thrust-type earthquake of squeezing property.The double difference(HypoDD)technique provided good opportunities for a comparative study of spatio-temporal properties and evolution of the aftershock sequences, and the earthquake relocation was done using HypoDD method. 486 aftershocks are relocated accurately and 327 events are obtained, whose residual of the RMS is 0.19, and the standard deviations along the direction of longitude, latitude and depth are 0.57km, 0.6km and 1.07km respectively. The result reveals that the aftershocks sequence is mainly distributed along the southern marginal fault of the Junggar Basin, extending about 35km to the NWW direction as a whole; the focal depths are above 20km for most of earthquakes, while the main shock and the biggest aftershock are deeper than others. The depth profile shows a relatively steep dip angle of the seismogenic fault plane, and the aftershocks dipping northward. Based on the spatial and temporal distribution features of the aftershocks, it is considered that the seismogenic fault plane may be the nodal plane I and the dip angle is about 271°. The structure of the Hutubi earthquake area is extremely complicated. The existing geological structure research results show that the combination zone between the northern Tianshan and the Junggar Basin presents typical intracontinental active tectonic features. There are numerous thrust fold structures, which are characterized by anticlines and reverse faults parallel to the mountains formed during the multi-stage Cenozoic period. The structural deformation shows the deformation characteristics of longitudinal zoning, lateral segmentation and vertical stratification. The ground geological survey and the tectonic interpretation of the seismic data show that the recoil faults are developed near the source area of the Hutubi earthquake, and the recoil faults related to the anticline are all blind thrust faults. The deep reflection seismic profile shows that there are several listric reverse faults dipping southward near the study area, corresponding to the active hidden reverse faults; At the leading edge of the nappe, there are complex fault and fold structures, which, in this area, are the compressional triangular zone, tilted structure and northward bedding backthrust formation. Integrating with geological survey and seismic deep soundings, the seismogenic fault of the M_S6.2 earthquake is classified as a typical blind reverse fault with the opposite direction close to the southern marginal fault of the Junggar Basin, which is caused by the fact that the main fault is reversed by a strong push to the front during the process of thrust slip. Moreover, the Manas earthquake in 1906 also occurred near the southern marginal fault in Junggar, and the seismogenic mechanism was a blind fault. This suggests that there are some hidden thrust fault systems in the piedmont area of the northern Tianshan Mountains. These faults are controlled by active faults in the deep and contain multiple sets of active faults.     

中高频带地下水位对气压和固体潮的响应特征分析

我国前兆观测网络数字化改造的完成, 使得对地震地下水位观测的孕震信息提取和干扰因素排除的研究拓宽至更广的频率范围, 而对原有一些认识的重新考察也成为可能。 本文从中国地震前兆台网挑选出数据质量较好的10个台站, 分析各个台站2008年1月1日至5月11日的地下水位和气压资料及理论重力固体潮的频谱及其频域相关性特征, 并分析了地下水位对气压响应的时移。 结果表明, 中高频带地下水位对气压的响应没有低频带好, 两者相关性随周期的减小而减弱; 含水层岩性对中高频带地下水位的气压和固体潮响应特征有较大影响, 部分灰岩井在高频频段存在地下水位对气压响应异常的现象; 时移效应对水位的气压响应整体特征影响不大, 体现出两种信号自身的复杂性。     

合肥市地壳浅部三维速度结构及城市沉积环境初探

合肥市位于合肥盆地东南缘,东侧紧邻郯庐断裂带,多条大型隐伏断裂穿过市区.为进一步认识合肥城市下方隐伏断裂的空间展布、性质,以及城市复杂的沉积环境,本文利用布设在合肥市区的58套三分量短周期地震仪组成的台阵,获得了37天的三分量连续波形数据,通过基于射线追踪的面波走时直接成像方法反演得到了合肥市地壳浅部0.6~3.6 km的三维剪切波速度结构,速度结构图像展现了地壳浅部的横向不均匀性和纵向成层性,揭示出NNE、NWW和近EW三组不同走向的隐伏断裂在城市地下浅部的构造特征.取得以下认识：（1）合肥市南、北方向在浅地表（2 km以内）存在显著速度差异,速度分界线位置与已知的近EW向的蜀山断裂一致,断裂南侧呈现低速凹陷,北侧则为高速隆起.低速中心深度达2~3 km,速度异常与该断裂在合肥盆地东部演化过程中的构造反转沉积了不同地层有关;（2）合肥市区存在明显的高速异常带,其走向、位置与穿过该区域的郯庐断裂带西支主干断裂相符,其中五河—合肥断裂在市区北部以东呈现低速凹陷特征,低速区范围与肥东凹陷晚白垩纪以来的沉积构造边界一致,认为肥东凹陷的最大沉积厚度可达2 km以上;（3）合肥市中心跨郯庐断裂带西支主干断裂之间呈现明显的凹、隆相间的复杂构造,推测其是在多组断裂的共同拉伸作用下形成的小型沉积盆地,沉积中心位于郯庐断裂带内部,最大厚度可达3~4 km.由于其展布方向在不同深度与该区域断裂的走向具有明显的相关性,推测不同深度的沉积形态与郯庐断裂带在不同时期的构造演化过程有关.