Ground motion prediction equations based on shallow crustal earthquakes in Georgia and the surrounding Caucasus

Strong ground motions caused by earthquakes with magnitudes ranging from 3.5 to 6.9 and hypocentral distances of up to 300 km were recorded by local broadband stations and three-component accelerograms within Georgia’s enhanced digital seismic network. Such data mixing is particularly effective in areas where strong ground motion data are lacking. The data were used to produce models based on ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs), one benefit of which is that they take into consideration information from waveforms across a wide range of frequencies. In this study, models were developed to predict ground motions for peak ground acceleration and 5%-damped pseudo-absolute-acceleration spectra for periods between 0.01 and 10 s. Short-period ground motions decayed faster than long-period motions, though decay was still in the order of approximately 1/r. Faulting mechanisms and local soil conditions greatly influence GMPEs. The spectral acceleration (SA) of thrust faults was higher than that for either strike-slip or normal faults but the influence of strike-slip faulting on SA was slightly greater than that for normal faults. Soft soils also caused significantly more amplification than rocky sites.     

青海玛多M7.4地震中野马滩大桥地震动特征初判

2021年5月22日青海省玛多县发生M7.4地震,造成玛多县境内的野马滩大桥和野马滩2号桥发生落梁破坏.中国地震局公布的地震烈度表明野马滩大桥处的地震烈度为Ⅸ.然而野马滩大桥附近无强震台站,未能记录到大桥附近的加速度时程,这也阻碍了野马滩大桥在地震作用下破坏机理的研究.因此,本文尝试采用经验格林函数方法、并参考医学上自身异位皮肤移植的理念,尝试评估野马滩大桥处的地震动的主要特征[包括地震动峰值加速度(PGA)的可能的取值范围和加速度时程],并与已公布的玛多地震的地震烈度、中国地震烈度表(GB/T17742—2020)、第五代地震动区划图(GB18306—2015)中的设计反应谱进行对比.结果表明:(1)本文得到的PGA的取值范围(320~620 cm/s²)与中国地震烈度表(GB/T17742—2020)中地震烈度为Ⅸ区内的PGA的取值范围(402~830 cm/s²)匹配程度较好;(2)本文合成的地震动反应谱与第五代地震动区划图中,野马滩大桥处的极罕遇地震动的加速度设计反应谱整体匹配较好,表明本文合成的加速度时程可以造成野马滩大桥落梁破坏.研究表明本文给出的野马滩大桥附近的地震动强度特征具备一定的参考价值,可作为野马滩大桥处的加速度时程输入,为研究该桥的坍塌机理提供数据支持.     

2015年尼泊尔Gorkha地震强地面运动记录分析

2015年4月25日在尼泊尔Gorkha地区发生M_W7.8地震,距离发震断层约11 km的KATNP台站完整记录了主震的加速度时程.本文根据KATNP台站记录的加速度数据分析了Gorkha地震的地震动特征.结果表明Gorkha地震在KATNP台站处产生的水平向峰值加速度为0.17 g,竖直向峰值加速度为0.19 g,该数值小于科学家们对如此大规模地震产生的地震动的预期,初步推测这可能是由加德满都山谷产生的非线性响应造成的（Dixit et al.,2015）;地震在KATNP台站处产生了地表永久位移,其中竖向永久位移为131.9 cm,水平向永久位移的绝对值为159.2 cm,方向为南偏西19°（199°）,据此可简单推算出断层走向约为289°（109°）.地震产生了脉冲型地震动,影响因素有盆地效应、地震破裂的向前的方向性效应以及滑冲效应,其中盆地效应的周期约为5 s左右,方向性效应产生的速度脉冲的周期约为8 s左右.加速度反应谱显示在0.5 s和5.0 s左右各有一个峰值,前者是由地震破裂的脉冲式滑移产生的大量高频地震动造成的,后者是由于盆地效应和地震破裂的方向性效应造成的.基于阿里亚斯烈度计算的地震动持时约在36~46 s之间,小于与其规模相当的地震产生的地震动持时,并且不同方向上的地震动持时可能与地震破裂方向有关.阿里亚斯烈度随时间的变化比较简单,也反映了Gorkha地震是一次连续的、能量释放相对简单的地震事件.     

江西九江—瑞昌地震灾区抗震设防参数研究

在对江西九江-瑞昌邻近地区地震构造和地震活动性研究的基础上,对该地区的潜在震源区划分方案进行了调整,按第4代区划图的方法重新计算了九江-瑞昌地震灾区的地震动参数,结果表明,该地区仍属于地震动峰值加速度0.05g的分区,该地区一般建筑的抗震设防参数取为0.05g是合适的。     

青川Ms6.4级地震加速度记录与衰减关系研究

四川汶川Ms8.0级地震后,甘肃省地震局在甘川交界地区布设了多个强震动流动观测站,2008年5月25日记录到了1次最大余震,震级为Ms6.4。27个强震动台站共获得了81条记录。这次强余震记录到的最近震中距为12 km,最远为485 km,其中最大加速度峰值为367.6 cm/s2,最小加速度峰值为0.8 cm/s2。相比较汶川地震的强震动记录,由于流动观测台站的布设使得本次地震的记录具有更好的线性分布,震中距也更为丰富,因而更利于研究这一地区的地震动衰减关系。利用统计方法获得了加速度峰值随震中距的衰减关系,基本服从幂函数衰减关系。这一结果对甘肃东南部地区震害研究和抗震设防具有重要的应用价值。     

Earthquake induced liquefaction features in the Karewas of Kashmir Valley North-West Himalayas,India: Implication to paleoseismicity

Earthquake induced liquefaction features found in the Karewas of Kashmir Valley are potential tools for estimating energy center, magnitude and peak ground acceleration of the paleoearthquakes. Size, pattern and spatial distribution of liquefaction features and in-situ geotechnical data were collected at the paleoliquefaction sites to assess the magnitude and peak ground acceleration of the paleoearthquake. The magnitude of paleoearthquakes was estimated to be of the order of (Mw = 6.2) using “Magnitude bound method” and “In-situ testing of geotechnical properties and assessment of liquefaction potential of liquefied beds (source stratum) using cyclic stress method”. The peak ground acceleration computed were in the range of 0.27 g to 0.83 g using cyclic stress method and 0.30 g using attenuation equation NDMA [21].     

Generating ground motion by two new techniques of adding harmonic wave in the time domain and approximating to response spectrum as a whole

ＧｅｎｅｒａｔｉｎｇｇｒｏｕｎｄｍｏｔｉｏｎｂｙｔｗｏｎｅｗｔｅｃｈｎｉｑｕｅｓｏｆａｄｄｉｎｇｈａｒｍｏｎｉｃｗａｖｅｉｎｔｈｅｔｉｍｅｄｏｍａｉｎａｎｄａｐｐｒｏｘｉｍａｔｉｎｇｔｏｒｅｓｐｏｎｓｅｓｐｅｃｔｒｕｍａｓａｗｈｏｌｅＣＨＡＮＧ...     

Development of attenuation relation for the near fault ground motion from the characteristic earthquake

A composite source model has been used to simulate a broadband strong ground motion with an associated fault rupture process. A scenario earthquake fault model has been used to generate 1 000 earthquake events with a magni-tude of Mw8.0. The simulated results show that, for the characteristic event with a strike-slip faulting, the character istics of near fault ground motion is strongly dependent on the rupture directivity. If the distance between the sites and fault was given, the ground motion in the forward direction (Site A) is much larger than that in the backward direction (Site C) and that close to the fault (Site B). The SH waves radiated from the fault, which corresponds to the fault-normal component plays a key role in the ground motion amplification. Corresponding to the sites A, B, and C, the statistical analysis shows that the ratio of their aPG is 2.15:1.5:1 and their standard deviations are about 0.12, 0.11, and 0.13, respectively. If these results are applied in the current probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), then, for the lower annual frequency of exceedance of peak ground acceleration, the predicted aPG from the hazard curve could reduce by 30% or more compared with the current PSHA model used in the developing of seismic hazard map in the USA. Therefore, with a consideration of near fault ground motion caused by the rupture directivity, the regression model used in the development of the regional attenuation relation should be modified accordingly.     

地震反应分析中输入界面的选取对地表地震动参数的影响

地震反应分析中输入界面选取合理与否对设计地震动参数有重要影响。基于唐山地区钻孔剖面,分别选取剪切波速为500m/s的硬黏土和800m/s的岩石顶面作为基岩输入界面,采用一维等效线性化方法讨论中硬场地输入界面的选取对地表地震动参数的影响,结果表明:(1)地表峰值加速度放大倍数及地表加速度反应谱特征周期都随输入界面深度的增加而递增,且这种递增与输入地震动的强度及频谱特性都有密切联系;(2)随着输入界面深度的增加,地表加速度反应谱几乎全频段内增大,仅在短周期内出现减小的情况,但幅度十分有限;(3)中硬场地地震反应分析中基岩输入界面宜取剪切波速为800m/s的土层顶面。     

Observations on the application of artificial neural network to predicting ground motion measures

Application of the artificial neural network (ANN) to predict pseudospectral acceleration or peak ground acceleration is explored in the study. The training of ANN model is carried out using feed-forward backpropagation method and about 600 records from 39 California earthquakes. The statistics of the residuals or modeling error for the trained ANN-based models are almost the same as those for the parametric ground motion prediction equations, derived through regression analysis; the residual or modeling error can be modeled as a normal variate. The similarity and differences between the predictions by these two approaches are shown. The trained ANN-based models, however, are not robust because the models with almost identical mean square errors do not always lead to the same predictions. This undesirable behaviour for predicting the ground motion measures has not been shown or discussed in the literature; the presented results, at least, serve to raise questions and caution on this problem. A practical approach to ameliorate this problem, perhaps, is to consider several trained ANN models, and to take the average of the predicted values from the trained ANN models as the predicted ground motion measure.     

Near-fault ground motions with prominent acceleration pulses： pulse characteristics and ductility demand

Major earthquakes of last 15 years (e.g., Northridge 1994, Kobe 1995 and Chi-Chi 1999) have shown that many near-fault ground motions possess prominent acceleration pulses. Some of the prominent ground acceleration pulses are related to large ground velocity pulses, others are caused by mechanisms that are totally different from those causing the velocity pulses or fling steps. Various efforts to model acceleration pulses have been reported in the literature. In this paper, research results from a recent study of acceleration pulse prominent ground motions and an analysis of structural damage induced by acceleration pulses are summarized. The main results of the study include: (1) temporal characteristics of acceleration pulses; (2) ductility demand spectrum of simple acceleration pulses with respect to equivalent classes of dynamic systems and pulse characteristic parameters; and (3) estimation of fundamental period change under the excitation of strong acceleration pulses. By using the acceleration pulse induced linear acceleration spectrum and the ductility demand spectrum, a simple procedure has been developed to estimate the ductility demand and the fundamental period change of a reinforced concrete (RC) structure under the impact of a strong acceleration pulse.     

Probability of Peak Ground Horizontal and Peak Ground Vertical Accelerations at Tehran and Surrounding Areas

The active faults near Tehran are capable of producing Mw magnitudes of 6.62?C7.23; at epicentral distances of 25?km from the active faults, and Mw?=?7.23, the peak ground horizontal acceleration, PGH, is between 386 and 730?cm/s² and peak ground vertical acceleration, PGV, is between 192 and 261?cm/s²; the historic earthquake of the fourth century BC, Mw?=?7.16 produced the highest estimated PGH acceleration in Tehran, between 254 and 479?cm/s² and PGV acceleration between 127 and 173?cm/s². Earthquakes from 1909 to 2008, within 300?km from Tehran, are used for calculation of magnitude frequency relation, and results are applied to estimate PGH and PGV accelerations as a function of magnitudes for a set of fixed epicentral distance and site conditions; also as a function of epicentral distances for a set of fixed magnitudes and site conditions. Poisson??s distribution is used for probability calculation of PGH and PGV accelerations for several exposure times, site conditions and epicentral distances; accelerations with very high probability, near 1, are presented. At an epicentral distance of 10?km and exposure time of 450?years, in the northern part of Tehran, close to Mosha and the Northern Tehran faults, PGH acceleration is 800?C420?cm/s² and PGV is 400?C220?cm/s² with high probability. At an epicentral distance of 25?km and 1,000?years exposure time, PGH is 610?C320?cm/s² and PGV is 310?C160?cm/s² with high probability, where larger values are for soft soil and smaller values are for hard rock.     

Strong motion envelope modelling of the source of the Chamoli earthquake of March 28, 1999 in the Garhwal Himalaya, India

Garhwal Himalaya has been rocked by two major earthquakes in the span of just eight years, viz. Uttarkashi earthquake of 20th Oct, 1991 and Chamoli earthquake of 28th March, 1999. Chamoli earthquake of March 28, 1999 was recorded at 11 different stations of a strong motion array installed in the epicentral region. The maximum peak ground acceleration (353 cm/s²) was recorded at an accelerograph located at Gopeshwar. The data from eleven stations has been used for comparison with the simulated acceleration envelopes due to a model of the rupture responsible for this earthquake. For simulation of acceleration envelope the method of Midorikawa (1993) has been modified for its applicability to Himalayan region. This method has earlier been used by Joshi and Patel (1997) and Joshi (1999) for the studyof Uttarkashi earthquake of 20th Oct, 1991. The same method has been used for study of Chamoli earthquake. Layered earth crust has been introduced in place of homogeneous one in this method. The model of rupture is placed at a depth of 12 km below the Munsiari thrust for modelling Chamoli earthquake. Peak ground acceleration was calculated from simulated acceleration envelope using layered as well as homogeneous earth crust. For the rupture placed in a layered crust model peak ground acceleration of order 312 cm/s² was simulated at Gopeshwar which is quite close to actually recorded value. The comparison of peak ground acceleration values in terms of root mean square error at eleven stations suggests that the root mean square error is reduced by inclusion of a layered earth crust in place of homogeneous earth crust.     

the faulting characteristics of 2008 wenchuan ms8.0 earthquake and its relation with strong ground motion

The 2008 M_S8 Wenchuan earthquake occurs on a high angle listric thrust fault. It is the first time that the near and far field strong ground motion was observed for such special type thrust earthquake. This paper jointly interprets the distribution of peak acceleration of ground motion data with seismogenic structure and slip propagating process to investigate how high angle listric thrust fault controls the pattern of strong ground motion. We found that the distribution of peak acceleration of strong ground motion during the Wenchuan earthquake has four distinctive features: 1)The peak acceleration of ground motion inside the Longmenshan fault zone is large, that is, nearly twice as strong as that outside the fault zone; 2)This earthquake produces significant vertical ground motion, prevailing against horizontal components in the near field; 3)The far field records show that the peak acceleration is generally higher and attenuates slower versus station-fault distance in the hanging wall. It is doubtful that the attenuation of horizontal components also has the hanging wall effect since no evidence yet proving that the unexpected high value at long distance need be omitted; 4)As to the attenuation in directions parallel to the source fault(Yingxiu-Beichuan Fault), the far field records also exhibit azimuthal heterogeneity that the peak acceleration of horizontal components decreases slower in the north-northeastern direction in which the co-seismic slip propagates than that in the backward way. However, the attenuation of vertical component displays very weak heterogeneity of this kind. Synthetically considered with shallow dislocation, high dip angle, and prevailing vertical deformation during co-seismic process of the Wenchuan earthquake, our near and far field ground motion records reflect the truth that the magnitude of ground motion is principally determined by slip type of earthquake and actual distance between the slipping source patches and stations. As a further interpretation, the uniqueness of high angle listric thrust results in that the ground motion effects of the Wenchuan earthquake are similar to that due to a common thrust earthquake in some components while differ in the others.     

强震地面运动的混沌特性分析

引入非线性动力学理论和混沌时间序列分析方法考察强震地面运动加速度时程的非线性特征。首先采用功率谱分析法、主成份分析法和Cao方法定性判断地震动加速度时程具有混沌特性,然后应用混沌时间序列分析方法定量计算了30条地震动加速度时程的三个非线性特征参数。计算表明,这些地震动时程的关联维数为2．0～4．0的分数维,Kolmogorov熵K2为大于零的有限正值,最大Lyapunov指数在o～i．0之间。结果说明,强震地面运动具有混沌特性,地震动的高度不规则和复杂性是地震过程强非线性的反映。     

Site response in the Qionghai Basin in the Wenchuan earthquake

Amplification effects of soil site response can significantly impact ground motions, and must be considered in the seismic fortification of buildings/structures to prevent or mitigate this potential seismic hazard. Utilizing acceleration time histories from the main shock of the Wenchuan earthquake recorded at four stations (i.e., one on bedrock and three on soil) in the Qionghai Basin, the site responses from three soil sites are studied by using the traditional spectral ratio method. The bedrock site is selected as a reference site. This study found that peak ground accelerations (PGAs) on the soil sites are much larger than on bedrock, with EW, NS and UD components of 3.96–6.58, 6.27–10.98, and 3.17–6.66 times those of the bedrock site, respectively. The amplification effects of the soil sites on ground motions in the frequency range of 0.1 Hz to 10 Hz are significant, depending on the thickness of the soil layer and the frequency content of the site. A significant amplification occurs with high frequency components of ground motion at shallow soil sites, and low and high frequency components of ground motion at intermediate soil sites.     

四川九寨沟MS7.0地震的地震动分布和衰减特征初步分析

2017年8月8日在四川阿坝州九寨沟县发生了M_S 7.0地震,这是继2008年四川汶川M_S 8.0地震和四川芦山M_S 7.0地震后在此地区发生的又一强震。本研究对此次地震中的66组主震记录进行了常规校正处理,基于此分析了此次地震中典型台站——九寨百合台站的地震动特征,并通过地震动的峰值加速度、反应谱参数分析了近场效应特征。研究结果表明:九寨百合台站的三分量峰值加速度都超过了100 gal,而地震动持时相对较短,并且三分量反应谱在短周期大于Ⅷ度多遇地震设计谱,小于Ⅷ度罕遇地震设计谱;由于九寨沟地震属于典型的走滑型地震,因此地震动参数的方向性特征不明显;九寨沟地震的地震动的峰值加速度以及反应谱谱值小于同等震级的芦山地震,并且小于几个典型衰减关系的预测值。对九寨沟地震的地震动参数特征研究表明,此次地震是一次震级较大、但灾害损毁程度较低的地震。     

Expected ground motion in the south-east of Spain due to an earthquake in the epicentral area of the 1910 Adra earthquake

To study the ground motion levelassociated with historical earthquakeslocated in Southern Spain, we have chosen ascenario placed in the Poniente Almeriense(Southeast Spain). In this zone, somerelevant historical earthquakes haveoccurred, such as those of 1522, 1804 and1910. In particular, the earthquakes of 1804 and 1910 the estimated and calculatedmagnitudes are of M = 6.3. Those earthquakestook place near the epicentral zone of aseismic series happened in 1993–94. As partof this series, two earthquakes with M5were recorded by strong ground motioninstruments on 23^rd December 1993, and 4^th January, 1994 at Adra, Almeríaand Motril. We have used the accelerationrecords as empirical Green functions inorder to simulate the expected groundmotion associated with a hypotheticalearthquake of magnitude M = 6.3 like those of1804 and 1910. The simulations have beencarried out for three sites (Almería,Adra and Motril) using three differentapproaches. A total of 30 simulations, foreach approach, have been carried out foreach ground motion component in each site.The peak ground acceleration (PGA) and theresponse spectra are compared with thevalues obtained through empiricalrelationships for the distances and soilconditions corresponding to the threechosen sites. The results of thesimulations show that the horizontal PGAcould exceed the values observed in23/XII/93 and 4/I/94 by a factor of 5–8,surpassing in some cases the value of 140gals. Besides, some of the peak spectralaccelerations simulated reach Sa_max =400 gals, Adra being the location where thehighest values of a_max andSa_max are reached, due to the nearnessof this station to the epicentres of 23/XII/93 and 4/I/94. At Almeria, the PGAvalues reach 40 gals, which may beconsidered as input in the bedrock. InMotril, the PGA surpass a value of 130gals, considering as due to a strong localsite effect. Finally, the peak groundacceleration (PGA) and the response spectraobtained with the simulations have beencompared with other values estimated through empirical relationships for similarconditions. The conclusions about theexpected ground motion levels have animportant application aimed at the revisionof the maximum acceleration and responsespectra of the Spanish building Code,NCSE-94.     

SIMULATION OF STRONG GROUND MOTION IN AKETAO M6.7 EARTHQUAKE USING THEORETICAL GREEN'S FUNCTION

Aketao M6.7 earthquake on November 25, 2016 occurred in Aketao Country, Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang Autonomous Region. In this paper, according to the focal mechanism solution, the geometrical parameters of the fault are used as input to simulate the acceleration records of the surrounding area of Aketao M6.7 earthquake on November 25, 2016 with the QSGRN/QSCMP program. The peak ground acceleration distribution is plotted by extracted peak ground accelerations and site condition correction. Comparison is carried out between the observed waveforms and the simulated waveforms in the time domain and the frequency domain of two strong motion stations. It is verified that the amplitudes of simulated and observed data are equal in magnitude, their calculated residuals are smaller in low frequency range and the spectral characteristics of simulated and observed data are consistent. Furthermore, the simulated peak ground acceleration corresponding to the coordinates of the actual survey points is extracted and compared with the survey spot intensity, and both have good correspondence. This paper attempts to provide a method for rapid output of peak ground acceleration distribution after an earthquake, so as to provide a method for estimating the seismic impact field in areas where the monitoring station is scarce, the topography is complex or it is difficult to implement the rapid earthquake disaster investigation. And it also provides supporting information for rapid assessment of earthquake disaster and emergency decision-making.     

Statistical estimation of maximum peak ground acceleration at a given point of a seismic region

A straightforward procedure is suggested for statistical estimation of maximum peak ground acceleration, A_max (T), that will occur at a given point of a seismic region in future time period T. This procedure is based on the Bayesian approach and includes estimation of three unknown parameters;b, the slope of acceleration-frequency law; , the maximum regression acceleration; , the rate of significant accelerations at the point under question. Uncertainty characteristics of A_max (T)-estimates as well as of all estimated parameters are given. The suggested approach is illustrated for two sites in Southern California.