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公元前70年安丘7级地震发生于郯庐断裂的渤海和郯城两个强震活动段之间。作者通过对历史记载的地震破坏情况、现代形变测量资料、地震活动和野外开挖资料、~(14)C年代测定结果的综合分析研究,初步认为北北东向郯庐断裂与北西向益都断裂交汇,形成闭锁区,构成了 相似文献
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根据郯庐断裂(苏北段)苍山地震前10年至震前一个月的重力复测资料,在系统分析郯庐断裂重力场变化特征的基础上,着重研究了重力异常与山东苍山Ms5.2地震对应情况。最后分析和讨论了该区未来地震趋势意见的根据和理由。 相似文献
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分析郯庐带中南段与其邻区井水位对汶川8.0级与日本9.0级地震的同震响应特征,指出汶川地震时同震阶升井集中出现在安徽地区,之后该区发生Ms3.8中等地震的事实,指出日本地震后该区无一口同震阶升井,由此推测,未来1—2年内郯庐带中南段发生中等以上地震的可能性不大。 相似文献
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郯庐断裂带是中国东部最大的一个活动构造带,其内部结构非常复杂,不同区段表现出不同特征的构造样式.本文采用浅层地震反射波成像技术对郯庐断裂带宿迁段的近地表结构进行了高分辨率成像,利用该区已有的深地震反射剖面数据,采用初至波层析成像方法获得了郯庐断裂带的浅层P波速度结构.结果表明,郯庐断裂带宿迁段是一个由多条断裂以及凹陷和隆起构成的复杂构造带,且新生代地层厚度和地震波速分布明显受到断裂的影响与控制.郯庐断裂带的东、西两侧为基底隆起区,近地表速度结构呈现为明显的高速特征,新生代地层厚度小于200m.郯庐断裂带总体显示为低速凹陷结构,新生代地层厚度在300~600m之间变化,最厚处位于宿迁市的陵城镇附近.郯庐断裂带宿迁段主要由5条断裂构成,从这些断裂的上断点埋深和第四纪活动特征来看,郯庐断裂带的东边界断裂F_1和西边界断裂F_4的活动性相对较弱,为第四纪早期活动断裂.断裂F_2和F_3控制了郯庐断裂带内部的新生代凹陷,两者的活动时代分别为中更新世和晚更新世.安丘—莒县断裂F_5位于断裂F_1和F_2之间,由2条相向而倾的分支断层F_5和F_(5-1)构成,其活动时代分别为全新世和晚更新世.研究结果为进一步认识郯庐断裂带宿迁段的近地表特征及其活动性提供了新证据. 相似文献
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郯庐断裂带中段全新世活断层的特征滑动行为与特征地震 总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16
郯庐断裂带中段全新世活断层由3个独立的破裂段组成。从各破裂段的运动性质、位移分布看,断层的运动属特征地震型滑动。地震活动以强震活动为主,强震具有周期性原地重复发生的特点,且其强度基本相同;中强地震缺失或很少发生;b值在高震级范围内具低b值的非线性关系。这些特点正是特征地震的典型表现.根据郯庐断裂带中段活断层全新世以来的活动特点看,未来该区仍然以特征地震方式活动.按郯庐带的强震复发间隔和各段的最新一次活动时代推算,未来一段时期内新沂-宿迁段复发大震的可能性较大,安丘段次之,莒县-郯城段复发大震的可能性则很小。 相似文献
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M. N. French R. L. Bras W. F. Krajewski 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1992,6(1):27-45
A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities. 相似文献
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《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2014,(3)
正SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences,an academic journal cosponsored by the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the National Natural Science Foundation of China,and published by Science China Press and Springer,is committed to publishing high-quality,original results in both basic and applied research. 相似文献
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《国际泥沙研究》2014,(4)
正Director:Shangfu Kuang,China Vice-directors:Chunhong Hu,China Duihu Ning,China Guangquan Liu,China The International Research and Training Center on Erosion and Sedimentation(IRTCES)was jointly set up by the Government of China and UNESCO on July 21,1984.It aims at the promotion of international exchange of knowledge and cooperation in the studies of erosion and 相似文献
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Richard D. Hey 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1979,4(1):59-72
Feedback mechanisms, which operate upstream through drawdown and backwater effects and downstream through sediment discharge are responsible for channel evolution. By combining these mechanisms with channel processes it euables a dynamic process-response model to be developed to simulate the initial evolution of straight gravel-bed channels. When erosion commences on a land surface, sediment entrained in the headwater reach by hydraulic action is selectively transported, deposited and reworked. This produces a damped oscillation between degradation and aggradation as the channel and valley respond to spatial and temporal variations in sediment calibre and hydraulic conditions. The initial cut and fill phases are responsible for valley incision and floodplain development while secondary and subsequent activity can produce river terraces. Eventually sediment entrainment in the headwaters declines as slopes are reduced. Subsequent channel evolution is relatively insignificant because it is dependent on local weathering activity producing material that can be transported on declining slopes. Therefore landforms produced during the initial phase of development, when local weathering was non-limiting, dominate the landscape. 相似文献