电离层赤道异常两日振荡的数值模拟

近20年来,国外学者对电离层赤道异常问题的数值模拟研究未考虑到大气行星波对潮汐发电机电场的调制效应,因而不能解释赤道异常峰值的逐日变化.本文结果表明二日波对F_2区电子浓度的输运有很大影响.这一方法可以推广到赤道异常各种长周期行星波振荡的数值研究. 本文从非定常等离子体连续方程出发,建立包含行星波振荡对E×B漂移的调制效应的方程,并给出数值模拟的方法以及可与实际观测进行比较的结果.文中取二日波漂移振幅为U_p=0 m/s、5m/s、10m/s,而初位相分别为φ=0°、90°共四种情形进行了模拟,结果表明,二日波的调制可使赤道异常的时空分布以及异常峰值产生明显的逐日变化.在所选取的模型中,取U_p=5m/s,φ=0°所得到的f_0F_2t的二日分布特征与观测较吻合.而u_p约5m/s的变化能引起异常峰值f_0F_2约1-2MHz的起伏,而二天之内f_0F_2的二个峰值表现出约2-4MHz的起伏.     

冬季太阳11年周期活动对大气环流的影响

利用气象场的再分析资料和太阳辐射活动资料,对太阳11年周期活动影响北半球冬季(11月~3月)大气环流的过程进行了统计分析和动力学诊断.根据赤道平流层纬向风准两年振荡(QBO)的东、西风状态对太阳活动效应进行了分类讨论,结果表明：东风态QBO时,太阳活动效应主要集中在赤道平流层中、高层和南半球平流层,强太阳活动时增强的紫外辐射加热了赤道地区的臭氧层,造成平流层低纬明显增温,同时加强了南半球的Brewer-Dobson(B-D)环流,引起南极高纬平流层温度增加;而北半球中高纬的环流主要受行星波的影响,太阳活动影响很小.西风态QBO时,太阳活动效应在北半球更为重要,初冬时强太阳活动除了加热赤道地区臭氧层外,还抑制了北半球的B-D环流,造成赤道平流层温度增加和纬向风梯度在垂直方向的变化,从而改变了对流层两支行星波波导的强度;冬末时在太阳活动调制下,行星波向极波导增强,B-D环流逐渐恢复,造成北半球极地平流层明显增温,同时伴随着赤道区域温度的下降.     

平流层气溶胶的准两年周期特征分析

本文采用HALOE和SAGE Ⅱ资料,分析了平流层气溶胶的准两年周期变化(简称QBO)特征及其与臭氧QBO的关系,结果表明:(1)北半球中高纬上空平流层气溶胶存在明显的QBO特征,其QBO信号自上向下传播,振荡幅度在平流层中下层可以达到20%;而在赤道和南半球上空的平流层气溶胶的QBO特征相对于北半球则不明显;(2)在...     

平流层准两年变化对南海夏季风影响机制的探讨

利用美国大气研究中心(the National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR)的中层大气模式模拟了平流层准两年振荡(Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, QBO)过程对对流层顶和对流层上层的影响, 并结合NCEP(the National Centers for Environmental Prediction)/NCAR、欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF)月平均的风场资料和实际的探空观测资料, 分析了平流层QBO对南海夏季风的影响作用. 结果表明: 平流层QBO会引起平流层的异常经向环流并向下传播, 在QBO位相的中后期和位相转换期影响到对流层顶和对流层上层, 使热带和低纬度的对流层上层形成异常的经向气压梯度, 最终在夏季的对流层热带地区激发出不同类型的异常环流—西风位相时, 激发出与南海夏季风环流相反的异常环流, 在南海地区有显著的异常下沉运动, 对南海夏季风有削弱作用; 东风位相时, 激发出反Hadley环流型的异常环流, 在南海地区有明显的异常上升气流, 对南海夏季风有加强的效果. 虽然QBO对南海夏季风经向环流有影响, 但它并不是决定南海夏季风准两年变化的唯一因子.     

北太平洋海温与广西前汛期降水的联系

利用1979—2019年全国160站逐月降水资料、Hadley中心海温资料、NOAA以及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,结合相关分析、信息流以及合成分析方法,分析了北太平洋海温异常与广西前汛期降水的同期联系,并初步探讨了前者对后者的影响及可能机制,结果表明：北太平洋关键区海温是广西前汛期降水的显著影响源,海温正位相(负位相)的异常分布在一定程度上导致了广西前汛期降水增多(减少).北太平洋关键区海温变化可以独立于赤道中东太平洋影响前汛期降水,而赤道中东太平洋海温变化可以起到调制作用,增强两者联系.北太平洋为正位相海温异常时,大气为“+-+”的经向三极型位势高度异常响应.与此同时,海温异常激发了向下游中高纬传播的Rossby波列,引起东亚沿岸位势高度正异常和反气旋环流异常.在上述机制下,贝加尔湖高压脊和东亚大槽均显著增强,使得中高纬冷空气更易南下.赤道中东太平洋海温的调制作用体现在对中低纬环流的影响.关键区海温正位相对应于赤道中东太平洋海温偏暖,后者引起局地异常上升运动,减弱Walker环流进而导致赤道西太平洋出现下沉异常,抑制了对流活动,在西北太平洋强迫出异常反气旋,使得副高加强西伸.副高...     

一次中强磁暴期间低纬电离层响应的CT成像

为考察赤道异常区电离层对中等强度磁暴的响应特性,用电离层ＣＴ成像方法重建电离层电子密度二维剖面．重建结果表明,暴时低纬电离层电子密度以降低为主,但暴相随纬度和高度而异;磁暴期间,赤道异常峰结构仍然存在,但恢复相期间峰的位置向赤道移动;磁暴急始之后约２０ｍｉｎ,在赤道异常峰区出现电子密度深度耗空,这种耗空遍及从底到顶的整个Ｆ区,朝赤道一侧显现水平梯度非常大的陡壁．这种与磁暴急始相联系的电子密度深度耗空现象很有意义,值得进一步研究．     

一次中强磁暴期间低续电离层响应的CT成像

为考察赤道异常区电离层对中等强度磁暴的响应特性,用电离层ＣＴ成像方法重建电离层电子密度二维剖面。重建结果表明,暴时低纬电离层电子密度以降低为主,但暴相随纬度和高度而异;磁暴期间,赤道异常峰结构仍然存在,但恢复相期间峰的位置向赤道移动;磁暴急始之后约２０ｍｉｎ,在赤道异常峰区出现电子密度深度耗空,这种耗空遍及从底到顶的整个Ｆ区,朝赤道一侧显现水平梯度非常大的陡壁。这种与磁暴急始相联系的电子密度深度耗     

不同分布型El Ni?o期间MJO活动的差异

利用Hadley中心的月平均海温资料、NCEP/NCAR和ERA-Interim逐日再分析大气环流数据等,详细对比了赤道大气季节内振荡(MJO)活动在东部型El Ni?o与中部型El Ni?o发展期间的异同点.结果表明,与传统的东部型El Ni?o发展前MJO明显偏强的特征相似,在中部型El Ni?o迅速发展前的春夏季,MJO动能亦较强且持续东传特征显著.这说明无论是东部型El Ni?o还是中部型El Ni?o,与MJO能量的突然增长相联系的低频纬向西风和低频对流活动的增强及其持续东传是激发El Ni?o的重要因素.但是,在中部型El Ni?o发展成熟的冬季至次年春季,热带中西太平洋MJO动能的强度突然再次增强,所占大气总扰动动能的比重也再次增大,热带MJO动能的逐日演变达到第二次峰值,且较第一次峰值更强;MJO从热带印度洋向赤道中东太平洋持续东传的特征也更为显著.这与在传统东部型El Ni?o盛期MJO能量和东传都明显减弱的特征表现出显著的差异.进一步分析指出,中部型El Ni?o成熟期海温正距平中心位置的西移以及由中部型El Ni?o激发的范围偏小、位置偏西的菲律宾附近异常反气旋环流可能是导致中部型El Ni?o盛期MJO活动显著增强的主要原因.     

非洲磁异常对地磁场结构及其长期变化的控制作用

地球非偶极磁场在主磁场结构及其长期变化中起着重要作用.非偶极磁场主要表现为行星尺度磁异常,它们是南大西洋磁异常、非洲磁异常、欧亚大陆磁异常、澳洲磁异常和北美磁异常.在这5块磁异常中,非洲磁异常对磁赤道的形状和位置以及全球长期变化特征有极大的影响.非洲磁异常的重要性主要表现在3方面：第一,由于异常区位于赤道这一特殊的地理位置,所以它极大地影响磁赤道的形状和位置.相对于偶极场的地磁赤道而言,异常区所在的中北非洲和中大西洋地区的磁赤道向北移动,最大移动量可达约15°.第二,非洲磁异常的快速西漂对全球长期变化的分布起着决定性作用,它在该异常区西边的中美洲形成了全球最主要的长期变化区,在1900~2005年期间,最大年变率Z_max超过200 nT/a.第三,非洲负磁异常区与其南面的南大西洋正磁异常区相结合,〖HJ〗它们的变化使西半球地磁场强度大大减弱,也使全球磁场发生显著畸变.这两块磁异常与深部的反极性斑区有着成因联系.     

磁赤道处化极方法

化向地磁极(化极)是最基本的磁测资料处理方法之一,化极能消除或减少斜磁化影响,提高对磁测资料的认识程度和解释水平,对研究地壳产生的磁异常具有重要意义.但低纬度地区特别是磁赤道处,化极处理很不稳定甚至奇异,一直是位场研究的难点.针对地磁纬度较低特别是磁赤道地区磁异常化极的困难,利用从磁北极处垂直磁化向低纬度地区水平磁化方向转换稳定的特点,提出"狭义化赤"概念,并将其与低纬度磁异常"倒相"解释方法结合,提出专门用于磁赤道处化极的方法.该方法扩展了现有的化极理论,实现了磁赤道处的稳定化极.区别于目前任何方法,专门用于(近)水平磁化条件下的化极计算,具有原理简单,实现方便,收敛速度快等特点.对理论模型和实际资料计算表明这种针对磁赤道地区磁异常的化极处理方法是稳定、可靠的.     

欧洲地区电离层峰值电子密度逐日变化的相关距离研究

本文采用欧洲22个台站的电离层F^₂层峰值电子密度N_mF^₂，分析了其逐日变化分量的相关距离S，着重研究了S的周日变化、季节变化及其随太阳活动和地磁活动的变化.首先用指数型函数模式来拟合任意两站间电离层逐日变化的相关系数R随间距d的变化，由此估算出逐日变化的相关距离S.详细研究了S在不同的季节（春季、夏季、秋季和冬季），不同的地磁活动（平静和扰动）及不同的太阳活动（低、中和高）随世界时的变化（周日变化）.结果表明：（１）S的范围一般为400～1600 km；（２）S值在白天比夜间大；（３）S值具有季节变化，夏季最大，冬季最小，春秋季差异不大；（４）S值在地磁扰动时比平静时大；（５）当太阳活动低时，S值在日落到正午间要比太阳活动中或高时明显偏小，而在正午到日落间则与太阳活动中或高时差异不大.根据以上结果，我们认为：（１） 太阳辐射对电离层逐日变化的影响是大尺度的，并在白天和太阳活动高时大于晚上和太阳活动低时；（２） 地磁活动的影响也是大尺度的；（３）气象活动的影响是相对小尺度的，且逐日变化具有季节性.本文从相关尺度分析的角度，证实了电离层逐日变化来源于太阳辐射、地磁活动和气象活动因素的论断.     

Uncertainties of the relationship between the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation, the Arctic stratosphere and solar forcing

Two different equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) indices, two reanalyses and radiosonde observations are used to analyze the Arctic stratospheric temperature and height. This analysis was used to assess the uncertainties in the connection of solar forcing, QBO and the Arctic variability. The results show that (1) the frequency of the westerly/easterly phases of the QBO over the stratospheric equator has a significant multiple peak seasonal variation. The primary seasonal peaks occur in February, March and April for the westerly phase of the QBO and the easterly phase peaks in June, July and August. (2) The correlation of stratospheric Arctic temperature and height with the solar radio flux shows statistical significance in February or July/August even if there is no stratified phase of QBO (easterly and westerly phases) involved. However, when the correlation was computed according to the stratified phase of QBO, the solar signals in both temperature and height fields are remarkably amplified in February and November under the westerly phase, but the signal in the height field is most significant only in August under the easterly phase. (3) The impact of the QBO and solar forcing on the stratospheric temperature and heights in the Arctic varies depending on the season. The impacts are also sensitive to the specific height of the QBO-defined level that is used, the specific period of the analysis and the dataset used.     

Comparison of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Effects on the Northern Hemisphere Weather Changes

The changes of pressure and temperature fields in the winter lower troposphere observed in association with changes in solar and/or geomagnetic activity are compared. It is shown that the fact whether it was solar or geomagnetic activity was not so important as whether the levels of the two activities were high or low. The differences between the effects of solar/geomagnetic activity, however, are revealed, the pressure and temperature data being stratified according to the QBO phase. The relationship obtained are discussed from the viewpoint of mechanisms resting upon both the planetary wave propagation and the changes of atmospheric air currents in the global electric circuit.     

120°E赤道电离异常区电子浓度总含量分析与预测

基于国际全球定位服务中心(International GPS Service,IGS)提供的120°E 上空1999-2009年IONEX格式电离层电子浓度总含量(TEC)资料,分析赤道电离异常驼峰区TEC峰值Inc和Isc的年变化和季节变化以及与太阳、地磁活动的相关性.在11年时间尺度上,Inc和Isc与太阳辐射P指数的日均值有较好的相关性(r=0.90和r=0.84),而与地磁活动指数Dst、Kp和Ap日均值的相关性均不好.驼峰区TEC峰值Inc和Isc都是在北半球春、秋季出现极大值,而且冬季值大于夏季值,即Inc呈现"半年异常"和"冬季异常"现象,我们认为Inc和Isc相似的半年变化特征是与赤道上空电离层电急流相关的东向电场半年变化导致的.利用支持向量回归方法构建了EIA指数的预报模型,预报试验结果表明,该预报模型能较准确地描述Inc和Isc的变化,对南北驼峰TEC峰值预报的平均相对误差分别为22.96%和10.2%.基于支持向量机回归的预测方法为赤道电离异常特征指数预报的实现提供一条有效方法途径和好的应用前景.     

Implications for the low latitude cloud formations from solar activity and the quasi-biennial oscillation

We examined the effect of the 11-year solar cycle and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) on the ～27-day solar rotational period detected in tropical convective cloud activity. We analyzed the data of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) for AD1979–2004, dividing into four different cases by the combination of high and low solar activities in terms of the 11-year variation, and easterly and westerly stratospheric winds associated with QBO. As a result, ～27-day variation has been most significantly detected in high solar activity period around the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool. Based on correlation analysis, we find that solar rotation signal can explain 10–20% of OLR variability around the tropical warm pool region during the high solar activity period. The spatial distribution has been, however, apparently different according to the phases of QBO. It is suggested that the 11-year solar cycle and stratospheric QBO have a possibility to cause large-scale oceanic dipole phenomena.     

Connections between the distribution of prevailing winds in the winter Northern Hemisphere, solar/geomagnetic activity and the QBO phase

The effect of solar/geomagnetic activity and QBO phase on the distribution of winds prevailing in the winter periods (January–March) in the Northern Hemisphere at the altitude of 850 mb was studied. Analysis has shown that the zonal flow over the North Atlantic under high geomagnetic activity intensifies and under low solar/geomagnetic activity weakens. Flow deviations, associated with geomagnetic activity, are more marked under the QBO-east phase, and flow deviations, associated with solar activity, are more marked under the QBO-west phase. The results reported by Venne and Dartt (1990) concerning the wind distribution in the winter (February–March) Northern Hemisphere under high and low solar activity and a QBO-west phase, have been confirmed, and supplemented with wind distributions under high and low geomagnetic activity.     

Combined solar and QBO effects on the modes of low-frequency atmospheric variability in the Northern Hemisphere

We examine joint effects of the solar activity and phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) on modes of low-frequency variability of tropospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere in winter. The winter months (December–March) are stratified by the solar activity into two (below/above median) classes, and each of these classes is subdivided by the QBO phase (west or east). The variability modes are determined by rotated principal component analysis of 500 hPa heights separately in each class of solar activity and QBO phase. Detected are all the modes known to exist in the Northern Hemisphere. The solar activity and QBO jointly affect the shapes, spatial extent, and intensity of the modes; the QBO effects are, however, generally weaker than those of solar activity. For both solar maxima and minima, there is a tendency to the east/west phase of QBO to be accompanied by a lower/higher activity of zonally oriented modes and increased meridionality/zonality of circulation. This means that typical characteristics of circulation under solar minima, including a more meridional appearance of the modes and less activity of zonal modes, are strengthened during QBO-E; on the other hand, circulation characteristics typical of solar maxima, such as enhanced zonality of the modes and more active zonal modes, are more pronounced during QBO-W. Furthermore, the zonal modes in the Euro-Atlantic and Asian sectors (North Atlantic Oscillation, East Atlantic pattern, and North Asian pattern) shift southwards in QBO-E, the shift being stronger in solar maxima.     

Association Between Extraterrestrial Phenomena And Weather Changes In The Northern Hemisphere In Winter

This paper includes a discussion of the validity of theobjections which are usuallyraised against the physical plausibility of the correlationsbetween extraterrestrialphenomena and changes in circulation in the lower atmosphere.The behaviour of the winterlower troposphere in the Northern Hemisphere was analysed bothon a month-to-month timescale and on a day-to-day time scale. The mechanisms which cansatisfactorily explainthe behaviour of the winter lower troposphere on these timescales have been described.The basic features of the results presented were explained bymeans of a mechanism basedon the propagation of planetary waves. Attention was focussedon studying the connectionsamong the changes in the pressure and temperature fields, thechanges in solar/geomagnetic activity and QBO phases by the method of composites. It hasbeen found that the compositeswithout considering QBO phases are similar to the QBO-eastpatterns under the highestactivities. Pressure deviations during QBO-west high solaractivity or low geomagneticactivity and temperature deviations during QBO-east/west lowgeomagnetic activity provedto be of negligible statistical significance.     

电离层突发E层与太阳活动的相关性

通过对195-1990年3个太阳黑子周期期间不同纬度台站的ES层的临界频率f0ES的观测数据进行统计分析,研究了太阳活动对ES层的强度与出现率的影响,主要结果为:f0ES的年平均值在白天与太阳活动呈强正相关,在夜间呈负相关. 同样,ES的出现率的年变化与太阳活动的关系也是白天呈正相关,夜间呈负相关. 进一步分析表明,上述白天ES层临界频率与太阳活动的正相关性的主要贡献来自于常规E层与太阳活动的强烈相关性. 消除了背景E层电子密度的作用后,ES层的强度在白天与太阳活动呈微弱的正相关,在夜间呈负相关,其相关系数有比较规则的周日变化或半日变化.