Analysing regional industrialisation in Jiangsu province using geographically weighted regression

 Industry is the most important sector in the Chinese economy. To identify the spatial interaction between the level of regional industrialisation and various factors, this paper takes Jiangsu province of China as a case study. To unravel the existence of spatial nonstationarity, geographically weighted regression (GWR) is employed in this article. Conventional regression analysis can only produce `average' and `global' parameter estimates rather than `local' parameter estimates which vary over space in some spatial systems. Geographically weighted regression (GWR), on the other hand, is a relatively simple, but useful new technique for the analysis of spatial nonstationarity. Using the GWR technique to study regional industrialisation in Jiangsu province, it is found that there is a significant difference between the ordinary linear regression (OLR) and GWR models. The relationships between the level of regional industrialisation and various factors show considerable spatial variability. Received: 4 April 2001 / Accepted: 17 November 2001     

Hyperspectral imagery for disaggregation of land surface temperature with selected regression algorithms over different land use land cover scenes

Land surface temperature (LST), a key parameter in understanding thermal behavior of various terrestrial processes, changes rapidly and hence mapping and modeling its spatio-temporal evolution requires measurements at frequent intervals and finer resolutions. We designed a series of experiments for disaggregation of LST (DLST) derived from the Landsat ETM + thermal band using narrowband reflectance information derived from the EO1-Hyperion hyperspectral sensor and selected regression algorithms over three geographic locations with different climate and land use land cover (LULC) characteristics. The regression algorithms applied to this end were: partial least square regression (PLS), gradient boosting machine (GBM) and support vector machine (SVM). To understand the scale dependence of regression algorithms for predicting LST, we developed individual models (local models) at four spatial resolutions (480 m, 240 m, 120 m and 60 m) and tested the differences between these using RMSE derived from cross-validated samples. The sharpening capabilities of the models were assessed by predicting LST at finer resolutions using models developed at coarser spatial resolution. The results were also compared with LST produced by DisTrad sharpening model. It was found that scale dependence of the models is a function of the study area characteristics and regression algorithms. Considering the sharpening experiments, both GBM and SVM performed better than PLS which produced noisy LST at finer spatial resolutions. Based on the results, it can be concluded that GBM and SVM are more suitable algorithms for operational implementation of this application. These algorithms outperformed DisTrad model for heterogeneous landscapes with high variation in soil moisture content and photosynthetic activities. The variable importance measure derived from PLS and GBM provided insights about the characteristics of the relevant bands. The results indicate that wavelengths centered around 457, 671, 1488 and 2013–2083 nm are the most important in predicting LST. Nevertheless, further research is needed to improve the performance of regression algorithms when there is a large variability in LST and to examine the utility of narrowband vegetation indices to predict the LST. The benefits of this research may extend to applications such as monitoring urban heat island effect, volcanic activity and wildfire, estimating evapotranspiration and assessing drought severity.     

增强型空间像元分解时空遥感影像融合算法

高空间、高时间分辨率的遥感影像对地表与大气环境的实时精细监测具有重要作用,但单一卫星传感器获取的遥感影像存在空间与时间分辨率相互制约的问题,时空融合技术发展成为了低成本、高效生成满足不同应用需求的高时空分辨率遥感影像的有效手段。近年来,国内外学者提出了大量的时空融合算法,但对于复杂的地物类型变化的空间细节修复仍存在挑战,融合影像精度有待提高。对此,本文提出增强型空间像元分解时空遥感影像融合算法(EUSTFM),采用变化检测识别并修复地物类型改变的像元,使空间像元分解过程可同时在已知时相与未知时相进行,以生成空间细节信息准确的中间分辨率影像对,用于最终的邻域相似像元计算,实现了对季节性变化(如植被自然生长)、有形变(如城市土地扩张)及无形变的地物类型变化(如农作物的成熟与收割)等复杂地表变化的一致性预测,提高了融合精度。实验采用两对Landsat-MODIS遥感影像数据集,对比STARFM与FSDAF两种广泛应用的时空融合算法,测试了该算法的影像融合效果。结果表明,本文提出的EUSTFM能够同时实现对季节性变化及复杂的地物类型变化的稳定预测,可生成具有更高精度的融合影像,将有效推动时空影像融合的实际遥感应用。     

Spatio‐temporal prediction of land surface temperature using semantic kriging

Spatio‐temporal prediction and forecasting of land surface temperature (LST) are relevant. However, several factors limit their usage, such as missing pixels, line drops, and cloud cover in satellite images. Being measured close to the Earth's surface, LST is mainly influenced by the land use/land cover (LULC) distribution of the terrain. This article presents a spatio‐temporal interpolation method which semantically models LULC information for the analysis of LST. The proposed spatio‐temporal semantic kriging (ST‐SemK) approach is presented in two variants: non‐separable ST‐SemK (ST‐SemK_NSep) and separable ST‐SemK (ST‐SemK_Sep). Empirical studies have been carried out with derived Landsat 7 ETM+ satellite images of LST for two spatial regions: Kolkata, India and Dallas, Texas, U.S. It has been observed that semantically enhanced spatio‐temporal modeling by ST‐SemK yields more accurate prediction results than spatio‐temporal ordinary kriging and other existing methods.     

Spatial analysis of high-resolution urban thermal patterns in Vojvodina,Serbia

Main objective of this study was to establish a relationship between land cover and land surface temperature (LST) in urban and rural areas. The research was conducted using Landsat, WorldView-2 (WV-2) and Digital Mapping Camera. Normalised difference vegetation index and normalised difference built-up index were used for establishing the relation between built-up area, vegetation cover and LST for spatial resolution of 30 m. Impervious surface and vegetation area generated from Digital Mapping Camera from Intergraph and WV-2 were used to establish the relation between built-up area, vegetation cover and LST for spatial resolutions of 0.1, 0.5 and 30 m. Linear regression models were used to determine the relationship between LST and indicators. Main contribution of this research is to establish the use of combining remote sensing sensors with different spectral and spatial resolution for two typical settlements in Vojvodina. Correlation coefficients between LST and LST indicators ranged from 0.602 to 0.768.     

基于GIS城镇扩展的空间格局分析

以城镇扩展为核心内容的城市土地利用/土地覆盖变化已经成为目前国内土地利用/土地覆盖变化(LUCC)研究的热点.基于某地2002年至2007年土地利用数据,提取城镇用地信息,利用全局和局部空间关联模型,分析了区域城镇扩展的空间分布特征,得出了相关研究成果.     

Modeling Urban Growth Using GIS and Remote Sensing

Based on remote sensing and GIS, this study models the spatial variations of urban growth patterns with a logistic geographically weighted regression (GWR) technique. Through a case study of Springfield, Missouri, the research employs both global and local logistic regression to model the probability of urban land expansion against a set of spatial and socioeconomic variables. The logistic GWR model significantly improves the global logistic regression model in three ways: (1) the local model has higher PCP (percentage correctly predicted) than the global model; (2) the local model has a smaller residual than the global model; and (3) residuals of the local model have less spatial dependence. More importantly, the local estimates of parameters enable us to investigate spatial variations in the influences of driving factors on urban growth. Based on parameter estimates of logistic GWR and using the inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation method, we generate a set of parameter surfaces to reveal the spatial variations of urban land expansion. The geographically weighted local analysis correctly reveals that urban growth in Springfield, Missouri is more a result of infrastructure construction, and an urban sprawl trend is observed from 1992 to 2005.     

Examining the influences of air quality in China's cities using multi‐scale geographically weighted regression

This study evaluates the influences of air pollution in China using a recently proposed model—multi‐scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR). First, we review previous research on the determinants of air quality. Then, we explain the MGWR model, together with two global models: ordinary least squares (OLS) and OLS containing a spatial lag variable (OLSL) and a commonly used local model: geographically weighted regression (GWR). To detect and account for any variation of the spatial autocorrelation of air pollution over space, we construct two extra local models which we call GWR with lagged dependent variable (GWRL) and MGWR with lagged dependent variable (MGWRL) by including the lagged form of the dependent variable in the GWR model and the MGWR model, respectively. The performances of these six models are comprehensively examined and the MGWR and MGWRL models outperform the two global models as well as the GWR and GWRL models. MGWRL is the most accurate model in terms of replicating the observed air quality index (AQI) values and removing residual dependency. The superiority of the MGWR framework over the GWR framework is demonstrated—GWR can only produce a single optimized bandwidth, while MGWR provides covariate‐specific optimized bandwidths which indicate the different spatial scales that different processes operate.     

Estimating spatial variations of total evaporation using multispectral sensors within the uMngeni catchment,South Africa

Total evaporation is of importance in assessing and managing long-term water use, especially in water-limited environments. Therefore, there is need to account for water utilisation by different land uses for well-informed water resources management and future planning. This study investigated the feasibility of using multispectral Landsat 8 and moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote sensing data to estimate total evaporation within the uMngeni catchment in South Africa, using surface energy balance system. The results indicated that Landsat 8 at 30 m resolution has a better spatial representation of total evaporation, when compared to the 1000 m MODIS. Specifically, Landsat 8 yielded significantly different mean total evaporation estimates for all land cover types (one-way ANOVA; F_4.964?=?87.011, p < 0.05), whereas MODIS failed to differentiate (one-way ANOVA; F_2.853?=?0.125, p = 0.998) mean total evaporation estimates for the different land cover types across the catchment. The findings of this study underscore the utility of the Landsat 8 spatial resolution and land cover characteristics in deriving accurate and reliable spatial variations of total evaporation at a catchment scale.     

陕北黄土高原植被覆盖时空变化及其归因分析北大核心CSCD

本文借助Google Earth Engine(GEE)云平台,以Landsat影像、气温降水和土地利用类型为基础,利用Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall检验、偏相关性和多元回归残差分析法,分析了1999—2018年陕北黄土高原植被覆盖时空特征、变化趋势及气候变化与人类活动对于不同土地利用类型的影响,得出以下结论:(1)1999—2018年陕北黄土高原年际FVC呈改善趋势,其平均增速为0.004 9/a(P<0.01),植被覆盖度呈增加趋势的面积占总面积的74.43%;(2)植被覆盖度与降水和气温的偏相关系数具有明显的空间差异,植被生长对降水变化较敏感;(3)气候变化和人类活动的共同作用是植被生长的主要原因,其中气候变化对植被FVC的影响范围为-0.001 0/a~0.003 6/a,而人类活动对植被FVC的影响范围为-0.046 1/a~0.049 0/a;(4)在不同土地利用类型中,气候变化对水体增幅影响最大,对针叶林和阔叶林增幅影响最小,而人类活动变化对人类占用地增幅影响最大,对阔叶林增幅影响最小。     

Geographically weighted elastic net logistic regression

This paper develops a localized approach to elastic net logistic regression, extending previous research describing a localized elastic net as an extension to a localized ridge regression or a localized lasso. All such models have the objective to capture data relationships that vary across space. Geographically weighted elastic net logistic regression is first evaluated through a simulation experiment and shown to provide a robust approach for local model selection and alleviating local collinearity, before application to two case studies: county-level voting patterns in the 2016 USA presidential election, examining the spatial structure of socio-economic factors associated with voting for Trump, and a species presence–absence data set linked to explanatory environmental and climatic factors at gridded locations covering mainland USA. The approach is compared with other logistic regressions. It improves prediction for the election case study only which exhibits much greater spatial heterogeneity in the binary response than the species case study. Model comparisons show that standard geographically weighted logistic regression over-estimated relationship non-stationarity because it fails to adequately deal with collinearity and model selection. Results are discussed in the context of predictor variable collinearity and selection and the heterogeneities that were observed. Ongoing work is investigating locally derived elastic net parameters.     

利用地理标签数据感知城市活力

高度活跃的城市是社会稳定发展的基础。基于地理标签感知的城市活力能够量化城市发展现状,探索城市活力的影响机制,为精细化城市治理提供技术支撑。传统城市活力研究依赖于街区的活力调查,时间长,费用高。本文研究利用兴趣点和社交媒体签到等地理标签数据,提出了城市活力度量指标,探索性分析城市活力的分布模式。基于土地利用、道路和建筑物等数据计算建成环境指标,构建城市活力和建成环境之间的普通线性回归与空间自回归模型,揭示了影响城市活力的建成环境因素。基于深圳市的试验结果表明:兴趣点和社交媒体签到数据能够较好地指示城市活力。深圳市的城市活力主要受商业用地、工业用地、土地混合利用以及路网密度、地铁站点密度的影响。住宅用地和建筑物占地密度对基于POI的城市活力具有显著影响。     

Synergy of airborne LiDAR and Worldview-2 satellite imagery for land cover and habitat mapping: A BIO_SOS-EODHaM case study for the Netherlands

A major challenge is to develop a biodiversity observation system that is cost effective and applicable in any geographic region. Measuring and reliable reporting of trends and changes in biodiversity requires amongst others detailed and accurate land cover and habitat maps in a standard and comparable way. The objective of this paper is to assess the EODHaM (EO Data for Habitat Mapping) classification results for a Dutch case study. The EODHaM system was developed within the BIO_SOS (The BIOdiversity multi-SOurce monitoring System: from Space TO Species) project and contains the decision rules for each land cover and habitat class based on spectral and height information. One of the main findings is that canopy height models, as derived from LiDAR, in combination with very high resolution satellite imagery provides a powerful input for the EODHaM system for the purpose of generic land cover and habitat mapping for any location across the globe. The assessment of the EODHaM classification results based on field data showed an overall accuracy of 74% for the land cover classes as described according to the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) Land Cover Classification System (LCCS) taxonomy at level 3, while the overall accuracy was lower (69.0%) for the habitat map based on the General Habitat Category (GHC) system for habitat surveillance and monitoring. A GHC habitat class is determined for each mapping unit on the basis of the composition of the individual life forms and height measurements. The classification showed very good results for forest phanerophytes (FPH) when individual life forms were analyzed in terms of their percentage coverage estimates per mapping unit from the LCCS classification and validated with field surveys. Analysis for shrubby chamaephytes (SCH) showed less accurate results, but might also be due to less accurate field estimates of percentage coverage. Overall, the EODHaM classification results encouraged us to derive the heights of all vegetated objects in the Netherlands from LiDAR data, in preparation for new habitat classifications.     

GIS支持下滑坡灾害空间预测方法研究

滑坡预测在防灾减灾工作中具有重要意义,它包括空间、时间预测两个方面。基于统计模型进行区域评价与空间预测是滑坡灾害研究的重要方向,但是预测结果往往依赖样本数量和空间分布等。本文以马来西亚金马伦高原为研究区,选择高程、坡度、坡向、地表曲率、构造、土地覆盖、地貌类型、道路和排水系统作为评价因子,探讨运用地理信息系统(GIS)和遥感(RS)获取与管理滑坡灾害信息,以及热带雨林地区湿热环境下滑坡空间预测的方法。支持向量机(SVM)和逻辑(Logistic)回归模型分别应用于滑坡空间预测,结果显示平均预测精度分别为95.9%和86.2%,SVM法具有较高的描述精度,值得推荐;同时,基于SVM模型的滑坡空间预测受样本影响较小,预测结果相对比较稳定,这对于滑坡灾害区域评价与预测的快速实现具有实际意义。     

元胞自动机的遥感影像混合像元分类

通过对元胞自动机理论的研究,提出元胞自动机的遥感影像混合像元分解模型。利用多波段遥感数据验证混合像元分解算法的可行性,并将结果与线性分解模型进行比较。结果表明,元胞自动机混合像元分解模型在分解的准确性方面,明显优于一般线性模型的精度。最后,将分类结果与传统的监督分类算法比较,得出元胞自动机的混合像元分解模型明显优于监督分类精度的结论。     

Analysis of seasonal variation in the Niger River interior delta using satellite data∗

The Niger River is one of the most important sources of water supply for human consumption and agriculture in Western Africa. Two Landsat‐5 Multispectral Scanner (MSS) images, corresponding to the dry and wet seasons, over a selected area of the Niger River interior delta were classified to produce a land cover/land use map that reflects the geo‐hydrological units of this area. To classify the satellite data, training statistics were generated using a clustering algorithm with parameter values that maximize the separability among spectral classes. Both dry and wet season images are required to obtain an accurate classification for evaluation of hydrological parameters. The spatial resolution of the MSS proved to be adequate for this kind of work, since all the major cover types and geographic features were correctly recognized.     

An assessment of coefficient accuracy in linear regression models with spatially varying coefficients

The realization in the statistical and geographical sciences that a relationship between an explanatory variable and a response variable in a linear regression model is not always constant across a study area has led to the development of regression models that allow for spatially varying coefficients. Two competing models of this type are geographically weighted regression (GWR) and Bayesian regression models with spatially varying coefficient processes (SVCP). In the application of these spatially varying coefficient models, marginal inference on the regression coefficient spatial processes is typically of primary interest. In light of this fact, there is a need to assess the validity of such marginal inferences, since these inferences may be misleading in the presence of explanatory variable collinearity. In this paper, we present the results of a simulation study designed to evaluate the sensitivity of the spatially varying coefficients in the competing models to various levels of collinearity. The simulation study results show that the Bayesian regression model produces more accurate inferences on the regression coefficients than does GWR. In addition, the Bayesian regression model is overall fairly robust in terms of marginal coefficient inference to moderate levels of collinearity, and degrades less substantially than GWR with strong collinearity.     

Modelling the impacts of civil war on land use and land cover change within Kono District,Sierra Leone: a socio-geospatial approach

Capturing the scope and trajectory of changes in land use and land cover (LULC) is critical to urban and regional planning, natural resource sustainability and the overall information needs of policy makers. Studies on LULC change are generally conducted within peaceful environments and seldom incorporate areas that are politically volatile. Consequently, the role of civil conflict on LULC change remains elusive. Using a dense time stack of Landsat Thematic Mapper images and a hybrid classification approach, this study analysed LULC changes in Kono District between 1986–1991, 1991–2002 and 2002–2007 with the overarching goal of elucidating deviations from typical changes in LULC caused by Sierra Leone's civil war (1991–2002). Informed by social survey and secondary data, this study engaged the drivers that facilitated LULC changes during war and non-war periods in a series of spatial regression models in exploring the interface between civil conflict and LULC change.     

GIDS空间插值法估算云下地表温度

选用陆面区域温度最佳空间插值法—梯度距离平方反比法(GIDS),为近似估算云下地表温度提供了可能。实验选取暖季南京江宁地区ETM+影像和ASTERGDEMV1高程数据,探索分析GIDS估算云下地表温度的可行性和可信性。对14种空间大小云覆盖区实验研究表明:利用GIDS插值估算云下地表温度具有可行性,且估算误差随着云覆盖区范围增大而增加,其最大MAE<0.9℃,最大RMSE<1.2℃,并在云覆盖区小于100×100像元时,最大MAE<0.8℃、RMSE<1℃;插值精度与最近邻无云像元典型代表性、区域内空间复杂度和地表覆盖类型均有关,存在不稳定性和动态性;云下NDVI均方差与MAE、RMSE有着一致变化趋势,借助NDVI均方差指示云下地表空间异质性及NDVI–LST负相关性,可对插值结果进行可信性评判,以避免插值结果盲目应用,推进和提升地表温度产品应用价值。     

1983—1992年中国陆地植被NDVI演变特征的变化矢量分析

以NDVI时序资料为基本数据源，综合应用变化矢量分析和主成分分析方法对1983年至1992年中国陆地植被NDVI的变化强度、变化类型及空间结构变化特征进行了分析。研究结果表明在此期间中国陆地植被NDVI变化有以下特点：（1）十年间NDVI变化东西分异明显，东部变化幅度远大于西部。NDVI变化整体表现为稳中略增，增加区主要分布在台湾、福建、四川、河南等地；减少区主要分布在云南省和新疆北部等地。（2）空间结构信息表现了景观异质性，其变化主要发生在南方，反映了植被的生长和衰老过程及地形（山脉走向）变化。