黄土高原祖厉河流域潜在植被分布模拟研究

植被空间分布格局深受环境影响, 分析植被与环境之间的关系一直是植物生态学的中心问题。论文从黄土高原自然植被恢复问题出发, 引出植被恢复的参照标准- 潜在自然植被。 依据气象站和雨量站观测资料, 建立气温降水与海拔高度和地理位置的统计方程, 以GIS 为技术支撑, 对两大环境变量进行空间化。通过野外观测取样, 结合气温降水的空间分布, 界定祖厉河流域不同草地覆盖度的生境空间。根据生境空间边界函数, 对整个流域内的潜在草地植被分布进行模拟。草地分布现状与潜在草地分布对比发现, 低覆盖草地由北向南扩展, 占潜在中覆盖草地面积的37.39%, 占潜在高覆盖草地面积的34.98%。中覆盖草地也在此向南部区域和北部山地扩展, 占潜在高覆盖草面积的11.51%。高覆盖草地收缩到南部和北部山地狭小地带, 仅占其应有区域的4.84%。     

俄罗斯布里亚特共和国植被NPP时空分布格局及其对气候变化的响应

研究利用遥感和气象数据以及改进后的CASA模型（生物温度代替月均温）,估算俄罗斯布里亚特共和国2000-2008年的植被NPP,并验证模型的精度,分析该地区植被NPP的时空分布格局及其对气候变化的响应规律。研究结果表明：改进后的CASA模型具较高精度,可运用于布里亚特共和国植被NPP的估算。时间上,植被NPP年际上呈现为在波动中上升的趋势,月份上表现为先升后降的单峰变化趋势;空间上,植被NPP呈现出随经度的增加而增大,随纬度的增加而减小,由西南到东北逐渐递增的分布格局;不同植被类型的NPP从大到小依此为：草地、沼泽林〉森林〉森林、草原〉稀树草原〉高山植被。该地区植被NPP的变化主要受气温和降水量变化的作用。     

植被地理分布对气候变化的适应性研究

开展气候变化对植被生产力及分布格局影响的研究较多,但分析植被地理分布与气候条件之间适应关系的研究还不多见.本研究以气候与植被关系为基础,采用植被对气候变化响应的时滞性,模拟不同植被类型对气候变化的动态响应过程,以当前气候条件和未来气候变化情景下植被地理分布实际发生和潜在的转变情况来定量表达植被地理分布与气候条件间的适应关系,评价植被地理分布对气候变化的适应性.结果表明,当前气候条件下(1961-1990年).中国植被对气候变化适应性总体较好,适应性较差的地方主要为森林-灌丛和草地-荒漠的交界处,植被的地理分布已经有所改变,约占5%;在华东地区森林-灌丛过渡带、内蒙古地区的灌丛-草地过渡带以及青藏高原南部的草地生态系统等对气候的适应性也较差,约占35%,这些地区的植被有退化的倾向,植被的地理分布有可能会发生变化.中国植被对未来气候变化(IPCC-SRES-A2情景2071-2100)的适应性总体较好,84%的植被变化表现为正向的变化,特别是在西北地区,未来气候条件将有所改善,这些地区的植被覆盖可能会有所提高.植被潜在的变化中约79%的植被可以适应未来的气候,但在青藏高原南部和内蒙古地区及西北的部分地区的草地生态系统对未来气候变化的适应性较差,有退化的倾向.     

植被生产力的空间分布研究--以黄河小花间卢氏以上流域为例

为验证生态系统模型Biome-BGC在流域尺度的适用性,以小浪底-花园口区间(小花间)洛河上游卢氏水文站以上流域作为研究区进行探讨.应用Biome-BGC计算研究区4种自然植被净初级生产力(NPP)的空间分布,并于2004年7月在卢氏县东安林场用LI-6400便携式光合仪进行日光合作用测量.结果表明:研究区植被的年总净初级生产力为1.90067×1012 gC;落叶阔叶林、常绿针叶林、灌木林和草地的年净初级生产力分别为603.2 gCm-2a-1、416.1 gCm-2a-1、263.8 gCm-2a-1、149.2 gCm-2a-1;研究区东部山区及河谷地区、西部山区的植被净初级生产力较高,中部地区较低;与测量结果相比,常绿针叶林的日光合值接近模型的输出值,落叶阔叶林和灌木林的日光合值小于模型的输出值,草地的年净初级生产力大于模型的输出值.该模型较好地拟合了研究区植被生产力的空间特征,对中小尺度的流域模拟有很好的适用性.     

清代青藏高原东北部河湟谷地林草地覆盖变化

河湟谷地是青藏高原东北缘典型的农牧交错区,清代以来耕地的扩张导致林草地覆盖发生明显变化。本文在现代植被图的基础上,选取土壤、地形因素,并依据历史文献数据,重建河湟谷地潜在林地草地格局,在此基础上结合清代耕地变化的重建结果,推算出清代河湟谷地林草地覆盖的变化状况。结果显示：①清代耕地扩张之前,其林、草地分布与现今各类植被类型的空间分布格局基本一致,林地分布范围比现代略大,灌木林地在空间上连续性更强,草地分布区域更广;②估算出河湟谷地潜在林地、灌木林地、草地面积分别约为0.28×10⁴、0.93×10⁴、2.1618×10⁴ km²,由于耕地开垦,至清代末期,河湟谷地草地、灌木林地、林地面积分别累计减少5180.41、1330.35、441.31 km²,其中草地被垦殖占用的面积最大,程度最深,减少的区域主要集中在湟水谷地中游的乐都盆地、西宁盆地以及黄河谷地的尖扎盆地、化隆盆地等;③清代河湟谷地中人类垦殖原始覆盖类型的差异性不仅受自然环境的限制,同样受到社会政策因素的影响。     

哀牢山山地黄棕壤腐殖质的研究

云南哀牢山徐家坝自然保护区内,森林经不同程度的破坏后形成的各种次生植被下,土壤有机质含量均有所降低,但H/F值则随森林→灌丛→草地有较大幅度的增加。腐殖质聚合物分子结构中的芳构化度、分子量和芳香环的缩合度由木果石栎林、滇山杨林、毛蕨菜灌草丛到沼泽草地逐渐增大,而腐殖酸分子结构上所带的亲水基侧键则按上述顺序由多到少。     

质变和量变两种维度下新疆山区土地覆盖变化分析

山区是新疆主要的产流区,山区土地覆被变化对新疆经济发展和生态环境安全具有重要意义,但新疆山区的土地利用整体变化情况尚不太清楚。该文基于新疆1∶10万土地覆被类型数据和GIMMS 3 g植被指数数据,综合运用GIS空间分析和月平均、距平和趋势保留预置白处理方法及Mann-Kendall非参数趋势检验方法,提取与分析了新疆三大山区在1990—2010年土地覆盖类型转化和1982—2013年的植被覆盖变化情况,尝试从2个维度分析新疆山区土地覆被变化情况,探讨了植被覆盖的显著变化与土地覆盖类型之间的空间关系。结果表明:1)以土地覆盖类型转化为标志的新疆土地覆被质变情况发生比例很小,99%的土地覆被类型没有发生变化;2)新疆三大山区中均有大于35%的面积植被状态发生了不同方向上的显著变化,阿勒泰山区植被退化30.38%,植被改善4.07%,天山山区植被退化25.27%,植被改善18.26%,昆仑山山区植被退化33.69%,植被改善19.83%;3)发生退化的区域主要分布于人类活动干扰较强的低海拔及山前地区,且主要以草地和稀疏草地为主,阿勒泰山区草地退化面积占到总面积22.18%,天山山区稀疏草地和草地退化面积占到总面积18.88%;昆仑山区植被稀疏草地和草地退化面积占到总面积10.74%。研究结果说明从质变和量变二种角度的分析能够提供对山区土地覆被变化提供更全面的认识,在分析土地覆被变化的生态水文响应时应当给予综合考虑。     

黄土丘陵区坡面尺度上不同植被格局下植物群落和土壤性质研究

通过对黄土丘陵沟壑区陕西延安羊圈沟小流域坡面上退耕还林还草后形成的林地(单一种植刺槐人工林)、草地(单一的撂荒草地)、草地-林地-草地(上坡位和下坡位撂荒草地,中坡位种植刺槐人工林)及林地-草地-林地(上坡位和下坡位种植刺槐人工林,中坡位为撂荒草地)四种不同的植被格局下植物物种多样性及土壤理化性质变化的研究,旨在揭示植被恢复过程中,坡面上植被不同的空间配置模式对植物物种的组成及土壤环境变化的影响.研究发现,4种植被格局下植物物种的多样性以单一的撂荒草地坡面最高,人工林的种植一定程度上影响了林下植物物种多样性的恢复,但整个灌木和草本的群落结构4种植被格局之间均未达到极不相似水平.土壤有机碳及总氮含量均以坡面上草地-林地-草地的空间配置格局最高且有机碳存在显著差异,而撂荒草地则在土壤水分的保持及改善土壤pH值上优于其他3种植被格局.     

洮、霍两河下游地区土地沙漠化成因及治理模式研究

该地区沙地是松嫩沙地的一部分。土地沙漠化是影响该地区农牧业发展和生态环境恶化的主要因素之一。它的分布一是呈西北-东南向,由沙垅组成;二是呈西南-东北向,由沙丘组成。主要为轻度和潜在沙漠化。它的成因主要有丰富的沙源;冬,春干旱风大;以及人为破坏植被和土被等所致。该沙地形成于5000a BP前,土地沙漠化发展具有三性特征。试验示范表明轻度和潜在沙漠化土地,宜采用林,果(含瓜),药(含草),杂(杂粮)复合生态治理模式。     

泾河流域上游景观尺度植被类型对水文过程的影响

选择具有土石山区的泾河流域上游为研究对象,应用生态水文模型SWIM对上游景观尺度下各植被类型水文效应进行了模拟,并针对上游土石山区和黄土区分海拔段进行了植被分布的水文格局影响分析。结果表明：泾河流域上游的森林、农田、草地各植被类型的蒸散及组分、径流深和土壤深层渗漏各水文过程具有显著差异,不同区域（土石山区和黄土区）的同一植被类型的各水文过程明显不同;同时,植被景观格局存在区域和海拔差异,这使得不同区域和海拔段的各水文过程有所不同。如在土石山区,以森林为主的海拔段2 250-2 922 m降水量和蒸散量均最大（分别为641 mm和484 mm）,以农田、草地和森林均有分布的海拔段1 750-2 250 m降水量较大（590 mm）,但蒸散量最低（仅为434 mm）;而在较为干旱的黄土区（降水量为514 mm）以农田和草地为主两个海拔段（1 026-1 350 m和1 350-1 750 m）的蒸散量较高（分别为458 mm和440 mm）。另外,从各水文过程要素与降水的比值看,两个区域之间差异比较明显,但同一区域不同海拔段间差异不明显。     

Reconstructing pre-agricultural expansion vegetation cover of Ethiopia

Landscape reconstructions can be used to define a reference condition from which to assess the magnitude of land changes caused by human influence. Since the beginning of the last century, the population of Ethiopia has increased drastically with large effects on the natural vegetation and biodiversity. However, the original land cover patterns in Ethiopia have not been precisely mapped, which hinder the identification of the biophysical and socio-economic factors that contributed to the current landscape patterns. The objective of this study was to reconstruct the past century vegetation landscapes of Ethiopia (i.e. vegetation cover before agricultural expansion) and identify which ecosystems have been most affected by land changes. First, the net primary productivity (NPP) was modelled based on the climatic constraints of natural vegetation growth (water availability, solar radiation and minimum temperature) derived from remote sensing and climate data. This analysis showed that water availability is the most critical constraint for vegetation growth for all regions and land cover types in Ethiopia. Then, the past vegetation was mapped based on predicted NPP. Our results show that i) the extent of broadleaved evergreen or semi-deciduous forest, open broadleaved deciduous forest, closed to open shrubland, mosaic forest-shrubland/grassland, sparse vegetation and grassland was 18.8%, 12.4%, 20.6%, 31.5%, and 16.8%, respectively, and ii) current agricultural landscapes were previously covered mainly by broadleaved evergreen and deciduous forest, which encompassed 38.9%. The least affected by agricultural expansion were sparse vegetation and grassland. Our study provides novel insights on pre-agricultural expansion landscapes in Ethiopia with critical information for scientists and other stakeholders working on the restoration and rehabilitation of degraded areas.     

Vegetation as a factor in the system of natural environment preservation of Prebaikalia

A central role in the formation of the natural environment of Prebaikalia is played by vegetation having the environment-forming and environment-protective functions. Nowadays, it is experiencing ever increasing anthropogenic impacts which lead to disturbances in its structure and decrease its ecological potential. This creates certain challenges of a local and regional character, because the main territory of the region is within the zone of atmospheric influence and within the western portion of the central ecological zone of the Baikal natural territory focus on preserving the ecosystem of Lake Baikal as the UNESCO World Natural Heritage site. Therefore, the main direction of nature conservation activity aimed at improving the quality of the region’s natural environment remains focused on the preservation and recovery and of its primary vegetation. Some measures are suggested concerning ecologically oriented nature management in Prebaikalia. We have defined the goals for the scientific accompaniment of the measures for the preservation of vegetation as an important factor of the environmental quality. The paper demonstrates the effectiveness of integrated study into the entire florocenotic diversity of modern vegetation, its evolutionary-genetic basis and the ecological and dynamical potentials of plant communities for the purposes of forecasting the ecologically oriented development of the region’s natural environment. The recommendations are formulated in accordance with the State Ecological Program for the period until 2030. The map entitled “Protection of vegetation in Prebaikalia (recommendations for optimization of the ecological policy)” has been developed, which provides information on territories with a different environmental quality having regard to the ecological potential. The legend includes the following parts of the map: special preservation of primary vegetation (full and partial), recovery of disturbed vegetation (active and passive recovery of primary forests), and economic rational (ecologically oriented) use of vegetation.     

青藏铁路沿线1373年以来气温和地温的变化研究

利用青藏铁路沿线（格尔木\_拉萨段）近600 a的历史气候代用资料,统计了各资料的年代序列,并用相关、功率谱、谐波、趋势分析等气候诊断方法进行了研究。结果表明:年平均地面温度17世纪中后期至18世纪初为偏冷阶段,20世纪后期为偏暖阶段,升温从18世纪中期开始,一直维持到20世纪末。该地区年平均地面温度和气温16世纪、19～20世纪相对偏暖,而15世纪、17～18世纪偏冷,20世纪的增温程度超过了19世纪的水平。自然波动周期为4～5个。     

十六世纪以来广东气候的变化

本文对十六世纪以来广东省气候和未来气候趋势进行了初步探讨。     

Reclamation and revolt: Social responses in Eastern Inner Mongolia to flood/drought-induced refugees from the North China Plain 1644–1911

In the present study, Eastern Inner Mongolia (EIM) and the North China Plain (NCP) during the Qing Dynasty (1644–1911) were selected as study areas. Based on records of agricultural exploitation, settlement expansion, and revolts obtained from the Veritable Records of the Qing Dynasty (a collection of official records), a collection of proxy data reflecting historical social change in EIM was gathered. The social response in EIM to the immigrants from the NCP, who were mainly destitute and homeless refugees and came into EIM under the acquiescence or even with the encouragement of the government in and after a severe flood or drought, was analysed by comparing the data on climatic factors as well as changes in governmental policy. The results indicated that social response was significantly dependent on phase changes. In the 18th century, immigrants from the NCP promoted the reclamation of EIM, which was a pastoral region throughout the 17th century and displayed agricultural prosperity, settlement expansion, and positive regional interactions. However, from the beginning of the 19th century, agriculture declined and settlement slowed. Immigrants intensified local social contradictions in EIM, which led to a series of armed revolts and collapse in the late 19th century. This transformation was affected by both natural and human factors, especially periodic fluctuations in temperature, which significantly affected land use and environmental capacity in EIM by controlling the location of the agro-pastoral transitional zone, and the implementation and repeal of quarantine policy, which immediately affected the extent of immigration in EIM.     

近400年来北极地区和中国气温变化的对比研究

对中国和北极地区近400年来的气温变化进行了趋势分析和谱特征分析,通过对比认为,北极地区及中国基本上都有17世纪、19世纪两个寒冷期和18世纪、20世纪两个温暖期,在一定程度上说明了气候变化的全球性,但两地区气温的冷暖转化不同步。中国大部分地区(除华东、新疆、西藏区外)17、19世纪升温开始得较北极早;北极地区绝大部分站点18世纪升温较中国明显,且气温变化的区域差异较大。400aBP以来两地气温变化的周期较为一致,以130～140年、100年、80年的周期为主,说明400aBP以来气温的变化具有全球性,而且气温的变化受太阳活动的影响较大,自然因素尤其是太阳活动的影响是气候变化的主要原因。     

近540 a东亚夏季海平面气压场的重建及其与数值模拟的比较

 基于中国东部地区旱涝分布和东亚夏季海平面气压存在密切关系的基础上,利用1470—2008年中国东部地区旱涝等级资料、1850—2008年东亚夏季海平面气压资料,运用主成分回归的方法重建了1470—2008年的东亚地区夏季海平面气压场,并对重建结果进行了检验,同时对1470—2008年东亚夏季海平面气压重建场和FGOALS_gl数值模式模拟的海平面气压场进行了对比分析。结果表明:①1850—2008年重建的东亚夏季海平面气压场在东亚夏季风关键区（中国内陆地区以及西北太平洋部分地区）重建效果相对于其他地区要好。②1470—2008年重建的东亚夏季海平面气压场主要存在高纬与中纬气压差异、海洋与陆地差异的两种空间分布型;1470—1999年FGOALS_gl数值模拟的东亚夏季海平面气压主要体现了海陆气压差异。③根据重建的东亚夏季海平面气压场定义的1470—2008年东亚夏季风指数的演变具有明显的阶段性,16世纪中期到17世纪初东亚夏季风偏强,17世纪偏弱,18世纪经历了“弱-强-弱-强-弱”的变化,19世纪则是“强-弱-强-弱”的变化,20世纪是明显的“弱-强-弱”变化。而1470—1999年数值模拟的东亚夏季风指数序列与重建序列的主要差异出现在16世纪末和18世纪末,两者的变化趋势相反,其他时段的变化趋势基本一致。     

2500年来艾比湖的环境演变信息

通过对艾比湖缘1，8m浅孔的沉积相和孢粉组合，结合14C测年资料分析。指出近2500年来艾比湖的沉积环境总体是比较稳定的，但由于气候波动引起艾比湖水位曾发生较明显的变化。约在公元前300～400年，是艾比湖面积缩小时期；约公元前300—公元300年，即东周末至西晋，是艾比湖水位较高时期；约公元300—1400年，即东晋至15世纪初，是艾比湖的高水位时期；约15世纪初至17世纪中是艾比湖的水位下降期，但水位比现代仍然高；约17世纪中至19世纪初的小冰期是艾比湖的水位上升期。研究还提供了历史时期湖泊的盐度变化和湖周发生大火的信息。     

Multi-scale analysis of disturbance regimes in the northern Chihuahuan Desert

Remote sensing facilitates cross-scale validation, enables analysis of processes and patterns in time and space, and is thus viable for the conduct of earth system science. Multi-scale analyses of natural vegetation patterns and processes in the northern Chihuahuan Desert show that natural vegetation is capable of recovering from short-term, high intensity disturbances such as an atomic bomb blast. In contrast, mesquite dunelands persist on other sites grazed before the blast, showing the Chihuahuan is less resilient to long-term low intensity disturbances. A geographic information system (GIS) was used to register historical Landsat Multi-Spectral Scanner (MSS) data acquired over Trinity National Historic Site (TNHS), New Mexico, and the vicinity. Aerial and ground photography provide supporting detail, at finer scales, regarding the distribution and pattern of natural vegetation at TNHS Ground Zero and adjacent weapons impact targets. Aside from initial mechanical or thermal damage to vegetation from the first atomic test over a half century ago, analyses of vegetation at satellite and airphoto scales show no apparent persistent blast effects around TNHS.     

Human Impact Since Medieval Times and Recent Ecological Restorationin a Mediterranean Lake: The Laguna Zoñar, Southern Spain

The multidisciplinary study of sediment cores from Laguna Zoñar (37°29′00′′ N, 4°41′22′′ W, 300 m a.s.l., Andalucía, Spain) provides a detailed record of environmental, climatic and anthropogenic changes in a Mediterranean watershed since Medieval times, and an opportunity to evaluate the lake restoration policies during the last decades. The paleohydrological reconstructions show fluctuating lake levels since the end of the Medieval Warm Period (ca. AD 1300) till the late 19th century and a more acute dry period during the late 19th century – early 20th century, after the end of the Little Ice Age. Human activities have played a significant role in Laguna Zoñar hydrological changes since the late 19th century, when the outlet was drained, and particularly in the mid-20th century (till 1982) when the spring waters feeding the lake were diverted for human use. Two main periods of increased human activities in the watershed are recorded in the sediments. The first started with the Christian conquest and colonization of the Guadalquivir River Valley (13th century) particularly after the fall of the Granada Kingdom (15th century). The second one corresponds to the late 19th century when more land was dedicated to olive cultivation. Intensification of soil erosion occurred in the mid-20th century, after the introduction of farm machinery. The lake was declared a protected area in the early 1980s, when some agricultural practices were restricted, and conservation measures implemented. As a consequence, the lake level increased, and some littoral zones were submerged. Pollen indicators reflect this limnological change during the last few decades. Geochemical indicators show a relative decrease in soil erosion, but not changes in the amount of chemical fertilizers reaching the lake. This study provides an opportunity to evaluate the relative significance of human vs. climatic factors in lake hydrology and watershed changes during historical times. Paleolimnological reconstructions should be taken into account by natural resources agencies to better define lake management policies, and to assess the results of restoration policies.