广西气象学会第八届理事会及学科(工作)委员会主任委员名单

1、名誉理事长 :林少雄2、名誉副理事长 :吴兴国3、理事 (按姓氏笔划为序 ,42人 ) :　　韦力行、韦革宁、王岑生、王治安、方辉雄、卢　笙、卢峰本、朱　胜、孙　涵、刘任业、何　飞、何洁琳、苏用能、李永键、李家文、李耀先、余志峰、张明军、张炳汉、陈博杰、金　龙、林　桦、赵　红、赵　博、易燕明、饶文伟、钟思强、钟　键、唐少华、秦　成、姚　宏、符　合、梁仲相、黄运丰、黄海平、黄海洪、粟华林、腾然伟、廖桂奇、谭凌志、黎惠金、薛荣康。4、常务理事 (按姓氏笔划为序 ,2 2人 ) :　　韦力行、王治安、卢　笙、刘任业、孙　涵、…     

2007年黑龙江省干旱评估分析

1干旱概况本文选择黑河、嫩江、讷河、龙江、海伦、萝北、富锦、绥化、铁力、佳木斯、依兰、桦南、集贤、宝清、哈尔滨、肇源、双城、勃利、密山、五常、穆棱等21个有代表性的市县,这些市县分布在黑龙江省西部、中部、东部,基本可以反映出全     

1986年全区气象业务及管理高质量获奖单位和个人

一、集体: 。1.天气预报: 河池、玉林地区气象局预报科、区海洋气象台预报科、区气象台、容县、罗城、东兰、富川、风山、南丹、巴马、宁明、那坡、佳平、宜山、扶绥县气象局。2.气象服务 一·等奖 柳州地区气象局服务科、区气象学校、平乐、融安、隆林、宾阳、龙州、豢左、凭祥、扶绥、桂平、大新县气象局。 二等奖 玉林、南宁地区气象局服务科、鹿寨、环江、宁明县气象局 3.业务管理 河池、玉林地区气象局业务科为三等先进。 二、个人: 1.地面测报 一等奖:黄素珍、张琼雯、翟开富、吴泽聪、黄超君,潘喜珊、黄美风、付创财、周纯点、莫富强…     

连翘高产栽培技术

连翘为木犀科植物,味苦、性微寒,有清热解毒、消肿散结等功效。用于痈疽、瘰疬、乳痈、丹毒、风热感冒、温病初起、温热入营、高热烦渴、神昏发斑、热淋尿闭等症。具有抗菌、抗炎、解热、镇吐、利尿、强心、抗肝损、镇痛、抗内毒素、抗病毒、降血压等作用。也可用于食品天然防腐剂或化妆品,是重要的油料作物、观赏植物和水土保持植物。市场前景看好,种植效益可观。连翘主要分布于河南、山西、陕西、湖北、河北等地。以野生为主,也有大规模人工栽培。陕西主产于黄龙、洛南、商南、柞水、丹风、韩城、华阴、华县等县。1连翘栽培适宜生态气候条…     

2011年春季全国干旱状况及其影响与成因

2011年春季(3～5月),我国内蒙古、黑龙江、吉林、辽宁、河北、云南、四川、贵州、甘肃、陕西、宁夏、江苏、安徽、山东、河南、江西、湖南、湖北、广东以及西藏等省区存在不同程度的旱情,旱区农业、人畜饮水、江河及湖泊水位、渔业生产、水运等受到不同程度的影响.大气环流异常仍是导致各地干旱少雨的主要原因.     

基于观测事实的四川天气现象发生空间分布特征

利用四川省145个气象台站1981～2013年连续人工观测资料,对34种天气现象发生日数和概率进行统计。结果表明:除极光外,四川省共观测到33种天气现象,露和轻雾日平均发生频率大于40%;雨和阵雨日平均发生频率大于20%;结冰、霜和雷暴日平均发生频率大于10%。露、霜、结冰、雷暴、闪电、大风、积雪、雨、阵雨、雨夹雪、雪11种天气全省各站均有发生,而雨凇、雪暴、吹雪、龙卷仅在个别站点发生。液态降水、雾、轻雾、霾、浮尘、烟幕、露均是盆地内多于高原,而混合降水、固态降水、扬沙、沙尘暴、吹雪、雪暴、雷暴、霜、大风、结冰、积雪、冰针、龙卷、尘卷风则是川西高原多于盆地。      

《辽宁气象》来稿须知

１　本刊欢迎下列稿件１－１　气象科技论文和其他气象科技稿件：天气、气候、农业气象、大气探测、卫星遥感、气象通信、人工影响天气、微机应用、气象仪器、气象与各业、国外气象动态、气象译文、气象科技动态、气象业务现代化建设等方面的研究成果论文、综述、气象业务总结报告等。１－２　其他稿件：气象服务、工作讨论、气象科普、消息通讯、国外见闻、辽河副刊专栏（散文、小说、诗歌类）、气象风光、新闻图片等。２　科技论文类稿件注意事项２－１　稿件应具有科学性、创新性、先进性、实用性、逻辑性、可读性。要求论点鲜明,论据准…     

欢迎订阅《四川气象》

1《四川气象》欢迎下列来稿1·1科技论文和其他科技稿件:天气、气候、农业气象、大气探测、卫星遥感、气象通信、人工影响天气、计算机应用、气象仪器、气象与各业、国内外气象动态、气象译文、气象科技服务、气象业务现代化建设等方面的研究成果、论文、综述、气象业务总结报告等。1·2其他稿件:气象服务、工作讨论、气象科普、消息通讯、国外见闻、气象百花园欢迎您的散文、小说、小幽默、诗歌等作品;同时诚盼气象部门的新闻图片、气象风光照片等。2科技论文类稿件注意事项2·1稿件应具有科学性、创新性、先进性、实用性、逻辑性、可读性…     

《四川气象》欢迎您的来稿

1　《四川气象》欢迎下列来稿1 1　科技论文和其他科技稿件 :天气、气候、农业气象、大气探测、卫星遥感、气象通信、人工影响天气、计算机应用、气象仪器、气象与各业、国内外气象动态、气象译文、气象科技服务、气象业务现代化建设等方面的研究成果、论文、综述、气象业务总结报告等。1 2　其他稿件 :气象服务、工作讨论、气象科普、消息通讯、国外见闻、气象百花园欢迎您的散文、小说、小幽默、诗歌等作品 ;同时诚盼气象部门的新闻图片、气象风光照片等。2　科技论文类稿件注意事项2 1　稿件应具有科学性、创新性、先进性、实用性、逻辑…     

PC——1500机气象测报程序研讨班结束

有黑龙江、吉林、贵州、安徽、青海、河北、四川、广西、内蒙古、天津、广东、湖南、西藏、江西、山东、甘肃、福建、浙江、云南和陕西等二十个省市区气象部门参加的 Pc—1500机气象测报程序研讨班,从五月五日开始,历时二十五天,圆满结束。使用微型计算机,作为新的技术革命的标志正在引起各个领域的深刻变革。气象工     

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS DATA OF AIR–SEA TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE AND ITS VARIATION ACROSS SOUTH CHINA SEA IN THE PAST 35 YEARS

Using the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set(ICOADS) and ERA-Interim data, spatial distributions of air-sea temperature difference(ASTD) in the South China Sea(SCS) for the past 35 years are compared,and variations of spatial and temporal distributions of ASTD in this region are addressed using empirical orthogonal function decomposition and wavelet analysis methods. The results indicate that both ICOADS and ERA-Interim data can reflect actual distribution characteristics of ASTD in the SCS, but values of ASTD from the ERA-Interim data are smaller than those of the ICOADS data in the same region. In addition, the ASTD characteristics from the ERA-Interim data are not obvious inshore. A seesaw-type, north-south distribution of ASTD is dominant in the SCS; i.e., a positive peak in the south is associated with a negative peak in the north in November, and a negative peak in the south is accompanied by a positive peak in the north during April and May. Interannual ASTD variations in summer or autumn are decreasing. There is a seesaw-type distribution of ASTD between Beibu Bay and most of the SCS in summer, and the center of large values is in the Nansha Islands area in autumn. The ASTD in the SCS has a strong quasi-3a oscillation period in all seasons, and a quasi-11 a period in winter and spring. The ASTD is positively correlated with the Nio3.4 index in summer and autumn but negatively correlated in spring and winter.     

CHARACTERISTICS AND TRENDS OF CLIMATIC EXTREMES IN CHINA DURING 1959–2014

The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics.     

IMPACT OF ATMOSPHERIC LOW-FREQUENCY OSCILLATION ON THE IMMIGRATION OF NILAPARVATA LUGENS(STL) IN HUNAN AND JIANGXI PROVINCES

Various features of the atmospheric environment affect the number of migratory insects, besides their initial population. However, little is known about the impact of atmospheric low-frequency oscillation(10 to 90 days) on insect migration. A case study was conducted to ascertain the influence of low-frequency atmospheric oscillation on the immigration of brown planthopper, Nilaparvata lugens(Stl), in Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. The results showed the following:(1) The number of immigrating N. lugens from April to June of 2007 through 2016 mainly exhibited a periodic oscillation of 10 to 20 days.(2) The 10-20 d low-frequency number of immigrating N. lugens was significantly correlated with a low-frequency wind field and a geopotential height field at 850 h Pa.(3) During the peak phase of immigration, southwest or south winds served as a driving force and carried N. lugens populations northward, and when in the back of the trough and the front of the ridge, the downward airflow created a favorable condition for N. lugens to land in the study area. In conclusion, the northward migration of N. lugens was influenced by a low-frequency atmospheric circulation based on the analysis of dynamics. This study was the first research connecting atmospheric low-frequency oscillation to insect migration.     

A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS BEFORE THE OCCURRENCE OF TWO TYPES OF EL NIO EVENTS

The atmospheric and oceanic conditions before the onset of EP El Ni?o and CP El Ni?o in nearly 30 years are compared and analyzed by using 850 hPa wind, 20℃ isotherm depth, sea surface temperature and the Wheeler and Hendon index. The results are as follows: In the western equatorial Pacific, the occurrence of the anomalously strong westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Its intensity is far stronger than that of the CP El Ni?o. Two months before the El Ni?o, the anomaly westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o have extended to the eastern Pacific region, while the westerly wind anomaly of the CP El Ni?o can only extend to the west of the dateline three months before the El Ni?o and later stay there. Unlike the EP El Ni?o, the CP El Ni?o is always associated with easterly wind anomaly in the eastern equatorial Pacific before its onset. The thermocline depth anomaly of the EP El Ni?o can significantly move eastward and deepen. In addition, we also find that the evolution of thermocline is ahead of the development of the sea surface temperature for the EP El Ni?o. The strong MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o in the western and central Pacific is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Measured by the standard deviation of the zonal wind square, the intensity of MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o is significantly greater than that of the CP El Ni?o before the onset of El Ni?o.     

ANALYSIS OF “BIMODAL PATTERN” STORM ACTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BAY OF BENGAL

Storms that occur at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are of a bimodal pattern, which is different from that of the other sea areas. By using the NCEP, SST and JTWC data, the causes of the bimodal pattern storm activity of the BoB are diagnosed and analyzed in this paper. The result shows that the seasonal variation of general atmosphere circulation in East Asia has a regulating and controlling impact on the BoB storm activity, and the “bimodal period” of the storm activity corresponds exactly to the seasonal conversion period of atmospheric circulation. The minor wind speed of shear spring and autumn contributed to the storm, which was a crucial factor for the generation and occurrence of the “bimodal pattern” storm activity in the BoB. The analysis on sea surface temperature (SST) shows that the SSTs of all the year around in the BoB area meet the conditions required for the generation of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the SSTs in the central area of the bay are higher than that of the surrounding areas in spring and autumn, which facilitates the occurrence of a “two-peak” storm activity pattern. The genesis potential index (GPI) quantifies and reflects the environmental conditions for the generation of the BoB storms. For GPI, the intense low-level vortex disturbance in the troposphere and high-humidity atmosphere are the sufficient conditions for storms, while large maximum wind velocity of the ground vortex radius and small vertical wind shear are the necessary conditions of storms.     

LOW-FREQUENCY CIRCULATION AND EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST IN CONNECTION WITH AUTUMN EXTREME HEAVY RAINFALL PROCESS IN HAINAN

Observed daily precipitation data from the National Meteorological Observatory in Hainan province and daily data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis-2 dataset from 1981 to 2014 are used to analyze the relationship between Hainan extreme heavy rainfall processes in autumn (referred to as EHRPs) and 10–30 d low-frequency circulation. Based on the key low-frequency signals and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) model forecasting products, a dynamical-statistical method is established for the extended-range forecast of EHRPs. The results suggest that EHRPs have a close relationship with the 10–30 d low-frequency oscillation of 850 hPa zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north, and that they basically occur during the trough phase of the low-frequency oscillation of zonal wind. The latitudinal propagation of the low-frequency wave train in the middle-high latitudes and the meridional propagation of the low-frequency wave train along the coast of East Asia contribute to the ‘north high (cold), south low (warm)’ pattern near Hainan Island, which results in the zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north reaching its trough, consequently leading to EHRPs. Considering the link between low-frequency circulation and EHRPs, a low-frequency wave train index (LWTI) is defined and adopted to forecast EHRPs by using NCEP CFSv2 forecasting products. EHRPs are predicted to occur during peak phases of LWTI with value larger than 1 for three or more consecutive forecast days. Hindcast experiments for EHRPs in 2015–2016 indicate that EHRPs can be predicted 8–24 d in advance, with an average period of validity of 16.7 d.     

AN ATTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF CHANGES IN POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION IN THE BEIJING–TIANJIN–HEBEI REGION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

Based on the measurements obtained at 64 national meteorological stations in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region between 1970 and 2013, the potential evapotranspiration (ET0) in this region was estimated using the Penman–Monteith equation and its sensitivity to maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), wind speed (Vw), net radiation (Rn) and water vapor pressure (Pwv) was analyzed, respectively. The results are shown as follows. (1) The climatic elements in the BTH region underwent significant changes in the study period. Vw and Rn decreased significantly, whereas Tmin, Tmax and Pwv increased considerably. (2) In the BTH region, ET0 also exhibited a significant decreasing trend, and the sensitivity of ET0 to the climatic elements exhibited seasonal characteristics. Of all the climatic elements, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv in the fall and winter and Rn in the spring and summer. On the annual scale, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv, followed by Rn, Vw, Tmax and Tmin. In addition, the sensitivity coefficient of ET0 with respect to Pwv had a negative value for all the areas, indicating that increases in Pwv can prevent ET0 from increasing. (3) The sensitivity of ET0 to Tmin and Tmax was significantly lower than its sensitivity to other climatic elements. However, increases in temperature can lead to changes in Pwv and Rn. The temperature should be considered the key intrinsic climatic element that has caused the "evaporation paradox" phenomenon in the BTH region.     

Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Ni?o and Lead to Eurasian Warming?

正The Taal Volcano in Luzon is one of the most active and dangerous volcanoes of the Philippines. A recent eruption occurred on 12 January 2020(Fig. 1a), and this volcano is still active with the occurrence of volcanic earthquakes. The eruption has become a deep concern worldwide, not only for its damage on local society, but also for potential hazardous consequences on the Earth's climate and environment.     

VARIABILITY OF INTER-ANNUAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE AND HUAXI REGION’S AUTUMN PRECIPITATION

The moving-window correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationship between autumn Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events and the synchronous autumn precipitation in Huaxi region, based on the daily precipitation, sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric circulation data from 1960 to 2012. The correlation curves of IOD and the early modulation of Huaxi region’s autumn precipitation indicated a mutational site appeared in the 1970s. During 1960 to 1979, when the IOD was in positive phase in autumn, the circulations changed from a “W” shape to an ”M” shape at 500 hPa in Asia middle-high latitude region. Cold flux got into the Sichuan province with Northwest flow, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Western Pacific to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation increase in east Huaxi region. During 1980 to 1999, when the IOD in autumn was positive phase, the atmospheric circulation presented a “W” shape at 500 hPa, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Bay of Bengal to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation ascend in west Huaxi region. In summary, the Indian Ocean changed from cold phase to warm phase since the 1970s, caused the instability of the inter-annual relationship between the IOD and the autumn rainfall in Huaxi region.     

Revisiting the Concentration Observations and Source Apportionment of Atmospheric Ammonia

正While China’s Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan on particulate matter since 2013 has reduced sulfate significantly, aerosol ammonium nitrate remains high in East China. As the high nitrate abundances are strongly linked with ammonia, reducing ammonia emissions is becoming increasingly important to improve the air quality of China. Although satellite data provide evidence of substantial increases in atmospheric ammonia concentrations over major agricultural regions, long-term surface observation of ammonia concentrations are sparse. In addition, there is still no consensus on