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| 南北带强震年度预测能力估计 | |
| 引用本文： | 刘蒲雄,刘连柱,车时,黄德瑜,吕晓健,韩丹,张宇霞. 南北带强震年度预测能力估计[J]. 地震, 2006, 26(2): 38-44 |
| 作者姓名： | 刘蒲雄 刘连柱 车时 黄德瑜 吕晓健 韩丹 张宇霞 |
| 作者单位： | 中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京,100036;中国地震局,北京,100036;中国地震台网中心,北京,100036 |
| 基金项目： | 南北地震带强化震情跟踪专项基金 |
| 摘 要： | 对中国地震局原分析预报中心测震学科1988～1999年度划定的南北地震带强震(M≥7)危险区进行了回顾和分析。 结果表明, 从过程角度研究前兆地震活动图像及其演变是年度和中短期强震预测的有效途径, 这为南北地震带强震震情跟踪提供了条件。 |
| 关 键 词： | 年度预测能力 地震活动性 R值 南北地震带 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3274(2006)02-0038-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-10-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-12-16 |
Evaluation of annual forecast efficiency of strong earthquakes along North-South seismic zone |
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| LIU Pu-xiong,LIU Lian-zhu,CHE Shi,HUANG De-yu,LU Xiao-Jian,HAN Dan,ZHANG Yu-Xia. Evaluation of annual forecast efficiency of strong earthquakes along North-South seismic zone[J]. China Earthguake Engineering Journal, 2006, 26(2): 38-44 | |
| Authors: | LIU Pu-xiong LIU Lian-zhu CHE Shi HUANG De-yu LU Xiao-Jian HAN Dan ZHANG Yu-Xia |
| Affiliation: | 1. Institute of Earthquake Science, CEA, Beijing 100036; 2. China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036; 3. China Earthquake Networks Center, CEA, Beijing 100036, China |
| Abstract: | The article evaluates the annual strong earthquake risk regions identified by authors from 1988 to 1999 along North-South Seismic Zone.The results show that it is an available approach to apply seismicity precursors and their evolution to annual forecast of strong earthquakes.It provides a basic condition for tracing short-term precursors of strong earthquakes. |
| Keywords: | Ability to annual earthquake forecast Seismicity Seismic zone R value |
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