Cross-Level Inference in Political Science |
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Authors: | Detlef F. Sprinz |
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Affiliation: | (1) Department of Global Change & Social Systems, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany;(2) Department of Political Science, University of Potsdam, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany |
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Abstract: | Political Science research encounters inferences across levels of analysis; however, they are fraught with challenges. After introducing voting examples of aggregation bias, problems posed by aggregation bias are summarized more generally. Subsequently, the article reviews the major methodological approaches to overcome aggregation bias and to solve the ecological inference (disaggregation) problem. The article highlights the possibility that aggregation bias may lead governments to accept (or reject) international climate agreements when negotiating as blocs of countries as compared to the distribution of the preferences of all countries involved in the negotiations. |
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Keywords: | cross-level inference political science aggregation bias ecological fallacy |
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