| THE KUROSHIO MEANDER/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION CONNECTION AND DROUGHT/FLOOD CYCLES IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER |
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| 作者姓名： | M.F.Gerstell |
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| 作者单位： | Dept. of Planetary Sciences，California Inst. of Technology |
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| 摘 要： | In response to a suggestion that the large meander of the Kuroshio is a good predictor of droughtsin the Changjiang River Valley, it is argued that more recent inceptions of the meander lend statisticalweigh to the belief that the large meander is itself a consequence of E1 Nino, and hence of the SouthernOscillation. The meander usually lags. Thus, if the meander reliably predicts droughts, the Tahiti componentof the Southern Oscillation will usually give six months' extra warning.
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| 收稿时间： | 16 July 1993 |
| 修稿时间： | 18 October 1994 |
The Kuroshio Meander/Southern Oscillation connection and drought/flood cycles in the Changjiang River |
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| M.F.Gerstell.THE KUROSHIO MEANDER/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION CONNECTION AND DROUGHT/FLOOD CYCLES IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER[J].Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,1995,13(3):223-225. |
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| Authors: | M F Gerstell |
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| Institution: | (1) Dept. of Planetary Sciences, California Inst. of Technology, California, USA |
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| Abstract: | In response to a suggestion that the large meander of the Kuroshio is a good predictor of droughts in the Changjiang River Valley, it is argued that more recent inceptions of the meander lend statistical weight to the belief that the large meander is itself a consequence of El Nino, and hence of the Southern Oscillation. The meander usually lags. Thus, if the meander reliably predicts droughts, the Tahiti component of the Southern Oscillation will usually give six months' extra warning. |
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| Keywords: | Kuroshio meander Southern Oscillation connection drought/flood cycles Changjiang River |
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