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Probabilistic Regularities in Setup Variations in the Level of a Large Inland Water Body: Case Study of the Caspian Sea
Authors:Ratkovich  D. Ya.  Vyruchalkina  T. Yu.  Nikonova  R. E.  Solomonova  I. V.
Affiliation:(1) Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Gubkina 3, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russia;(2) State Institute of Oceanography, Kropotkinskii per. 6, GSP-2, Moscow, 119992, Russia
Abstract:The results of probabilistic analysis of data on setup level variations collected during long-term observations at all gages along the Caspian Sea coast are discussed. A procedure for evaluating low-probability sea level extremes is proposed. Estimates are given for the probabilities of outstanding setups in the Caspian Sea and the Sea of Azov.
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