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Probabilistic Regularities in Setup Variations in the Level of a Large Inland Water Body: Case Study of the Caspian Sea |
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| Authors: | Ratkovich D Ya Vyruchalkina T Yu Nikonova R E Solomonova I V |
| Institution: | (1) Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Gubkina 3, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russia;(2) State Institute of Oceanography, Kropotkinskii per. 6, GSP-2, Moscow, 119992, Russia |
| Abstract: | The results of probabilistic analysis of data on setup level variations collected during long-term observations at all gages along the Caspian Sea coast are discussed. A procedure for evaluating low-probability sea level extremes is proposed. Estimates are given for the probabilities of outstanding setups in the Caspian Sea and the Sea of Azov. |
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