| 影响广西的热带气旋的预测概念模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴恒强,陆虹.影响广西的热带气旋的预测概念模型[J].气象研究与应用,2000,21(Z1):13-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴恒强 陆虹 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广西气象科研所,广西,南宁,530022
2. 广西区气象局,广西,南宁,530022 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西科技厅科研项目，国家科技攻关项目，，96-908-05-07-2，， |
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| 摘 要： | 利用太阳黑子相对数、拉萨站气温距平、相关海区海温距平、南极海冰面积资料,计算和分析前期太阳黑子活动、高原热状况、海洋行为和南极海冰变异与影响广西的热带气旋频数的关系,提出一个预测概念模型.
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| 关 键 词： | 热带气旋 概念模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2000)增刊-0013-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000年2月12日 |
Conceptual Prediction Model Of The Tropical Cyclone Affecting Guangxi |
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| WU Heng-qiang,LU Hong.Conceptual Prediction Model Of The Tropical Cyclone Affecting Guangxi[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2000,21(Z1):13-15. |
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| Authors: | WU Heng-qiang LU Hong |
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| Abstract: | By using the data such as the relative sunspot number, the temperature anomaly in Lhasa, the SSTA in relative region and the informationon th sea ice area in South Pole, the relationship between the annual frequency of tropical cyclone affecting Guangxi and the activity of sunspots, the heat status of Tibetan Plateau, the action of ocean and the aberrance of sea ice in the prior period in South Pole is computed and analyzed, on the basis of which the conceptual prediction model is set up. |
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| Keywords: | tropical cyclone conceptual Model |
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