| 用日本数值预报产品预报桂林市强降水的检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 廖铭燕,蒋丽娟. 用日本数值预报产品预报桂林市强降水的检验[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2001, 22(1): 28-29 |
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| 作者姓名： | 廖铭燕 蒋丽娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 桂林市气象局, |
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| 摘 要： | 用日本数值预报产品 JFU FE5 0 2、JFU FE5 0 3,对桂林市大雨以上强降水过程进行分析检验 ,结果表明有较好的预报能力 ,只是预报值偏小 ;在不同天气系统影响下 ,其预报性能也有所不同。实际运用时 ,结合天气形势、实际预报经验和其它预报方法进行有效订正 ,能提高强降水预报准确率
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| 关 键 词： | 数值预报产品 强降水 检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2001)01-0028-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2000-01-05 |
Verifying Heavy Rainfall Forecast in Guilin by Using the Japanese Numerical Forecast Product |
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| LIAO Ming-yan,JIANG Li-juan. Verifying Heavy Rainfall Forecast in Guilin by Using the Japanese Numerical Forecast Product[J]. Journal of Guangxi Meteorology, 2001, 22(1): 28-29 |
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| Authors: | LIAO Ming-yan JIANG Li-juan |
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| Abstract: | The rainfall process above heavy rain level in Guilin is analyzed and verified by using Japanese numerical forecast products JFUFE502 and JFUFE503. The results prove its high forecast capacity except that the forecast value is a little bit lower than actual value; Its forecast performance various with the different weather system. Corrections should be made in the practical operation combining weather situation, actual forecast experience and other forecast methods in order to increase the forecast accuracy for heavy rainfall. |
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| Keywords: | numerical forecast product heavy rainfall verification |
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