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A Probabilistic Model for Fatigue Crack Propagation Analysis
Authors:DING Keqin DUAN Menglan FU Pinsheng LIU Chuntu Ph D  Associate Professor  Research
Institution:DING Keqin DUAN Menglan FU Pinsheng LIU Chuntu Ph. D.,Associate Professor,Research Department,Center of Boiler and Pressure Vessel Inspection and Research,Beijing 100013,P. R. China Ph. D.,Research Professor,CCS Research and Development Center,China Classification Society,Beijing 100006,P. R. China Lecturer,Yumen Petroleum School of Technique and Technology,Yumen 735200,P. R. China Research Professor,Institute of Mechanics,the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100080,P. R. China
Abstract:A simple probabilistic model for predicting crack growth behavior under random loading is presented. In the model, the parameters c and m in the Paris-Erdogan Equation are taken as random variables, and their stochastic characteristic values are obtained through fatigue crack propagation tests on an offshore structural steel under constant amplitude loading. Furthermore, by using the Monte Carlo simulation technique, the fatigue crack propagation life to reach a given crack length is predicted. The tests are conducted to verify the applicability of the theoretical prediction of the fatigue crack propagation.
Keywords:probabilistic model  fatigue crack propagation  random loading  Monte Carlo simulation  offshore structural steel E36-Z35
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