| 地下水库库容不确定性分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 束龙仓,李伟,李砚阁. 地下水库库容不确定性分析[J]. 水文地质工程地质, 2006, 33(4): 45-47 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 束龙仓 李伟 李砚阁 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 河海大学水资源环境学院,南京,210098
2. 南京水利科学研究院水文水资源所,南京,210029 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 文章利用蒙特卡罗方法分析了济宁市潜水含水层给水度空间分布的随机性对地下水库库容计算值的影响，讨论了当给水度均值与方差发生变化时，库容均值和方差的变化特征，为地下水库合理规划建设和地下水人工回灌的实施提供了依据。
|
| 关 键 词： | 地下水库库容 概率分布 蒙特卡罗方法 不确定性分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3665（2006）04-0045-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-10-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-01-20 |
Uncertainty analysis of groundwater reservoir capacity |
| |
| SHU Long-cang,LI Wei,LI Yan-ge. Uncertainty analysis of groundwater reservoir capacity[J]. Hydrogeology and Engineering Geology, 2006, 33(4): 45-47 |
| |
| Authors: | SHU Long-cang LI Wei LI Yan-ge |
| |
| Affiliation: | 1. College of Water Resources and Environment, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China ; 2. Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, NHRI , Nanjing 210029, China |
| |
| Abstract: | There are many uncertain factors in a groundwater system, which may affect the reliability of groundwater resource evaluation results that are based on determinate models. The main uncertainty is the randomicity of the spacial distribution of cific yield on calculation of hydrogeological parameters. In this article, the effect of the randomicity of the spegroundwater reservoir capacity was analyzed and the characteristics of the mean and variance of reservoir capacity due to the change in specific yield were discussed for the unconfined the city of Jining, Shandong. The results can reservoirs and implementing artificial provide very important information for constructing recharge of groundwater. aquifer near groundwater. |
| |
| Keywords: | goundwater reservoir capacity probability distribution Monte Carlo method uncertainty analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
