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中国大陆7级强震预测
引用本文:董国胜.中国大陆7级强震预测[J].地震研究,1999,22(4):343-348.
作者姓名:董国胜
作者单位:云南省大理州地震局
摘    要:1988年以来,中国大陆发生了4次7级强震,作利用可公度性计算和评估函数及川滇强震特征等方法,对这4次强震作出了较好的预测,长期的研究实践表明,地震发生的时间,地点在一定区域内呈现出某种韵律特征,地震的可公度性能表述这种韵律特征,特别在活动期间,利用内可公度计算预报6-7级的地震应是一种较好的方法。

关 键 词:可公度性  强震特征  中国  大陆  地震预测

PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE OF M7 IN CHINA CONTINENT
Dong Guosheng.PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE OF M7 IN CHINA CONTINENT[J].Journal of Seismological Research,1999,22(4):343-348.
Authors:Dong Guosheng
Abstract:There have occurred 4 M7 earthquakes in China Continent since 1988. The author made good predictions to the 4 strong earthquakes by commensurable calculation, estimation function and features of strong earthquakes in Sichuan Yunnan. The long study experience shows that the time and location of earthquake occurrences within a certain region appears some kind of rhythm features. Commensurability of earthquake can express the rhythm features, which is a fairly good method that used to predict M6 7 earthquakes, especially during the period of seismicity.
Keywords:Commensurability  feature of strong earthquake  China Continent
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