| 永定河上游清水河年径流序列特性分析及其随机模拟 |
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| 引用本文： | 褚永军,李明,原彪,张占贵.永定河上游清水河年径流序列特性分析及其随机模拟[J].水文,2011,31(2):35-37,45. |
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| 作者姓名： | 褚永军 李明 原彪 张占贵 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北省张家口水文水资源勘测局,河北张家口,075000 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用位于清水河水系中下游的张家口水文站多年径流系列资料(1954～2008年),在简单阐述其符合水文资料的可靠性、一致性、代表性的基础上,分析清水河的多年径流量变化趋势,通过对资料的自相关和偏相关分析,判断对其模拟采用的随机模型,及其具体方程表达公式,并对模拟模型进行统计检验。
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| 关 键 词： | 清水河 年径流 随机模拟 |
Analysis of Annual Runoff Series of Qingshuihe River and Concerned Random Simulation |
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| CHU Yongjun,LI Ming,YUAN Biao,ZHANG Zhangui.Analysis of Annual Runoff Series of Qingshuihe River and Concerned Random Simulation[J].Hydrology,2011,31(2):35-37,45. |
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| Authors: | CHU Yongjun LI Ming YUAN Biao ZHANG Zhangui |
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| Institution: | CHU Yongjun,LI Ming,YUAN Biao,ZHANG Zhangui(Zhangjiakou Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau of Hebei Province,Zhangjiakou 075000,China) |
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| Abstract: | We made an analysis of the annual runoff tendency of the Qingshui River by using the annual runoff series of the Zhangjiakou station from 1954 to 2008,which is located in the middle and lower reaches of the Qingshui River.On the basis of the reliability,consistency and representativeness of the data,the autocorrelation and partial correlation analysis were made to choose stochastic model for simulation and to get the concerned equations,and then the statistical test was made on the model. |
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| Keywords: | Qingshuihe River annual runoff random simulation |
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