Application of spatial prediction techniques to defining three-dimensional landslide shear surface geometry

This study explores the application of interpolating and non-interpolating spatial prediction algorithms to interpreting shear surface geometries. A number of spatial prediction techniques have been tested, and the most appropriate algorithms for the Downie Slide dataset have been selected based on the root mean squared error (RMSE) determined from cross-validation. Visual assessment of reasonable spatial patterns has allowed for final selection of algorithms that produce geologically realistic results. Through this process, the performance of a number of interpolation algorithms has been tested in terms of accuracy and the development of reasonable spatial patterns. The goal of this study has been: (a) to develop a methodology for interpolating three-dimensional shear surface geometries and (b) to assess which interpolation methods are most appropriate for the interpretation of the Downie Slide basal slip surface geometry, based quantitatively on RMSE and qualitatively on the geological “trueness” of the geometric output.