地缘环境研究的理念及议程与路径

地缘环境研究已经成为当前国内地缘政治研究的重点方向,汇聚了国内地缘政治研究力量,推动了国内地缘政治学科的复兴。本文在总结分析国内外地缘政治、地缘环境相关研究最新发展和趋势的基础上,集中探讨了地缘环境研究的理念、议程与路径。地缘环境研究理念是以多元地缘体间互动实践为中心,将地缘环境理解为多元地缘体互动实践的“信息”或称决策信息集,也是多元地缘体互动的结果。因此,地缘体行动决策既有在完备信息下的决策,也有在不完备信息下的决策,甚至还有在不能甄别信息真假情况下的决策。在此新理念下,地缘环境研究大致包括地缘环境要素解析（本底、关联、结构3类要素）、地缘环境时空过程与机制表达和地缘环境支撑体系设计三大研究议程。为了整合不同领域、不同尺度和多元行为体,论文以缅北冲突为例展现了地缘环境研究的三大路径,即跨领域互动、跨尺度耦合和多元地缘体博弈。在当今百年变局的复杂形势下,明晰地缘环境研究的理念、议程与路径,对准确、科学分析当前复杂局势和提出中国应对策略等具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。

Geo-setting research: Idea,agenda and approaches

In the past 12 years, geo-setting research has made great progress and become one of the key points in the current domestic geopolitical research, gathering many domestic geopolitical research groups and promoting the revival of China's geopolitical studies. On the basis of summarizing and analyzing the latest developments and trends of geopolitics and geo-setting research in China and abroad, this paper focuses on the idea, agenda and approaches of geo-setting research. Centered on the interactive practices of multiple geo-actors, its idea regards the geo-setting as the information or decision-making dataset for their interactive practices, which also results from their interactions. Thus, geo-actors' decisions for actions can be made under complete information, incomplete information, or even when true or false information cannot be distinguished. Under this new thought, the geo-setting research agenda generally includes three items: (1) the analysis of geo-setting elements (including fundamental, relational and structural elements); (2) the spatio-temporal process and mechanism of geo-setting; (3) the design of geo-setting technical system. In order to integrate different fields, various scales and multiple actors, this paper takes the conflict in northern Myanmar as an example to present three approaches of geo-setting research, namely, cross-field interaction, cross-scale coupling and multiple geo-actors' game playing. Under current complex situation of once-in-a-century changes and COVID-19 pandemic, clarifying the idea, agenda and approaches of geo-setting studies is of great theoretical value and practical significance for accurately and scientifically analyzing the current complex situation and proposing China's response strategies.