福建省制造业内部产业结构评价与演变趋势

采用Gibbs-Mirtin 多样化指数和区位熵、产值贡献率，对福建省2005―2013 年20 个制造业行业面板数据进行了测算，并从产业部门多样化和优势产业专业化2 个角度对福建省制造业产业结构特点及演变规律进行了分析。研究表明：福建省制造业产业多样化水平逐年提升，全省产业朝多部门均衡发展；各个制造业专业化发展水平存在差异，化学纤维制造业、通信设备、计算机及其他电子设备制造业等行业专业化水平高，行业优势明显；全省20 个制造业总体产业优势不明显，研究时段内区位熵始终≥1 的行业仅占35%，对全省20 个制造业产值贡献达46.71%；非金属矿物制品业及农副食品加工业等新的优势产业及潜力产业涌现，关联产业优势程度成对上升，产业专业化发展形势良好。

Evaluation of the Internal Industrial Structure of Manufacturing in Fujian Province and Analysis on Its Evolution Tendency

In this paper, we use Gibbs-Mirtin diversification index, location quotient and the contribution rate of production value to quantificationally analyze the internal industrial structure of manufacturing in Fujian Province. The study is based on the panel-data of 20 manufacturing industries during 2005-2013. After making the quantitative analysis, this paper has pointed out the characteristics of industrial structure as well as its evolution about the internal industrial structure from perspectives of diversification of industrial departments and specialization of the competitive industries. The results show that the level of diversification of manufacturing industrial departments in Fujian has gradually increased these years, and the development of manufacturing industrial departments has become more balance. However, there are some differences among the manufacturing departments for the level of specialization. Some sectors of manufacturing industries, such as chemical fiber manufacturing, communications equipment, computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing are at high level of professionalization, showing a clear advantage compared with other sectors. However, the industrial advantages are not obvious, there are only 35% of the industrial departments whose location quotient are greater than or equal to 1, and manufacturing output values account for 46.71% of the total in the whole province. As for the tendency of evolution, potential industries such as non-metallic mineral products and agricultural and sideline products processing have been emerged. In addition, the advantage degree of the related industries has been improved in pair and the situation of the industrial professional development in Fujian seems pretty well.