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应用灰色预测模型解决水文地质问题的思考
引用本文:孙才志,王勇.应用灰色预测模型解决水文地质问题的思考[J].世界地质,1998,17(1):45-50.
作者姓名:孙才志  王勇
作者单位:长春科技大学环境与建设工程学院
摘    要:介绍了磷以预测模型在解决水文地质问题过程中所存在的诸多问题,并针对灰色预测模型的适用条件,提出了波动时间序列均值化的方法,在此基础上不文地质问题的特点,提出用周围外延的方法修正残差。计算结果表明,结合采用上述两种方法,将会收到较好的效果。

关 键 词:灰色预测模型  波动序列  均值化  水文地质

Review of Using Grey Predicting Theory to Solve Hydrogeological Problems
Sun Caizhi,Wang Yong.Review of Using Grey Predicting Theory to Solve Hydrogeological Problems[J].World Geology,1998,17(1):45-50.
Authors:Sun Caizhi  Wang Yong
Abstract:In this paper, some limitations of using grey predicting theory to solve hydrogeological problems are put forward first, then an effective method to average the original series according to the proper conditions of grey predicting model was presented. On this basis, combining the character of hydrogeological probrems, authors proposed using periodic method to revise the scrap value. The result showed that a good result can be obtained if using these methods.
Keywords:grey predicting model  fluctuating series  averaging  amendments of scrap value
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