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Runoff Simulation of Three Gorges Area in the Upper Yangtze River during 1998 Flood Season
作者姓名:LIN Jian  Gabor BALINT  Balazs GAUZER
作者单位:National Meteorological Center,Beijing 100081,China,Water Resources Research Center,Budapest,Hungary,Water Resources Research Center,Budapest,Hungary
基金项目:Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 40175028 and 40475045.
摘    要:The contribution of areal precipitation of the catchment from Cuntan to Yichang (Three Gorges area) to eight flood peaks of the Upper Yangtze River (the upper reaches of the Yangtze River) is diagnosed for 1998 flood season. A rainfall-runoff model is employed to simulate runoffs of-this catchment. Comparison of observed and simulated runoffs shows that the rainfall-runoff model has a good capability to simulate the runoff over a large-scale river and the results describe the eight flood peaks very well. Forecast results are closely associated with the sensitivity of the model to rainfall and the calibration processes. Other reasons leading to simulation errors are further discussed.

收稿时间:2004/9/27 0:00:00
修稿时间:2004/12/6 0:00:00

Runoff Simulation of Three Gorges Area in the Upper Yangtze River during 1998 Flood Season
LIN Jian,Gabor BALINT,Balazs GAUZER.Runoff Simulation of Three Gorges Area in the Upper Yangtze River during 1998 Flood Season[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2005,19(2):241-252.
Authors:LIN Jian Gabor BALINT Balazs GAUZER
Institution:National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China Water Resources Research Center, Budapest, Hungary Water Resources Research Center, Budapest, Hungary
Abstract:The contribution of areal precipitation of the catchment from Cuntan to Yichang (Three Gorges area) to eight flood peaks of the Upper Yangtze River (the upper reaches of the Yangtze River) is diagnosed for 1998 flood season. A rainfall-runoff model is employed to simulate runoffs of-this catchment. Comparison of observed and simulated runoffs shows that the rainfall-runoff model has a good capability to simulate the runoff over a large-scale river and the results describe the eight flood peaks very well. Forecast results are closely associated with the sensitivity of the model to rainfall and the calibration processes. Other reasons leading to simulation errors are further discussed.
Keywords:areal precipitation  rainfall-runoff model  the Upper Yangtze River (the upper reaches of the Yangtze River)  1998 flood
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