WMO PROJECT ON INTERCOMPARISON OF CONCEPTUAL MODELS USED IN HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING

Abstract

The paper describes the development of a method which enables formulation of reservoir operation rules in a multi-reservoir water resources system. The method consists of three major steps: (1) development of a mathematical model of a multivariate (time and space) river flow process and generation of a synthetic input to the system, (2) development of a mathematical model of a water resources system and the simulation of its operation over the whole period of synthetic inflows (simulation coupled with one of the mathematical programming techniques), and (3) statistical analysis of the results of the simulation-optimization computations. Consecutive implementation of all steps leads to the formulation of the operation rules for all the reservoirs in the system.