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波速比计算中的不确定因素和在地震预报中的应用
引用本文:蔡静观.波速比计算中的不确定因素和在地震预报中的应用[J].地震研究,2000,23(1):51-56.
作者姓名:蔡静观
作者单位:云南省地震局,昆明,650041
基金项目:国家地震局 95 -0 4-0 4-0 2课题
摘    要:通过对波速比计算中的一些不确定因素如何时间服务、震相辨别、震源深度、计算方法和介质的非均匀性的仔细分析,认为主要由计算方法的局际性和介质的非均匀性造成。作经过多年的地震预报实践,提出在研究普适性的同时,结合孕震模式探索地震前波速比异常的特殊笥。

关 键 词:波速比  和达法  震源深度  震相  地震预报

NONDETERMINISTIC FACTORS IN CALCULATION OF VP/VS RATIO AND THEIR APPLICATION TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
Cai Jingguan.NONDETERMINISTIC FACTORS IN CALCULATION OF VP/VS RATIO AND THEIR APPLICATION TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].Journal of Seismological Research,2000,23(1):51-56.
Authors:Cai Jingguan
Abstract:Through analyzing the nondeternistic factors in calculation of Vp/Vs in detail, such as, time service, phase identification, focal depth, calculation method and medium inhomogeneity, it is thought that the nondeterministic factors mainly are brought about by limitations of calculation method and medium inhomogeneity. Based on practice of earthquake prediction in many years, the author puts forward that the particularity of Vp/Vs before earthquake should be approached in combination with seismogenic model, while studying generality.
Keywords:Vp/Vs Wadati line  medium lateral inheterogeneity  focal depth
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