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时纬残差分析方法及残差变化与强震的相关性
引用本文:胡辉,阚荣举.时纬残差分析方法及残差变化与强震的相关性[J].地震研究,1989,12(3):277-284.
作者姓名:胡辉  阚荣举
作者单位:中国科学院云南天文台 昆明 (胡辉),云南省地震局 昆明(阚荣举)
摘    要:本文改进了时纬线差的分析方法,改善了残差异常与强震的相关关系,减少了虚报率。综合分析两种方法的异常,可对预测地震的远近大小提供更多信息。给出了1983年以来的时纬线差异常与全部5级以上地震的对应结果。最后讨论了可能的物理机制。

关 键 词:测纬残差  测时残差  地震预报

ANALYTIC METHOD OF TIME-LATITUDE RESIDUALAND CORRELATION OF RESIDUAL VARIATIONWITH STRONG EARTHQUAKE
Hu Hui Kan Rongju.ANALYTIC METHOD OF TIME-LATITUDE RESIDUALAND CORRELATION OF RESIDUAL VARIATIONWITH STRONG EARTHQUAKE[J].Journal of Seismological Research,1989,12(3):277-284.
Authors:Hu Hui Kan Rongju
Abstract:This paper could bring about an improvement of the analytic method for time-latitude residual. The correlation of residual anomalies with strong earthquakes has been made better, whth the result that false alarm rate has been reduced. When anomalies of two methods have been synthetically studied, it can provide a lot more informations about distance and magnitude for earthquake predication. Results of time-latitude residual anomalies corresponding to all shocks of more than 5 magnitude, since 1983 have been given too. Finally, possible physical mechanism has been discussed.
Keywords:latitude-measuring residual  time-measuring residual  predication of strong earthquakes  intraplate fault block movement    
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