地下流体地震前兆多层次跟踪法在华南及沿海地区的应用

利用多层次跟踪法，对８０年代以来华南及沿海地区发生的９次大于Ｍｓ５．０级和２次陆区接近Ｍｓ５．０级地震的发震时间进行了系统验证。在１１个震例中预测时段正确的有：中期１０个、短期５个和短临２个，表明该方法应用于华南及其沿海地区未来中强震发震时间的预报。

The application of the HTM method of subsurface fluid in the South China and coastal areas

The occurred time of the earthquakes have been systematic studied by using the HTM method, and these earthquakes consist of 9 earthquakes with M >5 0 and 2 earthquakes with 4 0< M <5 0 which occurred in the South China and coastal areas since 1980. The result shows that the judgment for 10 of medium-term, 5 of short-term and 2 of impending-term were correct. It is indicated that the HTM method should be applied to predict the origin time of the moderate earthquake which will occur in the South China areas in the future.