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雷电监测预警对雷击风险评估的影响分析
引用本文:李京校,扈海波,樊荣,宋海岩,朱传林. 雷电监测预警对雷击风险评估的影响分析[J]. 气象科学, 2013, 33(6): 678-684
作者姓名:李京校  扈海波  樊荣  宋海岩  朱传林
作者单位:北京市避雷装置安全检测中心, 北京 100089;中国气象局北京城市气象研究所, 北京 100089;浙江省湖州市气象局, 浙江湖州 313000;北京市避雷装置安全检测中心, 北京 100089;湖北省防雷中心, 武汉 430074
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(41175099);北京市科技计划项目(Z111100056811022)
摘    要:利用雷电监测设备预警雷电,以便于及时采取规避措施减免人员伤亡和经济损失,从而降低评估场所的雷击风险值。本文从这一角度出发,分析了雷电监测预警系统的应用,着重研究了采取预警措施后影响到的参数LX及其取值方法,结合预警系统的命中率、漏报率,推导建立了风险评估计算公式。给出了安装预警设备后的风险评估流程图,归纳总结了重要场所安装预警设备后影响到的主要风险类型。并以某石化工厂为例,进行了实例应用分析和风险对比。为采取雷电监测预警措施的场所进行合理的雷击风险评估提供可借鉴的方法。

关 键 词:雷电监测预警  雷击风险评估  参数LX
收稿时间:2012-07-16
修稿时间:2013-05-26

Impact of lightning monitoring and warning on lightning risk assessment
LI Jingxiao,HU Haibo,FAN Rong,SONG Haiyan and ZHU Chuanlin. Impact of lightning monitoring and warning on lightning risk assessment[J]. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences, 2013, 33(6): 678-684
Authors:LI Jingxiao  HU Haibo  FAN Rong  SONG Haiyan  ZHU Chuanlin
Affiliation:Beijing Lightning Devices Security Test Center, Beijing 100089, China;Institute of Urban Meteorology, CMA, Beijing 100089, China;Huzhou Meteorological Bureau, Zhejiang Huzhou 313000, China;Beijing Lightning Devices Security Test Center, Beijing 100089, China;Hubei Lightning Protection Center, Wuhan 430074, China
Abstract:In order to avoid casualties and economic losses, the lightning monitoring equipments are used to warn the lightning events. From this point of view, the application of lightning monitoring and warning system is analyzed in this article; the affected parameter LX and its determination methods are studied in detail, combined with the hiting and missing report rates of the lightning monitoring and warning system, the calculation formulas of lightning risk are established. Furthermore, the procedure chart of risk assessment is given, and the main influencing types of lightning risk in the different places where the lightning monitoring and warning system is installed are discussed. Finally, taking a chemical factory as an example, the lightning risk values are analyzed and compared with the assessing one. This paper provides some referential methods of the reasonable risk assessment for the places where the lightning monitoring and warning measures are completed.
Keywords:Lightning monitoring and warning  Lightning risk assessment  Parameter LX
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