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地震活动性总体参量Rt在首都圈地区地震预测中的应用
引用本文:岳晓媛,王琳瑛,武安绪.地震活动性总体参量Rt在首都圈地区地震预测中的应用[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2009,30(1):8-11.
作者姓名:岳晓媛  王琳瑛  武安绪
作者单位:1. 中国北京,100080,北京市地震局
2. 中国北京,100081,中国地震局地球物理研究所
基金项目:地震科学联合基金,国家科技攻关项目 
摘    要:为了比较全面的反映首都圈地区地震活动性的各方面特征,利用地震活动性总体状态参量Rt值方法,跟踪并分析首都囤地区ML≥5.1地震前的地震活动状态。研究结果表明,当Rt〉0.60时,首都圈地区地震活动状态稳定;当Rt≤0.60时,则表明首都圈地区地震活动处于不稳定状态。同时,对Rt值的地震预测能力进行了检验评估。

关 键 词:首都圈地区  地震活动性  总体状态参量Rt

A study on the application of integrated parameter Rt of seismicity to earthquake forecast in the Capital Circle Region
Yue Xiaoyuan,Wang Linying,Wu Anxu.A study on the application of integrated parameter Rt of seismicity to earthquake forecast in the Capital Circle Region[J].Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research,2009,30(1):8-11.
Authors:Yue Xiaoyuan  Wang Linying  Wu Anxu
Institution:Yue Xiaoyuan , Wang Linying and Wu Anxu(1. Earthquake Administration of Beijing Municipality, Beijing 100080, China 2. Institute of Geoph yseics , China Earthquake Administration, Beij ing 100081, China)
Abstract:In order to more fully reflect all aspects of the characteristic of seismicity in the Capital Circle Region, an integrated parameter Rt of seismicity was used to routinely analyze the seismic activity before ML≥5. 1 earthquakes occurred in the Capital Circle Region. The result shows that when Rt〉0. 75, the seismic activity is stable in the Capital Circle Region, while Rt≤0.75, the seismic activity of the Capital Circle Region is unstable. At the same time, the efficiency of earthquake prediction by use of Rt parameter has been estimated.
Keywords:Capital Circle Region  seismicity  integrated state R  
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