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鄱阳湖流域枯水径流演变特征、成因与影响
引用本文:孙鹏,张强,陈晓宏.鄱阳湖流域枯水径流演变特征、成因与影响[J].地理研究,2011,30(9):1702-1712.
作者姓名:孙鹏  张强  陈晓宏
作者单位:中山大学地理科学与规划学院,华南地区水循环与水安全广东省普通高校重点实验室,广州 510275
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40701015,50839005); 中山大学理工科青年教师重点培育计划项目(2009-37000-1132381); 广东省科技厅对外合作项目(2010B050800001)
摘    要:选用11种概率分布函数,分析了鄱阳湖流域“五河”6个水文站年最小连续7EI平均流量(或称极值流量)。概率分布函数的参数以及拟合优度分别由线性矩与柯尔莫哥洛夫一斯米尔诺夫方法(K—S法)检验,选出最适合该区极值流量分布函数,同时运用Mann Kendall(M-K)方法对极值流量趋势进行分析,对引起该流域水文极值变化的原...

关 键 词:频率分析  概率分布函数  极值流量  鄱阳湖流域
收稿时间:2010-11-21

Changing properties of low streamflow:Possible causes and implications
SUN Peng,ZHANG Qiang,CHEN Xiao-hong.Changing properties of low streamflow:Possible causes and implications[J].Geographical Research,2011,30(9):1702-1712.
Authors:SUN Peng  ZHANG Qiang  CHEN Xiao-hong
Institution:Department of Water Resources and Environment, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Security in Southern China, Guangdong High Education Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
Abstract:In this study,11 probability distribution functions are adopted to systematically analyze the probability behaviors of the 7-day low flow regimes(the minimum average flow for the consecutive 7 days) at six hydrological stations located in the Five Rivers in the Poyang Lake Basin.The L-moment technique is used to estimate the parameters of the probability functions and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov method(K-S) is accepted to evaluate the goodness-of-fit of the probability functions.Trends within the 7-day low flow ...
Keywords:frequency analysis  probability distribution functions  extreme streamflow  Poyang Lake Basin  
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